Estoril vs Benfica Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota Tomorrow - 7:30 PM
Liga Portugal
Estoril EPF
Versus
Benfica SLB
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 7:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Estoril welcomes Benfica to Estádio António Coimbra da Mota for a Liga Portugal regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 9th in the standings, Estoril faces a formidable challenge from 3rd-placed Benfica, who boast a commanding power score of 87.38 compared to Estoril's 68.03, translating to a 19.4-point advantage. This structural edge underscores Benfica's superior overall quality, making them the clear stronger side. With form scores at zero for both and no recent outing details available, early-season dynamics add intrigue, as teams settle into rhythms without established patterns. League positions highlight Benfica's consistency among the elite, while Estoril aims to leverage home advantage. Limited efficiency and set-piece data due to unavailable xG metrics means focus shifts to raw power disparities and positional strength. Benfica's prowess in transitions and squad depth, inferred from power ratings, positions them to control possession and exploit spaces effectively against a resilient but outmatched Estoril defense.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Benfica holds a 19.4-point power advantage over Estoril with scores of 87.38 versus 68.03.
  • Form: Both teams register form scores of 0 with no recent outing or record data available.
  • Squad: Benfica's higher power score indicates superior squad quality compared to Estoril.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics are available for either team.
  • Transition: Benfica's power edge suggests stronger transition play capabilities.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: No xG-related variables provided for analysis.
  • Market: Estoril 11.3% (Δ+0.1%) | Draw 18.6% (Δ+0%) | Benfica 70.1% (Δ-0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Estoril I. Cathro
I. Cathro
VS
Benfica José Mourinho
José Mourinho
1.18
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.36
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Alverca Rank: 67 D
Sporting Braga Rank: 82 D
Famalicão Rank: 73 L
Moreirense Rank: 66 L
Porto Rank: 86 L
Arouca Rank: 67 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Braga Rank: 81 D
Famalicão Rank: 74 D
Moreirense Rank: 67 W
Sporting CP Rank: 89 W
Nacional Rank: 64 W
Casa Pia Rank: 63 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 19
19
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Estoril
11.3%
Draw
18.64%
Away Benfica
70.06%

Movement

Changes since opening
Estoril
+0.08%
Draw
+0.04%
Benfica
-0.12%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.03
87.38
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Estoril
Benfica
Power Score
68.03
87.38
League Position
9
3
Global Rank
256
22

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Estoril — Opponent-weighted form score
Benfica — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Estoril Benfica

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Estoril EPF Home
0 matches
Benfica SLB Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T00:34:37+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Robles Blázquez
1 J. Robles Blázquez
F. Bacher
25 F. Bacher
F. Reis Ferreira
4 F. Reis Ferreira
A. Tsoungui
5 A. Tsoungui
R. Sánchez Sendra
2 R. Sánchez Sendra
M. da Silva Rocha
8 M. da Silva Rocha
J. Holsgrove
10 J. Holsgrove
P. Gaspar Amaral
24 P. Gaspar Amaral
R. Guitane
99 R. Guitane
J. Antunes Carvalho
12 J. Antunes Carvalho
Y. Begraoui
14 Y. Begraoui
Pitch
A. Trubin
1 A. Trubin
S. Dahl
26 S. Dahl
A. Tavares Silva
4 A. Tavares Silva
T. Araújo
44 T. Araújo
A. Dedić
17 A. Dedić
L. Barreiro Martins
18 L. Barreiro Martins
F. Aursnes
8 F. Aursnes
A. Schjelderup
21 A. Schjelderup
R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silva
27 R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silva
G. Prestianni Gross
25 G. Prestianni Gross
F. Ivanović
9 F. Ivanović

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 07:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Capacity :
8000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Joel Robles
Joel Robles Goalkeeper
6.66
12
João Carvalho
João Carvalho Midfielder
7.16
24
Pedro Amaral
Pedro Amaral Midfielder
6.54
99
Rafik Guitane
Rafik Guitane Midfielder
6.85
2
Ricard Sánchez
Ricard Sánchez Midfielder
6.79
14
Yanis Begraoui
Yanis Begraoui Centre Forward
7.05
4
Ferro
Ferro Centre Back
6.8
5
Antef Tsoungui
Antef Tsoungui Left Back
6.76
25
Felix Bacher
Felix Bacher Right Back
6.8
8
Xeka
Xeka Central Midfield
6.63
10
Jordan Holsgrove
Jordan Holsgrove Central Midfield
7.17

Starting XI ▼

1
Anatoliy Trubin
Anatoliy Trubin Goalkeeper
6.8
9
Franjo Ivanović
Franjo Ivanović Centre Forward
6.88
8
Fredrik Aursnes
Fredrik Aursnes Defensive Midfield
7.28
17
Amar Dedić
Amar Dedić Right Back
6.7
4
António Silva
António Silva Left Back
7.07
18
Leandro Barreiro
Leandro Barreiro Defensive Midfield
6.91
21
Andreas Schjelderup
Andreas Schjelderup Left Wing
7.03
25
Gianluca Prestianni
Gianluca Prestianni Right Wing
6.97
26
Samuel Dahl
Samuel Dahl Left Back
6.95
27
Rafa Silva
Rafa Silva Attacking Midfield
6.87
44
Tomás Araújo
Tomás Araújo Right Back
6.99

CONCLUSION

Benfica enters as overwhelming favorites, backed by a substantial 19.4-point power lead and higher league standing, poised to dominate proceedings at Estoril's home ground. Estoril's 9th position offers little resistance against Benfica's elite pedigree, especially with form data absent and set-piece insights unavailable. Expect Benfica to dictate tempo through superior structure and inferred transition efficiency, capitalizing on Estoril's vulnerabilities. While home support may spark moments of defiance, the power chasm points to a comfortable Benfica victory, solidifying their top-tier aspirations in Liga Portugal.

Estoril vs Benfica preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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