Cagliari vs Torino Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Sardegna Arena Sun, 17 May - 6:45 PM
Serie A
Cagliari CAG
Versus
Torino TOR
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 6:45 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Cagliari host Torino in Serie A (Regular Season) at Sardegna Arena. Domestically, Cagliari sit 16th in the table while Torino are 12th. Power ranking favours Torino by 4.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Torino possesses a 4.9-point power advantage over Cagliari with scores of 75.03 to 70.15.
  • Form: Torino's form score of 19.44 surpasses Cagliari's 16.39.
  • Squad: Cagliari occupies 16th in Serie A while Torino holds 12th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for both Cagliari and Torino.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats for both teams rely on low-confidence proxy metrics with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable as add-on not enabled for this fixture.
  • Market: Cagliari 40.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 30.4% (Δ+0%) | Torino 29% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Cagliari F. Pisacane
F. Pisacane
VS
Torino R. D'Aversa
R. D'Aversa
1.08
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.2
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Udinese Rank: 77 L
Bologna Rank: 78 D
Atalanta Rank: 85 W
Inter Rank: 92 L
Cremonese Rank: 68 W
Sassuolo Rank: 76 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sassuolo Rank: 77 W
Udinese Rank: 75 L
Inter Rank: 90 D
Cremonese Rank: 68 D
Hellas Verona Rank: 64 W
Pisa Rank: 62 W
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 8 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cagliari
40.63%
Draw
30.39%
Away Torino
28.98%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.15
75.03
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cagliari
Torino
Power Score
70.15
75.03
League Position
16
12
Global Rank
204
114

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cagliari — Opponent-weighted form score
Torino — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cagliari Torino

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 29 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cagliari CAG Home
29 matches
Torino TOR Away
Match Record
10
Wins
11
8
Draws
8
11
Losses
10
Goals
36
Goals Scored
42
42
Goals Conceded
36
-6
Goal Difference
+6

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T02:02:10+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
E. Caprile
Italy
1 E. Caprile
Y. Mina González
Colombia
26 Y. Mina González
A. Dossena
Italy
22 A. Dossena
J. Rodríguez Camejo
Uruguay
15 J. Rodríguez Camejo
M. Palestra
Italy
2 M. Palestra
A. Obert
Slovakia
33 A. Obert
M. Adopo
France
8 M. Adopo
G. Gaetano
Italy
10 G. Gaetano
M. Folorunsho
Italy
90 M. Folorunsho
S. Esposito
Italy
94 S. Esposito
P. Mendy
Senegal
31 P. Mendy
Pitch
A. Paleari
Italy
1 A. Paleari
E. Ebosse
Cameroon
77 E. Ebosse
S. Coco-Bassey Oubiña
Equatorial Guinea
23 S. Coco-Bassey Oubiña
L. Marianucci
Italy
35 L. Marianucci
Rafael Burguera
Spain
33 Rafael Burguera
E. İlkhan
Türkiye
6 E. İlkhan
M. Prati
Italy
4 M. Prati
V. Lazaro
Austria
20 V. Lazaro
A. Njie
Sweden
92 A. Njie
G. Simeone
Argentina
18 G. Simeone
N. Vlašić
Croatia
10 N. Vlašić

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Sardegna Arena
Capacity :
16416
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Elia Caprile
Elia Caprile Goalkeeper
6.93
2
Marco Palestra
Marco Palestra Defender
6.92
15
Juan Rodríguez
Juan Rodríguez Defender
6.68
22
Alberto Dossena
Alberto Dossena Defender
6.86
26
Yerry Mina
Yerry Mina Defender
6.88
33
Adam Obert
Adam Obert Defender
6.82
8
Michel Adopo
Michel Adopo Midfielder
6.69
10
Gianluca Gaetano
Gianluca Gaetano Midfielder
6.82
90
Michael Folorunsho
Michael Folorunsho Midfielder
6.61
31
Paul Mendy
Paul Mendy Attacker
6.82
94
Sebastiano Esposito
Sebastiano Esposito Attacker
7.15

Starting XI ▼

1
Alberto Paleari
Alberto Paleari Goalkeeper
6.92
23
Saúl Coco
Saúl Coco Defender
6.88
35
Luca Marianucci
Luca Marianucci Defender
6.94
77
Enzo Ebosse
Enzo Ebosse Defender
6.76
4
Matteo Prati
Matteo Prati Midfielder
6.58
6
Emirhan İlkhan
Emirhan İlkhan Midfielder
6.8
20
Valentino Lazaro
Valentino Lazaro Midfielder
6.72
33
Rafa Obrador
Rafa Obrador Midfielder
6.56
10
Nikola Vlašić
Nikola Vlašić Attacker
6.99
18
Giovanni Simeone
Giovanni Simeone Attacker
6.88
92
Alieu Njie
Alieu Njie Attacker
6.46

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Torino holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Torino a 4.9-point edge. External projection is Cagliari 40.5%, draw 30.2%, and Torino 29.3%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Cagliari vs Torino preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Serie A, Italy View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