Pisa vs Napoli Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani Sun, 17 May - 10:30 AM
Serie A
Pisa PIS
Versus
Napoli NAP
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 10:30 AM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Pisa host Napoli in Serie A (Regular Season) at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani. Domestically, Pisa sit 20th in the table while Napoli are 2th. Power ranking favours Napoli by 31.8 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Napoli possesses a 31.8-point power advantage over Pisa, ranking 2nd versus Pisa's 20th in Serie A.
  • Form: Both Pisa and Napoli carry neutral form scores of zero with no recent outings recorded.
  • Squad: Napoli's squad outclasses Pisa's, reflected in their superior league position and power rating.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable, leaving assessment neutral.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable due to lack of xG data and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables absent, prohibiting detailed analysis.
  • Market: Pisa 11.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21.1% (Δ+0%) | Napoli 67.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Pisa O. Hiljemark
O. Hiljemark
VS
Napoli A. Conte
A. Conte
0.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.92
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cremonese Rank: 67 L
Lecce Rank: 68 L
Parma Rank: 72 L
Genoa Rank: 74 L
Roma Rank: 86 L
Torino Rank: 75 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bologna Rank: 78 L
Como Rank: 83 D
Cremonese Rank: 67 W
Lazio Rank: 79 L
Parma Rank: 72 D
AC Milan Rank: 84 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Pisa
11.51%
Draw
21.14%
Away Napoli
67.36%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
53.54
85.32
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Pisa
Napoli
Power Score
53.54
85.32
League Position
20
2
Global Rank
423
35

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Pisa Opponent-weighted form score
Napoli Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Pisa Napoli

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Pisa PIS Home
0 matches
Napoli NAP Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T00:50:07+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
A. Šemper
1 A. Šemper
S. Canestrelli
5 S. Canestrelli
A. Caracciolo
4 A. Caracciolo
A. Calabresi
33 A. Calabresi
I. Touré
15 I. Touré
?. Vural
21 ?. Vural
E. Akinsanmiro
14 E. Akinsanmiro
M. Höjholt
8 M. Höjholt
M. Marcel Léris
7 M. Marcel Léris
F. Stojilkovic
81 F. Stojilkovic
S. Moreo
32 S. Moreo
Pitch
V. Milinković Savić
32 V. Milinković Savić
A. Buongiorno
4 A. Buongiorno
A. Rrahmani
13 A. Rrahmani
G. Di Lorenzo
22 G. Di Lorenzo
M. Gutiérrez Ortega
3 M. Gutiérrez Ortega
S. McTominay
8 S. McTominay
S. Lobotka
68 S. Lobotka
L. Spinazzola
37 L. Spinazzola
A. de Almeida Santos
27 A. de Almeida Santos
G. Santana do Nascimento
23 G. Santana do Nascimento
R. Højlund
19 R. Højlund

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 10:30 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Capacity :
10442
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

1
Adrian Semper
Adrian Semper Goalkeeper
6.87
7
Mehdi Léris
Mehdi Léris Midfielder
6.77
15
Idrissa Touré
Idrissa Touré Midfielder
6.71
81
Filip Stojilkovic
Filip Stojilkovic Attacker
6.4
32
Stefano Moreo
Stefano Moreo Attacker
6.9
8
Malthe Højholt
Malthe Højholt Central Midfield
6.42
4
Antonio Caracciolo
Antonio Caracciolo Centre Back
6.69
5
Simone Canestrelli
Simone Canestrelli Right Back
6.63
14
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro Central Midfield
6.78
33
Arturo Calabresi
Arturo Calabresi Left Back
6.51
21
İsak Vural
İsak Vural Central Midfield
6.61

Starting XI

32
Vanja Milinković-Savić
Vanja Milinković-Savić Goalkeeper
6.83
3
Miguel Gutiérrez
Miguel Gutiérrez Midfielder
6.79
23
Giovane
Giovane Midfielder
6.89
27
Alisson Santos
Alisson Santos Midfielder
7.22
37
Leonardo Spinazzola
Leonardo Spinazzola Midfielder
6.75
19
Rasmus Højlund
Rasmus Højlund Centre Forward
6.85
22
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
Giovanni Di Lorenzo Right Back
6.98
68
Stanislav Lobotka
Stanislav Lobotka Central Midfield
6.87
4
Alessandro Buongiorno
Alessandro Buongiorno Left Back
6.75
8
Scott McTominay
Scott McTominay Central Midfield
7.14
13
Amir Rrahmani
Amir Rrahmani Centre Back
7.01

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Napoli holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Napoli a 31.8-point edge. External projection is Pisa 11.8%, draw 21%, and Napoli 67.2%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Pisa vs Napoli preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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