Moreirense vs AVS Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas Sat, 16 May - 2:30 PM
Liga Portugal
Moreirense MFC
0 – 0
AVS AFS
Full Time Sat, 16 May 2:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Moreirense hosted AVS in a tightly contested fixture that concluded with a 0-0 draw. The home side controlled proceedings with 64 percent possession yet failed to convert territorial dominance into goals. AVS defended compactly and limited clear opportunities throughout both halves. The halftime score stood at 0-0 with no goals registered before the interval. Neither team received red cards, allowing the match to unfold without numerical imbalances. Moreirense entered as the stronger side but could not break down the visitors resolute organization. The final result reflected a balanced encounter where defensive discipline overshadowed attacking intent from both teams.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A moderate structural deviation of 8.6 percent was recorded in favor of Moreirense.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with observed performance patterns.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data proved unavailable for any alignment evaluation.
  • Market alignment: The final outcome stayed aligned with pre-match projections.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals projections stayed neutral owing to missing data.
  • Event impact: No major events disrupted the flow of the 0-0 contest.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured the match progressed without distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. dos Santos Guelho

Portugal 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

H. Tavares dos Santos

1st Assistant

Portugal

A. Pontes Ferreira

2nd Assistant

Portugal

T. Gonçalves Rodrigues

4th Official

Portugal

League averages

Liga Portugal Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 24.01
Yellow cards / match 4.38
Red cards / match 0.16
Penalties / match 0.37
Moreirense V. de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
V. de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
VS
AVS J. Oliveira Nunes Henriques
J. Oliveira Nunes Henriques
1.09
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.77
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tondela Rank: 61 L
Estrela Amadora Rank: 59 W
Benfica Rank: 87 L
Estoril Rank: 68 W
Famalicão Rank: 74 D
Sporting Braga Rank: 81 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Porto Rank: 87 W
Nacional Rank: 65 W
Sporting CP Rank: 88 D
Rio Ave Rank: 64 D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 71 D
Gil Vicente Rank: 69 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Moreirense
4.96%
Draw
91.42%
Away AVS
3.62%

Movement

Changes since opening
Moreirense
-2.27%
Draw
+3.59%
AVS
-1.33%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
66.71
59.69
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Moreirense
AVS
Power Score
66.71
59.69
League Position
8
18
Global Rank
277
493

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Moreirense — Opponent-weighted form score
AVS — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Moreirense AVS

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Moreirense

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

AVS

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Moreirense ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy AVS
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Moreirense AVS
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Moreirense AVS
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Moreirense
AVS
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Moreirense
vs
AVS
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Moreirense AVS
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Moreirense 0.00
AVS 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Moreirense AVS
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Moreirense 0.00
AVS 0.00
Moreirense
AVS
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MFC had peak pressure around 74'.
  • MFC started the game with stronger pressure.
MFC Pressure AFS Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: MFC reached the top pressure at 74' (97.21).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Moreirense MFC Home
3 matches
AVS AFS Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
6
+5
Goal Difference
-5

Data last updated: 2026-05-16T14:15:49+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Simões Domingues
Portugal
16 M. Simões Domingues
F. de Souza Silva
Substitution
Brazil
70 F. de Souza Silva
G. Dambi Batista
Portugal
66 G. Dambi Batista
K. Monteiro de Souza
Brazil
4 K. Monteiro de Souza
F. Teixeira Domingues
Substitution
Portugal
27 F. Teixeira Domingues
J. Gower
Substitution
England
30 J. Gower
R. Alonso Martín
Spain
21 R. Alonso Martín
D. Martins Travassos
Portugal
2 D. Martins Travassos
N. John
England
23 N. John
F. Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso
Substitution
Portugal
10 F. Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso
Y. Farias de Sousa
Substitution
Brazil
99 Y. Farias de Sousa
Pitch
S. Verza Bertelli
Substitution
Brazil
93 S. Verza Bertelli
L. Rivas
Paraguay
12 L. Rivas
P. Leal Sousa Lima
Brazil
3 P. Leal Sousa Lima
C. Castro
Colombia
42 C. Castro
M. Cardoso Francisco
Brazil
97 M. Cardoso Francisco
Á. Algobia Esteves
Substitution
Spain
27 Á. Algobia Esteves
G. Mendonça
Portugal
23 G. Mendonça
G. Neiva Silva
Substitution
Brazil
21 G. Neiva Silva
R. Medeiros de Moura
Substitution
Brazil
70 R. Medeiros de Moura
B. Akinsola
Nigeria
11 B. Akinsola
D. Duarte Garcete
Substitution
Paraguay
20 D. Duarte Garcete

