Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Premier League, England
Premier League
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Chelsea defeated Tottenham Hotspur by a score of 2-1 with the home side leading 1-0 at halftime. Chelsea recorded 44 percent possession while Tottenham held 56 percent. The stronger team Chelsea emerged as the winner in line with pre-match assessments. A significant deviation of 57.2 percent was recorded for Chelsea. No red cards were issued during the contest and xG data remained unavailable throughout the analysis. The outcome proved consistent with the designated market alignment. Second half adjustments did not feature any notable shifts according to available records.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Chelsea recorded a significant structural deviation of 57.2 percent.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with match dynamics.
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xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable data.
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Market alignment: The result was aligned with market expectations.
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xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated from provided metrics.
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Event impact: Key events enabled Chelsea to secure the 2-1 result.
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Red card distortion: No red cards occurred and thus no distortion was present.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
S. Attwell
Other match officials
C. Hatzidakis
1st Assistant
A. Madley
4th Official
N. Greenhalgh
2nd Assistant
League averages
Premier League Based on last 100 matches
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
Movement
Changes since opening
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
Team Power Ranking
i
88.52
84.18
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Chelsea
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency









Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)








Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
















Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.




























PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- TOT had peak pressure around 77'.
- TOT started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 62 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
















Data last updated: 2026-05-20T00:04:15+00:00
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General Information
Next Match


Chelsea
vs
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League: Premier League
Kickoff: Sun, 24 May - 3:00 PM
Venue: Stadium of Light


Tottenham Hotspur
vs
Everton
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Sun, 24 May - 3:00 PM
Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


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Events
CONCLUSION
Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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