Famalicão vs Alverca Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho Tomorrow - 7:30 PM
Liga Portugal
Famalicão FCF
Versus
Alverca ALV
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 7:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Famalicão host Alverca at Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho in a Liga Portugal regular season fixture brimming with home expectation. Nestled in 5th place, Famalicão command a 74.28 power score, eclipsing Alverca's 57.6 in 10th and forging a decisive 16.7-point advantage that permeates their structural setup. This edge promises control in possession and chance creation, leveraging home soil in the 2025/2026 campaign. Form metrics flatline at zero for both, erasing recent benchmarks and heightening unpredictability. With efficiency data absent and set-piece insights hampered by low-confidence proxies, analysis pivots to raw power disparities. Alverca's road resilience faces stern testing against Famalicão's upward trajectory toward continental contention. The visitors must disrupt transitions to harbor hopes, but hosts' framework tilts the scales firmly.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Famalicão holds a 74.28 power score and 5th place over Alverca's 57.6 and 10th.
  • Form: Both teams enter with identical form scores of zero.
  • Squad: Famalicão's squad edges Alverca by a 16.7-point power advantage.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: No specific transition data provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats rely on low-confidence proxies with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable due to data limitations.
  • Market: Baseline split: Famalicão 57.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.1% (Δ+0%) | Alverca 18.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Famalicão H. Carvalho Oliveira
H. Carvalho Oliveira
VS
Alverca C. Dias de Castro
C. Dias de Castro
1.55
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.27
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Estrela Amadora Rank: 58 D
Benfica Rank: 87 D
Estoril Rank: 67 W
Sporting Braga Rank: 82 D
Moreirense Rank: 67 D
Porto Rank: 86 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Estoril Rank: 68 D
Porto Rank: 87 L
Arouca Rank: 65 W
Nacional Rank: 63 L
Casa Pia Rank: 63 W
Rio Ave Rank: 64 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Famalicão
57.13%
Draw
24.11%
Away Alverca
18.76%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
74.28
57.6
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Famalicão
Alverca
Power Score
74.28
57.6
League Position
5
10
Global Rank
129
291

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Famalicão — Opponent-weighted form score
Alverca — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Famalicão Alverca

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Famalicão FCF Home
0 matches
Alverca ALV Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T00:30:16+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
L. Carević
25 L. Carević
G. García dos Santos
2 G. García dos Santos
L. Realpe Montaño
3 L. Realpe Montaño
J. de Haas
16 J. de Haas
L. Soares Alves
5 L. Soares Alves
G. Alves Freitas Azevedo Sá
20 G. Alves Freitas Azevedo Sá
T. van de Looi
6 T. van de Looi
M. De Amorim
14 M. De Amorim
G. Bastião Dias
23 G. Bastião Dias
S. Elisor
12 S. Elisor
M. Lopes Moura
7 M. Lopes Moura
Pitch
M. Ferreira
31 M. Ferreira
N. Meupiyou Menadjou
33 N. Meupiyou Menadjou
S. Gómez Solà
5 S. Gómez Solà
K. Marques Naves
4 K. Marques Naves
D. Spencer Marques
82 D. Spencer Marques
D. Gui
6 D. Gui
L. Oliveira dos Santos
18 L. Oliveira dos Santos
N. Zoubdi Touaizi
2 N. Zoubdi Touaizi
L. Figueiredo dos Santos
20 L. Figueiredo dos Santos
R. Simião Gomes
26 R. Simião Gomes
S. Cordovil de Lima
91 S. Cordovil de Lima

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 07:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Capacity :
5307
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

25
Lazar Carević
Lazar Carević Goalkeeper
7.01
7
Sorriso
Sorriso Attacker
7.05
12
Simon Elisor
Simon Elisor Centre Forward
6.7
23
Gil Dias
Gil Dias Attacker
7.03
2
Garcia
Garcia Right Back
6.71
3
Léo Realpe
Léo Realpe Right Back
6.88
5
Rafa Soares
Rafa Soares Left Back
6.79
6
Tom van de Looi
Tom van de Looi Central Midfield
6.9
14
Mathias de Amorim
Mathias de Amorim Central Midfield
6.97
16
Justin de Haas
Justin de Haas Left Back
7.07
20
Gustavo Sá
Gustavo Sá Central Midfield
6.98

Starting XI ▼

31
Mateus Ferreira
Mateus Ferreira Goalkeeper
2
Nabil Touaizi
Nabil Touaizi Midfielder
6.76
20
Figueiredo
Figueiredo Midfielder
7.02
26
Rhaldney
Rhaldney Midfielder
6.68
82
Diogo Spencer
Diogo Spencer Midfielder
6.63
91
Sandro César Cordovil de Lima
Sandro César Cordovil de Lima Centre Forward
7.3
4
Kaiky Marques Naves
Kaiky Marques Naves Right Back
6.93
5
Sergi Gómez Solà
Sergi Gómez Solà Centre Back
6.54
6
Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui
Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui Central Midfield
6.67
18
Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos
Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos Central Midfield
7.07
33
Bastien Meupiyou
Bastien Meupiyou Left Back
6.56

CONCLUSION

Famalicão stand primed to exploit their pronounced power superiority and loftier league position against Alverca. The 16.7-point gulf underscores a robust home framework poised for dominance in midfield battles and attacking forays. Alverca, trailing in 10th, require an impeccable counter-strategy to counter the hosts' control, especially sans form differentiators. Limited advanced metrics amplify reliance on structural edges, favoring Famalicão's conversion of chances at Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho. This encounter shapes Famalicão's continental aspirations while testing Alverca's mettle. Expect the hosts to secure vital points in their ascent.

Famalicão vs Alverca preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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