Atalanta vs Bologna Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Serie A, Italy

Gewiss Stadium Sun, 17 May - 4:00 PM

Serie A

Atalanta ATA

Bologna BOL

KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 4:00 PM

Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Atalanta host Bologna in Serie A (Regular Season) at Gewiss Stadium. Domestically, Atalanta sit 7th in the table while Bologna are 8th. Power ranking favours Atalanta by 6.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

Structural: Atalanta holds a 6.3-point power advantage with 84.93 score over Bologna's 78.68.
Form: Bologna edges form at 22.39 compared to Atalanta's 20.83.
Squad: Atalanta sit 7th and Bologna 8th in domestic Serie A standings.
Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
Transition: Transition play details absent from available metrics.
Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with proxies used and no xG data.
xVariable: xG metrics unavailable as add-on not enabled.
Market: Baseline split: Atalanta 57.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 22.3% (Δ+0%) | Bologna 20.4% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

R. Palladino

V. Italiano

1.8

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.24

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

18 - 7 - 9

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Atalanta

57.38%

Draw

22.27%

Bologna

20.35%

Team Power Ranking

84.93

78.68

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Atalanta

Bologna

Power Score

84.93

78.68

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Atalanta — Opponent-weighted form score

Bologna — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Atalanta Bologna

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 34 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Atalanta ATA Home

34 matches

Bologna BOL Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+17

Goal Difference

-17

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:08:29+00:00

STARTING XI

29 M. Carnesecchi

3 K. Odilon

5 M. Bakker

23 S. Kolašinac

77 D. Zappacosta

15 M. de Roon

13 É. dos Santos Lourenço da Silva

59 N. Zalewski

17 C. De Ketelaere

18 G. Raspadori

90 N. Krstović

25 M. Pessina

33 J. Miranda González

14 T. Heggem

5 E. Fauske Helland

17 J. Neto Lopes

4 T. Pobega

8 R. Freuler

10 F. Bernardeschi

19 L. Ferguson

7 R. Orsolini

9 S. Castro

General Information

Date & Time :

May 17, 2026, 04:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Gewiss Stadium

Capacity :

23439

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Lineup

Manager ▼

R. Palladino Coach

Starting XI ▼

Marco Carnesecchi Goalkeeper

7.07

Odilon Kossounou Defender

6.6

Mitchel Bakker Defender

6.73

Sead Kolasinac Defender

6.58

Nicola Zalewski Defender

6.97

Davide Zappacosta Defender

6.85

Éderson Midfielder

Marten de Roon Midfielder

6.9

Charles De Ketelaere Midfielder

7.14

Giacomo Raspadori Midfielder

7.01

Nikola Krstović Attacker

7.06

Manager ▼

V. Italiano Coach

Starting XI ▼

Massimo Pessina Goalkeeper

6.79

Eivind Helland Defender

6.84

Torbjørn Heggem Defender

6.69

João Mário Defender

6.55

Juan Miranda Defender

7.15

Tommaso Pobega Midfielder

6.71

Remo Freuler Midfielder

6.8

Lewis Ferguson Midfielder

6.73

Riccardo Orsolini Attacker

6.97

Santiago Castro Attacker

6.87

Federico Bernardeschi Attacker

6.88

CONCLUSION

Atalanta's superior power rating and home advantage at Gewiss Stadium position them strongly against Bologna in this Serie A showdown. Bologna's slight form superiority offers upset potential, particularly if they capitalize on counters amid sparse transition data. With league spots 7th and 8th tightly contested, every point counts in the European race. Lacking efficiency and set piece insights, the focus falls on open-play execution and squad depth. Atalanta's structural edge should prevail in a tense, goal-laden encounter testing both sides' resolve.

Atalanta vs Bologna preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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STANDINGS

CONTEXT