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Capacity :
6150
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho
Hugo Daniel Tavares dos Santos
Alexandre Pontes Ferreira
Tiago Miguel Gonçalves Rodrigues

Statistics

Possession
MFC
61%
AFS
39%

Top Statistics

2 Big Chances Created 3
5 Shots 4
52 Dangerous attacks 21
64 Possession 36
5 Corners 3
12 Free kicks 10
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

11 Successful Headers 12
8 Goal Kicks 8
15 Throwins 21
37 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
52 Ball Safe 49
9 Goal Attempts 7
1 Hit Woodwork 0
19 Dribble Attempts 8
7 Successful Dribbles 3
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

115 Attacks 55
2 Big Chances Missed 3
2 Counter Attacks 0

Possession

60 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39
536 Passes 308
474 Successful Passes 229
50 Long Passes 59
88 Successful Passes Percentage 74
30 Successful Long Passes 23
8 Key Passes 5

Defensive

41 Duels Won 44
11 Tackles 20
14 Interceptions 12
0 Saves 4

Build-up

30 Total Crosses 5
9 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

10 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 6

Lineup

Referee : Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho

Starting XI ▼

16
Michael Simões Domingues
Michael Simões Domingues Goalkeeper
6.5
4
Kevyn Monteiro
Kevyn Monteiro Defender
6.83
27
Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues
Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues Defender
6.66
17
Álvaro Martínez Navarro
Álvaro Martínez Navarro
Defender62'
6.49
66
Gilberto Dambi Batista
Gilberto Dambi Batista Defender
6.68
70
Fabiano Josué de Souza Silva
Fabiano Josué de Souza Silva Defender
6.39
71
Leandro Santos
Leandro Santos
Defender62'
6.67
2
Travassos
Travassos Midfielder
6.88
10
Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso
Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso Midfielder
6.66
7
Cedric Wilfried Teguia Noubi
Cedric Wilfried Teguia Noubi
Attacker76'
6.63
21
Rodrigo Alonso Martín
Rodrigo Alonso Martín Midfielder
6.69
23
Nile John
Nile John Midfielder
6.54
30
Jimi Gower
Jimi Gower Midfielder
6.29
11
Alan de Souza Guimarães
Alan de Souza Guimarães
Midfielder62'
7
99
Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa
Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa Attacker
6.52
9
Luís Semedo
Luís Semedo
Attacker75'
6.71
Referee : Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho

Starting XI ▼

93
Simão Verza Bertelli
Simão Verza Bertelli Goalkeeper
6.4
88
Pedro José da Silva Trigueira
Pedro José da Silva Trigueira
Goalkeeper83'
6.84
3
Paulo Vitor
Paulo Vitor Defender
6.56
12
Leonardo Rivas
Leonardo Rivas Defender
6.64
42
Cristian David Castro Devenish
Cristian David Castro Devenish Defender
6.57
97
Mateus Pivô
Mateus Pivô Defender
6.57
11
Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola
Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola Midfielder
6.62
21
Guilherme Neiva Silva
Guilherme Neiva Silva Midfielder
6.64
25
Andre Green
Andre Green
Attacker83'
6.53
23
Gustavo Pinto Mendonça
Gustavo Pinto Mendonça Midfielder
6.71
27
Ángel Algobia Esteves
Ángel Algobia Esteves Midfielder
6.66
19
Tiago Galletto López
Tiago Galletto López
Midfielder73'
6.54
70
Roni
Roni Midfielder
6.9
24
Christian Neiva Afonso
Christian Neiva Afonso
Defender85'
6.54
20
Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete
Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete Attacker
6.68
7
Tomané
Tomané
Attacker73'
6.88

