Kayserispor vs Konyaspor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Kadir Has Şehir Stadı Sun, 17 May - 2:00 PM
Super Lig
Kayserispor KAY
2 Winner 1
Konyaspor KON
Full Time Sun, 17 May 2:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season
Fedor Chalov - 74'
László Bénes - 49'
Goal
|
Goal
Eren Cemali Yağmur - 47'
|
Second yellow card Riechedly Bazoer 87'

CONTEXT

Kayserispor defeated Konyaspor 2-1 in a match that remained level at 0-0 through halftime. The home side claimed victory despite Konyaspor entering as the stronger team on paper. Possession finished nearly even with Kayserispor at 49 percent and Konyaspor at 51 percent. A red card issued to Konyaspor altered the second-half dynamics and contributed to the final outcome. No expected goals figures were recorded for either side. The result showed minimal deviation from pre-match structural indicators with Kayserispor as the noted deviating side. Efficiency metrics stayed in line with observed patterns across both halves.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Kayserispor 2-1 Konyaspor. Kayserispor showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with established patterns for both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed because expected goals data was unavailable.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved aligned with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were not defined due to the absence of supporting metrics.
  • Event impact: Second half adjustments centered on red card distortion as the primary factor.
  • Red card distortion: Konyaspor received one red card which distorted second half team balance.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Dakan

Türkiye 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Akarsu

1st Assistant

Türkiye

A. Demirbaş

4th Official

Türkiye

K. Akın

2nd Assistant

Türkiye

League averages

Super Lig Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 24.82
Yellow cards / match 4.47
Red cards / match 0.2
Penalties / match 0.39
Kayserispor E. Moe
E. Moe
VS
Konyaspor İ. Palut
İ. Palut
0.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.24
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Alanyaspor Rank: 68 L
Eyüpspor Rank: 64 D
Rizespor Rank: 69 W
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 64 L
Fenerbahçe Rank: 85 L
Kasımpaşa Rank: 65 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fenerbahçe Rank: 85 L
Rizespor Rank: 68 L
Trabzonspor Rank: 80 W
Antalyaspor Rank: 60 W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 64 W
Samsunspor Rank: 74 D
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 12 - 13
13

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kayserispor
95.23%
Draw
4.58%
Away Konyaspor
0.19%

Movement

Changes since opening
Kayserispor
+0.51%
Draw
-0.51%
Konyaspor
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.29
70.65
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kayserispor
Konyaspor
Power Score
62.29
70.65
League Position
18
9
Global Rank
413
187

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Kayserispor Opponent-weighted form score
Konyaspor Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kayserispor Konyaspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Kayserispor

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Konyaspor

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kayserispor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Konyaspor
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kayserispor Konyaspor
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kayserispor Konyaspor
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kayserispor
Konyaspor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Kayserispor
vs
Konyaspor
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kayserispor Konyaspor
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kayserispor Konyaspor
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Kayserispor
Konyaspor
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KAY had peak pressure around 49'.
  • KON started the game with stronger pressure.
KAY Pressure KON Pressure
Pressure Index: KAY reached the top pressure at 49' (71.49).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 33 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kayserispor KAY Home
33 matches
Konyaspor KON Away
Match Record
8
Wins
13
12
Draws
12
13
Losses
8
Goals
32
Goals Scored
42
42
Goals Conceded
32
-10
Goal Difference
+10

Data last updated: 2026-05-17T13:46:13+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Donmezer
Türkiye
27 D. Donmezer
J. Brenet
Netherlands
30 J. Brenet
D. Toköz
Substitution
Türkiye
24 D. Toköz
S. Güler
Germany
6 S. Güler
J. Katongo
England
2 J. Katongo
L. Carole
France
23 L. Carole
B. Kapacak
Substitution
Türkiye
17 B. Kapacak
G. Sağlam
Germany
61 G. Sağlam
L. Bénes
Slovakia
8 L. Bénes
F. Chalov
Substitution
Russia
63 F. Chalov
I. Tuci
Substitution
Albania
22 I. Tuci
Pitch
D. Ertaş
Substitution
Türkiye
1 D. Ertaş
R. Baniya
Tunisia
22 R. Baniya
R. Bazoer
Netherlands
20 R. Bazoer
89
89
Y. Andzouana
DR Congo
23 Y. Andzouana
J. Jo
Substitution
South Korea
21 J. Jo
A. Boşluk
Türkiye
24 A. Boşluk
S. Svendsen
Norway
32 S. Svendsen
K. Subaşı
Substitution
Türkiye
3 K. Subaşı
İ. Esat Buğa
Substitution
Türkiye
30 İ. Esat Buğa
E.Yağmur
Substitution
Türkiye
27 E.Yağmur

