Juventus vs Fiorentina Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Juventus Stadium Sun, 17 May - 10:30 AM
Serie A
Juventus JUV
Versus
Fiorentina FIO
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 10:30 AM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Juventus host Fiorentina in Serie A (Regular Season) at Juventus Stadium. Domestically, Juventus sit 3th in the table while Fiorentina are 15th. Power ranking favours Juventus by 8.6 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Juventus holds a superior structural profile with an 8.6-point power advantage and third-place standing over Fiorentina's 15th.
  • Form: Both teams register a form score of zero ahead of this matchup.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates available for either side.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not detailed in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats show low confidence with proxy data used for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, impacting advanced variable assessments.
  • Market: Juventus 70.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 18.5% (Δ+0%) | Fiorentina 10.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Juventus L. Spalletti
L. Spalletti
VS
Fiorentina P. Vanoli
P. Vanoli
1.96
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.32
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lecce Rank: 69 W
Hellas Verona Rank: 64 D
AC Milan Rank: 84 D
Bologna Rank: 78 W
Atalanta Rank: 85 W
Genoa Rank: 75 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Genoa Rank: 75 D
Roma Rank: 85 L
Sassuolo Rank: 74 D
Lecce Rank: 67 D
Lazio Rank: 81 W
Hellas Verona Rank: 64 W
25
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
25 - 15 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Juventus
70.76%
Draw
18.5%
Away Fiorentina
10.74%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
85.92
77.29
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Juventus
Fiorentina
Power Score
85.92
77.29
League Position
3
15
Global Rank
33
87

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Juventus — Opponent-weighted form score
Fiorentina — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Juventus Fiorentina

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Juventus JUV Home
0 matches
Fiorentina FIO Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T00:47:54+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
M. Di Gregorio
16 M. Di Gregorio
P. Kalulu Kyatengwa
15 P. Kalulu Kyatengwa
G. Bremer Silva Nascimento
3 G. Bremer Silva Nascimento
L. Kelly
6 L. Kelly
A. Cambiaso
27 A. Cambiaso
M. Locatelli
5 M. Locatelli
T. Koopmeiners
8 T. Koopmeiners
F. Conceição
7 F. Conceição
W. McKennie
22 W. McKennie
K. Yildiz
10 K. Yildiz
D. Vlahović
9 D. Vlahović
Pitch
D. de Gea Quintana
43 D. de Gea Quintana
R. Gosens
21 R. Gosens
L. Ranieri
6 L. Ranieri
M. Pongracic
5 M. Pongracic
D. Cordeiro dos Santos
2 D. Cordeiro dos Santos
C. Ndour
27 C. Ndour
N. Fagioli
44 N. Fagioli
R. Mandragora
8 R. Mandragora
M. Solomon
19 M. Solomon
R. Braschi
61 R. Braschi
F. Parisi
65 F. Parisi

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 10:30 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Juventus Stadium
Capacity :
41507
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

16
Michele Di Gregorio
Michele Di Gregorio Goalkeeper
6.83
9
Dušan Vlahović
Dušan Vlahović Centre Forward
6.85
10
Kenan Yıldız
Kenan Yıldız Left Wing
7.42
3
Bremer
Bremer Right Back
7.04
6
Lloyd Kelly
Lloyd Kelly Left Back
6.96
8
Teun Koopmeiners
Teun Koopmeiners Defensive Midfield
6.78
15
Pierre Kalulu
Pierre Kalulu Right Back
7.02
27
Andrea Cambiaso
Andrea Cambiaso Left Back
7.04
5
Manuel Locatelli
Manuel Locatelli Defensive Midfield
7.4
7
Francisco Conceição
Francisco Conceição Right Wing
7.09
22
Weston McKennie
Weston McKennie Attacking Midfield
7.04

Starting XI ▼

43
David de Gea
David de Gea Goalkeeper
6.81
19
Manor Solomon
Manor Solomon Attacker
7.04
61
Riccardo Braschi
Riccardo Braschi Centre Forward
6.62
65
Fabiano Parisi
Fabiano Parisi Attacker
6.93
5
Marin Pongracic
Marin Pongracic Right Back
6.74
8
Rolando Mandragora
Rolando Mandragora Central Midfield
7.07
27
Cher Ndour
Cher Ndour Central Midfield
6.66
44
Nicolò Fagioli
Nicolò Fagioli Central Midfield
7.22
2
Dodô
Dodô Right Back
6.92
6
Luca Ranieri
Luca Ranieri Left Back
6.75
21
Robin Gosens
Robin Gosens Left Back
6.83

CONCLUSION

Juventus emerges as clear frontrunners in this Serie A encounter, powered by their elevated rating and loftier league position. Home turf amplifies their prospects against a Fiorentina side grappling in the lower reaches. Absent form indicators invite caution, yet the 8.6-point gulf signals Juventus's likely control. Limited insights into efficiency, transitions, and set pieces leave room for surprises, but structural strengths favor the hosts. Expect Juventus to dictate tempo and capitalize on opportunities, potentially securing vital points in their title chase. Fiorentina must summon resilience to counter the disparity.

Juventus vs Fiorentina preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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