Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Pina Manique Tomorrow - 5:00 PM
Liga Portugal
Casa Pia CPAC
Versus
Rio Ave RAFC
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 5:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Casa Pia host Rio Ave in Liga Portugal (Regular Season) at Estádio Pina Manique. Domestically, Casa Pia sit 16th in the table while Rio Ave are 13th. Power ranking favours Rio Ave by 1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rio Ave holds a 1-point power advantage over Casa Pia with scores of 63.76 to 62.74.
  • Form: Rio Ave leads form rankings with a perfect score of 10 against Casa Pia's 9.06.
  • Squad: Casa Pia occupy 16th in the league while Rio Ave sit 13th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable due to absent xG data and low-confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG variable metrics not accessible.
  • Market: Casa Pia 56.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.8% (Δ+0%) | Rio Ave 19.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Casa Pia Á. Pacheco
Á. Pacheco
VS
Rio Ave S. Silaidopoulos
S. Silaidopoulos
0.91
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.05
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 72 W
Tondela Rank: 60 L
Gil Vicente Rank: 69 L
Sporting Braga Rank: 81 L
Santa Clara Rank: 67 D
Alverca Rank: 66 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting CP Rank: 88 L
Gil Vicente Rank: 70 D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 71 L
AVS Rank: 60 D
Santa Clara Rank: 67 W
Alverca Rank: 66 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 3 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Casa Pia
56.6%
Draw
23.81%
Away Rio Ave
19.6%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.74
63.76
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Power Score
62.74
63.76
League Position
16
13
Global Rank
407
371

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Casa Pia — Opponent-weighted form score
Rio Ave — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Casa Pia Rio Ave

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Casa Pia CPAC Home
7 matches
Rio Ave RAFC Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
8
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-05-14T00:04:29+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
P. Sequeira Mejías
1 P. Sequeira Mejías
J. Goulart Silva
4 J. Goulart Silva
D. Bandeira
3 D. Bandeira
David Sousa
43 David Sousa
K. Prieto Machado
19 K. Prieto Machado
L. Ofori
80 L. Ofori
S. Pérez Cardona
42 S. Pérez Cardona
P. Silva Rosas
75 P. Silva Rosas
G. Larrazabal Goikoetxea
72 G. Larrazabal Goikoetxea
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario
10 D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario
J. Freitas Silva Marques
11 J. Freitas Silva Marques
Pitch
C. Miszta
1 C. Miszta
N. Abby
6 N. Abby
G. Teixeira Lopes da Conceição
39 G. Teixeira Lopes da Conceição
J. Esteves Baptista
20 J. Esteves Baptista
M. Vrousai
17 M. Vrousai
A. Papakanellos
19 A. Papakanellos
T. Nikitscher
44 T. Nikitscher
D. Špikić
18 D. Špikić
J. Miller Blesa
11 J. Miller Blesa
D. Bezerra de Oliveira
7 D. Bezerra de Oliveira
T. Folgado Monteiro
9 T. Folgado Monteiro

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estádio Pina Manique
Capacity :
7000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Patrick Sequeira
Patrick Sequeira Goalkeeper
6.67
19
Kevin Prieto
Kevin Prieto Midfielder
6.56
75
Pedro Rosas
Pedro Rosas Midfielder
6.55
10
Dailon Livramento
Dailon Livramento Centre Forward
6.59
72
Gaizka Larrazabal
Gaizka Larrazabal Attacker
6.78
11
João Marques
João Marques Attacker
6.78
3
Kaly
Kaly Centre Back
6.58
4
João Goulart
João Goulart Right Back
6.61
43
David Sousa
David Sousa Left Back
6.76
80
Lawrence Ofori
Lawrence Ofori Central Midfield
6.53
42
Seba Pérez
Seba Pérez Central Midfield
6.65

Starting XI ▼

1
Cezary Miszta
Cezary Miszta Goalkeeper
6.93
9
Tamble Monteiro
Tamble Monteiro Centre Forward
6.74
7
Diogo Bezerra
Diogo Bezerra Right Wing
6.83
19
Antonis Papakanellos
Antonis Papakanellos Defensive Midfield
6.45
20
João Tomé
João Tomé Right Back
6.49
39
Gustavo Mancha
Gustavo Mancha Left Back
6.68
44
Tamás Nikitscher
Tamás Nikitscher Defensive Midfield
6.64
18
Dario Spikic
Dario Spikic Left Wing
6.67
6
Nelson Abbey
Nelson Abbey Left Back
6.59
17
Marios Vrousai
Marios Vrousai Right Back
7.05
11
Jalen Blesa
Jalen Blesa Attacking Midfield
7.07

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Rio Ave holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Rio Ave a 1-point edge. External projection is Casa Pia 56.6%, draw 23.8%, and Rio Ave 19.6%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Casa Pia vs Rio Ave preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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