Porto vs Santa Clara Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Do Dragão Tomorrow - 2:30 PM
Liga Portugal
Porto FCP
Versus
Santa Clara CDSC
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 2:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Porto host Santa Clara at the Estádio Do Dragão in a Liga Portugal regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. The league leaders, perched atop the standings in first place, wield a formidable power score of 86.04, dwarfing Santa Clara's 67.61 and granting them an 18.4-point advantage. Porto's form score stands at 25.72, superior to the visitors' 18.78, underscoring their momentum. Santa Clara languish in 12th position, facing an uphill battle away from home against a side renowned for home dominance. With domestic league positions highlighting Porto's supremacy, this fixture promises a one-sided affair where the Dragons seek to solidify their title charge. The power disparity suggests Porto's structural edge will shine through in possession and chance creation.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Porto holds a commanding structural edge with an 18.4-point power advantage and first-place league standing over Santa Clara's 12th.
  • Form: Porto's form score of 25.72 outpaces Santa Clara's 18.78.
  • Squad: Porto's squad rates highest via power score at 86.04 compared to Santa Clara's 67.61.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition data unavailable for both teams.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for analysis.
  • Market: Porto 70.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 19.9% (Δ+0%) | Santa Clara 9.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Porto F. Farioli
F. Farioli
VS
Santa Clara Petit
Petit
2.45
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.14
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
AVS Rank: 58 L
Alverca Rank: 66 W
Estrela Amadora Rank: 58 W
Tondela Rank: 60 W
Estoril Rank: 68 W
Famalicão Rank: 74 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nacional Rank: 65 W
Arouca Rank: 65 D
Sporting Braga Rank: 81 W
Casa Pia Rank: 63 D
Rio Ave Rank: 64 L
Sporting CP Rank: 88 L
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 2 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Porto
70.41%
Draw
19.85%
Away Santa Clara
9.73%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
86.04
67.61
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Porto
Santa Clara
Power Score
86.04
67.61
League Position
1
12
Global Rank
31
264

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Porto — Opponent-weighted form score
Santa Clara — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Porto Santa Clara

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Porto FCP Home
13 matches
Santa Clara CDSC Away
Match Record
11
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
11
Goals
23
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
23
+18
Goal Difference
-18

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T00:07:46+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
C. Morais Ramos
14 C. Morais Ramos
A. Costa
20 A. Costa
T. da Silva
3 T. da Silva
J. Kiwior
4 J. Kiwior
F. Moura
74 F. Moura
S. Fofana
42 S. Fofana
A. Varela
22 A. Varela
R. Mora Carvalho
86 R. Mora Carvalho
E. Aquino Cossa
11 E. Aquino Cossa
D. Gül
27 D. Gül
B. Sainz Eguskiza
17 B. Sainz Eguskiza
Pitch
J. Afonso
50 J. Afonso
P. de Almeida Barbosa
64 P. de Almeida Barbosa
S. Pena De Lima
23 S. Pena De Lima
P. Pacheco Seabra
4 P. Pacheco Seabra
D. Dos Santos Cabral
2 D. Dos Santos Cabral
A. Felisberto dos Santos
78 A. Felisberto dos Santos
J. Rocha Tavares
65 J. Rocha Tavares
G. Silva Vieira
10 G. Silva Vieira
G. Dimaraes Miranda
77 G. Dimaraes Miranda
W. dos Santos
49 W. dos Santos
G. Mendes Paciencia
39 G. Mendes Paciencia

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estádio Do Dragão
Capacity :
50033
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

14
Cláudio Ramos
Cláudio Ramos Goalkeeper
6.16
11
Pepê
Pepê Attacker
6.96
17
Borja Sainz
Borja Sainz Attacker
6.84
27
Deniz Gül
Deniz Gül Centre Forward
6.65
3
Thiago Silva
Thiago Silva Right Back
6.86
4
Jakub Kiwior
Jakub Kiwior Left Back
7.17
20
Alberto Costa
Alberto Costa Right Back
7.03
22
Alan Varela
Alan Varela Central Midfield
6.95
42
Seko Fofana
Seko Fofana Central Midfield
6.82
74
Francisco Moura
Francisco Moura Left Back
6.73
86
Rodrigo Mora
Rodrigo Mora Central Midfield
6.83

Starting XI ▼

50
João de Oliveira Afonso
João de Oliveira Afonso Goalkeeper
39
Gonçalo Paciência
Gonçalo Paciência Centre Forward
6.71
49
Welinton Torrão
Welinton Torrão Right Wing
6.69
65
Djé
Djé Defensive Midfield
6.68
2
Diogo Calila
Diogo Calila Right Back
6.52
4
Pedro Pacheco
Pedro Pacheco Right Back
7.09
10
Gabriel Silva
Gabriel Silva Left Wing
6.89
23
Sidney Lima
Sidney Lima Left Back
6.86
64
Paulo Victor
Paulo Victor Left Back
6.74
77
Gustavo Klismahn
Gustavo Klismahn Attacking Midfield
6.79
78
Andrey
Andrey Defensive Midfield
7.2

CONCLUSION

Porto's overwhelming advantages in power, form, and league position position them as clear favorites against a struggling Santa Clara side. At the Estádio Do Dragão, the hosts' superior metrics across the board should translate into control and goals. Santa Clara's lower rankings and form score indicate defensive resilience will be tested, likely succumbing to Porto's attacking prowess. Expect the league leaders to secure a comfortable victory, extending their dominance in the Liga Portugal standings.

Porto vs Santa Clara preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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