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Kadir Has Şehir Stadı
Capacity :
32864
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Melek Dakan
Serdar Osman Akarsu
Ayberk Demirbaş
Kürşathan Akın

Statistics

Possession
KAY
49%
KON
51%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 4
15 Shots 16
33 Dangerous attacks 32
49 Possession 51
4 Corners 3
12 Free kicks 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

7 Successful Dribbles 11
11 Goal Kicks 6
13 Dribble Attempts 14
54 Successful Dribbles Percentage 79
17 Throwins 12
10 Successful Headers 12
0 Injuries 1
12 Goal Attempts 8
67 Ball Safe 70
0 Hit Woodwork 2
2 Assists 0
4 Substitutions 5

Attacking

86 Attacks 69
1 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

46 Long Passes 54
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41
384 Passes 392
311 Successful Passes 319
81 Successful Passes Percentage 81
21 Successful Long Passes 22
13 Key Passes 11

Defensive

12 Interceptions 9
34 Duels Won 46
6 Tackles 13
2 Saves 8

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 10
1 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

3 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Melek Dakan

Starting XI

27
D. Dönmezer
D. Dönmezer Goalkeeper
6.3
2
J. Katongo
J. Katongo Defender
6.3
6
Semih Güler
Semih Güler Defender
6.7
23
Lionel Carole
Lionel Carole Defender
6.63
24
Dorukhan Toköz
Dorukhan Toköz Defender
6.53
33
Furkan Soyalp
Furkan Soyalp
Midfielder66'
6.74
30
Joshua Brenet
Joshua Brenet Defender
6.25
8
László Bénes
László Bénes Midfielder
7.01
17
Burak Kapacak
Burak Kapacak Midfielder
6.54
10
João Mendes
João Mendes
Midfielder57'
6.9
61
Görkem Sağlam
Görkem Sağlam Midfielder
6.62
22
Indrit Tuci
Indrit Tuci Attacker
6.68
18
Denis Makarov
Denis Makarov
Midfielder57'
6.61
63
Fedor Chalov
Fedor Chalov Attacker
6.76
11
Sam Mather
Sam Mather
Attacker85'
6.72
Referee : Melek Dakan

Starting XI

1
Deniz Ertaş
Deniz Ertaş Goalkeeper
6.79
29
Egemen Aydın
Egemen Aydın
Goalkeeper85'
20
Riechedly Bazoer
Riechedly Bazoer Defender
6.49
22
Rayyan Baniya
Rayyan Baniya Defender
6.42
23
Yhoan Andzouana
Yhoan Andzouana Defender
6.85
89
Ata Yanık Defender
3
Yasir Subaşı
Yasir Subaşı Midfielder
6.63
36
Ahmet Tirpanci
Ahmet Tirpanci
Defender90'
21
Jin-ho Jo
Jin-ho Jo Midfielder
6.67
25
Ömer Çobanoğlu
Ömer Çobanoğlu
Midfielder90'
24
Arif Boşluk
Arif Boşluk Midfielder
6.57
30
İsmail Esat Buğa
İsmail Esat Buğa Midfielder
6.36
35
Enes İlyas Seven
Enes İlyas Seven
Attacker90'
32
Sander Svendsen
Sander Svendsen Midfielder
6.5
27
Eren Cemali Yağmur
Eren Cemali Yağmur Attacker
6.88
34
Ahmet Dagdevir
Ahmet Dagdevir
Midfielder66'