Events

2ND-HALF
85'
Event
Christian Neiva Afonso → Roni
10th Substitution
84'
Event
Gustavo Pinto Mendonça
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
83'
Event
Pedro José da Silva Trigueira → Simão Verza Bertelli
9th Substitution
83'
Event
Andre Green → Guilherme Neiva Silva
8th Substitution
Event
Cedric Wilfried Teguia Noubi → Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Luís Semedo → Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa
6th Substitution
75'
Event
Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa
Simulation / 4th Yellowcard
73'
73'
Event
Tomané → Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete
5th Substitution
73'
Event
Tiago Galletto López → Ángel Algobia Esteves
4th Substitution
Event
Álvaro Martínez Navarro → Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Leandro Santos → Fabiano Josué de Souza Silva
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Alan de Souza Guimarães → Jimi Gower
1st Substitution
62'
57'
Event
Guilherme Neiva Silva
Goal disallowed
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Roni
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
35'
Event
Mateus Pivô
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Rodrigo Alonso Martín
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
5'

Match Commentary

88
Attempt Attempt
Diogo Travassos takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
84
Update Update
Christian Neiva Afonso Kiki is on, and Roni is off.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Andrew Greensmith comes on for Guilherme Neiva.
82
Update Update
Pedro Trigueira replaces Simao Verza Bertelli.
78
Attempt Attempt
Mateus Cardoso Francisco takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
77
Attempt Attempt
Mateus Cardoso Francisco takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
75
Update Update
Cedric Teguia replaces Kiko Bondoso.
75
Substitution Substitution
Luis Semedo is substituted for Yan Maranhao.
74
Attempt Attempt
Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola takes a left-footed shot but misses.
73
Substitution Substitution
Antonio Manuel Fernandes Mendes comes on for Tomane, who is substituted off for Diego Duarte.
73
Update Update
Tiago Galletto is on, and Angel Algobia is off.
72
Update Update
Kevyn Monteiro's header is blocked.
69
Attempt Attempt
Alan de Souza Guimaraes takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
69
Attempt Attempt
Nile John takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
67
Attempt Attempt
Kiko Bondoso's left-footed shot is blocked.
66
Attempt Attempt
Diego Duarte takes a left-footed shot but misses.
65
Attempt Attempt
Kevyn Monteiro's header is saved.
62
Update Update
Alvaro Martinez replaces Kiko Bondoso.
62
Substitution Substitution
Alan de Souza Guimaraes is substituted off for Jimi Gower.
61
Update Update
Leandro Santos replaces Fabiano Josué De Souza Silva.
54
Update Update
VAR decision results in a disallowed goal for Guilherme Neiva.
54
Attempt Attempt
Guilherme Neiva scores with a left-footed shot.
51
Attempt Attempt
Diogo Travassos takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Yan Maranhao scores to make it 1-0.
45
Attempt Attempt
Diogo Travassos takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Diego Duarte takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
44
Attempt Attempt
Diogo Travassos takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
42
Attempt Attempt
Kiko takes a left-footed shot but misses.
37
Attempt Attempt
Nile John takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
6
Attempt Attempt
Guilherme Neiva takes a right-footed shot but misses.
2
Attempt Attempt
Nile John takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 stalemate highlighted Moreirense inability to translate possession superiority into decisive moments against a disciplined AVS side. Both teams prioritized structure over risk, resulting in limited high-quality chances across ninety minutes. Defensive organization proved the defining factor as attacking transitions rarely threatened either goalkeeper. The absence of red cards maintained parity and allowed tactical adjustments to dictate proceedings without forced changes. Moreirense will reflect on wasted opportunities while AVS can take pride in a hard-earned point on the road. This draw leaves both sides with lessons on converting control into goals in future outings.

Moreirense vs AVS preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Liga Portugal, Portugal View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ

Author

Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.