Sassuolo vs Lecce Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore Sun, 17 May - 6:45 PM
Serie A
Sassuolo SAS
Versus
Lecce LEC
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 6:45 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sassuolo host Lecce in Serie A (Regular Season) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore. Domestically, Sassuolo sit 11th in the table while Lecce are 17th. Power ranking favours Lecce by 5.6 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sassuolo's home structure benefits from venue familiarity, while Lecce leverages a 5.6-point power edge for resilience.
  • Form: Sassuolo boasts a stronger form score of 28.06 against Lecce's 5.78.
  • Squad: Sassuolo occupies 11th place, with Lecce at 17th in the Serie A table.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data is available for either team in this matchup.
  • Transition: Lecce's higher power score of 68.64 points to superior transition capabilities over Sassuolo's 63.04.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics show low confidence with no xG data available for Sassuolo or Lecce.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable as the add-on is not enabled for this fixture.
  • Market: Sassuolo 34.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.5% (Δ+0%) | Lecce 35.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sassuolo F. Grosso
F. Grosso
VS
Lecce E. Di Francesco
E. Di Francesco
1.32
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.88
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Torino Rank: 74 L
AC Milan Rank: 85 W
Fiorentina Rank: 77 D
Como Rank: 84 W
Genoa Rank: 75 L
Cagliari Rank: 70 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Juventus Rank: 86 L
Pisa Rank: 63 W
Hellas Verona Rank: 63 D
Fiorentina Rank: 77 D
Bologna Rank: 79 L
Atalanta Rank: 85 L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 4 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sassuolo
34.79%
Draw
29.48%
Away Lecce
35.72%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.04
68.64
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sassuolo
Lecce
Power Score
63.04
68.64
League Position
11
17
Global Rank
100
244

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sassuolo — Opponent-weighted form score
Lecce — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sassuolo Lecce

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sassuolo SAS Home
9 matches
Lecce LEC Away
Match Record
4
Wins
1
4
Draws
4
1
Losses
4
Goals
12
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
12
+3
Goal Difference
-3

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:11:36+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Murić
Kosovo
49 A. Murić
W. Coulibaly
France
25 W. Coulibaly
S. Walukiewicz
Poland
6 S. Walukiewicz
T. Muharemovic
Bosnia and Herzegovina
80 T. Muharemovic
J. Doig
Scotland
3 J. Doig
L. Lipani
Italy
35 L. Lipani
N. Matić
Serbia
18 N. Matić
K. Thorstvedt
Norway
42 K. Thorstvedt
C. Volpato
Italy
7 C. Volpato
A. Pinamonti
Italy
99 A. Pinamonti
A. Lauriente
France
45 A. Lauriente
Pitch
W. Falcone
Italy
30 W. Falcone
A. Gallo
Italy
25 A. Gallo
T. Coelho Oliveira
44 T. Coelho Oliveira
J. Siebert
Germany
5 J. Siebert
M. Pérez Sepúlveda
13 M. Pérez Sepúlveda
O. Ngom
France
79 O. Ngom
Y. Ramadani
Albania
20 Y. Ramadani
L. Banda
Zambia
19 L. Banda
L. Coulibaly
Mali
29 L. Coulibaly
S. Pierotti
Argentina
50 S. Pierotti
W. Cheddira
Morocco
99 W. Cheddira

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Capacity :
21584
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Lineup

Starting XI ▼

49
Arijanet Murić
Arijanet Murić Goalkeeper
7.16
3
Josh Doig
Josh Doig Defender
6.58
6
Sebastian Walukiewicz
Sebastian Walukiewicz Defender
6.71
25
Woyo Coulibaly
Woyo Coulibaly Defender
6.57
80
Tarik Muharemović
Tarik Muharemović Defender
6.96
18
Nemanja Matic
Nemanja Matic Midfielder
6.82
35
Luca Lipani
Luca Lipani Midfielder
6.59
42
Kristian Thorstvedt
Kristian Thorstvedt Midfielder
6.95
7
Cristian Volpato
Cristian Volpato Attacker
6.84
45
Armand Laurienté
Armand Laurienté Attacker
7.02
99
Andrea Pinamonti
Andrea Pinamonti Attacker
6.72

Starting XI ▼

30
Wladimiro Falcone
Wladimiro Falcone Goalkeeper
6.84
5
Jamil Siebert
Jamil Siebert Defender
6.78
13
Matías Pérez
Matías Pérez Defender
6.87
25
Antonino Gallo
Antonino Gallo Defender
6.71
44
Tiago Gabriel
Tiago Gabriel Defender
6.89
20
Ylber Ramadani
Ylber Ramadani Midfielder
6.81
29
Lassana Coulibaly
Lassana Coulibaly Midfielder
6.82
79
Oumar Ngom
Oumar Ngom Midfielder
6.66
19
Lameck Banda
Lameck Banda Attacker
6.66
50
Santiago Pierotti
Santiago Pierotti Attacker
6.53
99
Walid Cheddira
Walid Cheddira Attacker
6.6

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Lecce holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Lecce a 5.6-point edge. External projection is Sassuolo 35%, draw 29.3%, and Lecce 35.7%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Sassuolo vs Lecce preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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