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Ahmet Tirpanci Yasir Subaşı
9th Substitution
90'
Event
Ömer Çobanoğlu Jin-ho Jo
7th Substitution
90'
Event
Enes İlyas Seven İsmail Esat Buğa
8th Substitution
87'
Event
Riechedly Bazoer
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Sam Mather Fedor Chalov
6th Substitution
85'
85'
Event
Egemen Aydın Deniz Ertaş
5th Substitution
84'
Event
Riechedly Bazoer
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Fedor Chalov
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
74'
Event
Furkan Soyalp Dorukhan Toköz
4th Substitution
66'
66'
Event
Ahmet Dagdevir Eren Cemali Yağmur
3rd Substitution
Event
João Mendes Burak Kapacak
2nd Substitution
57'
Event
Denis Makarov Indrit Tuci
1st Substitution
57'
Event
László Bénes
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
49'
47'
Event
Eren Cemali Yağmur
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Laszlo Benes takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
89
Attempt Attempt
Furkan Soyalp takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
89
Substitution Substitution
Omer Cobanoglu is substituted for Jin-ho Jo.
89
Update Update
Enes Ilyas Seven comes on for Ismail Esat Buga.
89
Substitution Substitution
Ahmet Tirpanci is substituted off for Karahan Yasir Subasi.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Riechedly Bazoer receives a second yellow card.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Sam Mather comes on for Fedor Chalov.
84
Update Update
Egemen Aydin comes on for Deniz Ertas.
83
Attempt Attempt
Gorkem Saglam takes a left-footed shot but misses.
79
Attempt Attempt
A left-footed shot is blocked.
77
Attempt Attempt
Sander Svendsen's right-footed shot is blocked.
76
Attempt Attempt
Arif Bosluk takes a left-footed shot but misses.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Fedor Chalov scores, making it 2-1.
74
Attempt Attempt
Fedor Chalov scores with a right-footed shot.
74
Attempt Attempt
Sander Svendsen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
70
Attempt Attempt
Laszlo Benes takes a left-footed shot but misses.
68
Attempt Attempt
Yhoan Andzouana takes a left-footed shot but misses.
67
Attempt Attempt
Semih Guler takes a right-footed shot but misses.
65
Update Update
Furkan Soyalp comes on for Dorukhan Tokoz.
65
Update Update
Ahmet Kusay Dagdevir is on, and Eren Cemali Yagmur is off.
59
Attempt Attempt
Joao Sabino Mendes Neto Saraiva takes a right-footed shot but misses.
56
Attempt Attempt
Laszlo Benes takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
56
Update Update
Denis Makarov comes on for Indrit Tuci.
56
Update Update
Joao Sabino Mendes Neto Saraiva comes on for Burak Kapacak.
53
Attempt Attempt
Sander Svendsen takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
53
Attempt Attempt
Jin-ho Jo's right-footed shot is blocked.
49
Attempt Attempt
Laszlo Benes scores with a left-footed shot.
47
Attempt Attempt
Eren Cemali Yagmur takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
45
Attempt Attempt
Indrit Tuci's right-footed shot is blocked.
36
Attempt Attempt
Laszlo Benes takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
34
Attempt Attempt
Semih Guler takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
32
Attempt Attempt
Sander Svendsen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
30
Attempt Attempt
Indrit Tuci takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
25
Attempt Attempt
Burak Kapacak takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
21
Attempt Attempt
Indrit Tuci takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
17
Attempt Attempt
Riechedly Bazoer takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
4
Attempt Attempt
Yhoan Andzouana takes a left-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Kayserispor secured a 2-1 win over Konyaspor after a scoreless first half. The away side held a slight possession edge yet finished with ten players following a red card. This numerical disadvantage shaped the later stages and allowed the home team to capitalize on openings. Without recorded expected goals the analysis relied on possession and event data to explain the outcome. The result stayed consistent with minimal deviation levels noted before kickoff. Efficiency remained steady rather than showing pronounced shifts. Overall the contest highlighted how a single disciplinary event can override nominal team strength differences in the closing period.

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Author

Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.