Piast Gliwice vs Raków Częstochowa Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Sun, 17 May - 10:15 AM
Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
1 Winner 3
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
Full Time Sun, 17 May 10:15 AM
Round 33 Regular Season
Patryk Dziczek - 89'
Goal
|
Goal
Tomasz Pienko - 25'
Marko Bulat - 20'
Jean Carlos Silva - 1'

CONTEXT

In a compelling league encounter, Piast Gliwice faced Rakow Czestochowa and suffered a 1-3 defeat. The away side established a commanding lead by scoring three goals before the break, resulting in a halftime score of 0-3. Piast Gliwice maintained a significant possession advantage at 67 percent but struggled to convert opportunities into goals until late in the game. Rakow Czestochowa, the stronger team on paper, demonstrated efficiency by capitalizing on their chances. The match unfolded without any red cards, allowing both teams to field full squads throughout. The final score reflected Rakow's dominance in the first half and their ability to hold on despite reduced possession in the second period. This outcome underscores the importance of early scoring in such fixtures.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Piast Gliwice held 67 percent possession compared to Rakow Czestochowa's 33 percent.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expectations based on the match data.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable, preventing alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was aligned with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: No xG expectations could be evaluated due to missing data.
  • Event impact: Rakow Czestochowa's three first-half goals determined the 1-3 final result.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued, resulting in no distortion to the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

D. Stefanski

Poland 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Winkler

1st Assistant

Poland

T. Niemirowski

2nd Assistant

Poland

M. Kuropatwa

4th Official

Poland

League averages

Ekstraklasa Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.82
Yellow cards / match 3.48
Red cards / match 0.2
Penalties / match 0.19
Piast Gliwice D. Myśliwiec
D. Myśliwiec
VS
Raków Częstochowa D. Kroczek
D. Kroczek
1.58
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.44
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Katowice Rank: 66 D
Korona Kielce Rank: 60 D
Arka Gdynia Rank: 56 W
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 58 D
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 63 L
Nieciecza Rank: 51 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 65 L
Korona Kielce Rank: 61 W
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 61 W
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 60 W
Motor Lublin Rank: 60 D
Widzew Lodz Rank: 60 D
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 1 - 8
8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Piast Gliwice
0.2%
Draw
1.92%
Away Raków Częstochowa
97.89%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.36
68.5
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Piast Gliwice
Raków Częstochowa
Power Score
60.36
68.5
League Position
13
4
Global Rank
468
233

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Piast Gliwice — Opponent-weighted form score
Raków Częstochowa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Piast Gliwice Raków Częstochowa

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Piast Gliwice

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Raków Częstochowa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Piast Gliwice ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Raków Częstochowa
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
53.21
20.76
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.76
53.21
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Piast Gliwice +2.97 Efficiency Index
vs
Raków Częstochowa -2.97 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Piast Gliwice
Raków Częstochowa
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Piast Gliwice ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Raków Częstochowa
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Piast Gliwice Raków Częstochowa
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Piast Gliwice Raków Częstochowa
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Piast Gliwice
Raków Częstochowa
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Piast Gliwice
vs
Raków Częstochowa
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Piast Gliwice Raków Częstochowa
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Piast Gliwice 0.33
Raków Częstochowa 0.35
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Piast Gliwice Raków Częstochowa
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Piast Gliwice 0.18
Raków Częstochowa 0.01
Piast Gliwice
Raków Częstochowa
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Piast Gliwice had peak pressure around 64'.
  • Piast Gliwice started the game with stronger pressure.
Piast Gliwice Pressure Raków Częstochowa Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Piast Gliwice reached the top pressure at 64' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice Home
13 matches
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa Away
Match Record
4
Wins
8
1
Draws
1
8
Losses
4
Goals
11
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
11
-7
Goal Difference
+7

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:58:54+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
D. Holec
Slovakia
30 D. Holec
F. Borowski
Substitution
Poland
28 F. Borowski
J. Rivas Margalef
Spain
5 J. Rivas Margalef
I. Drapiński
Poland
29 I. Drapiński
J. Lewicki
Poland
36 J. Lewicki
O. Leśniak
Substitution
Poland
31 O. Leśniak
P. Dziczek
Poland
10 (C) P. Dziczek
H. Vallejo Avilés
Spain
80 H. Vallejo Avilés
J. Eyenga-Lokilo
Substitution
DR Congo
98 J. Eyenga-Lokilo
Q. Boisgard
Substitution
France
17 Q. Boisgard
G. Barkovskiy
Substitution
Belarus
63 G. Barkovskiy
Pitch
K. Trelowski
Poland
1 K. Trelowski
A. Mosór
Substitution
Poland
2 A. Mosór
B. Racovitan
France
25 (C) B. Racovitan
P. Dawidowicz
Poland
27 P. Dawidowicz
J. Silva Rocha
Brazil
20 J. Silva Rocha
M. Bulat
Croatia
5 M. Bulat
O. Repka
Substitution
Poland
6 O. Repka
M. Ameyaw
Poland
19 M. Ameyaw
T. Pieńko
Substitution
Poland
8 T. Pieńko
J. Brunes
Substitution
Norway
18 J. Brunes
P. Makuch
Substitution
Poland
9 P. Makuch

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 10:15 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Miejski
Capacity :
15139
Attendance :
6763
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Daniel Stefanski
Jacub Winkler
Tomasz Niemirowski
Maciej Kuropatwa

Statistics

Possession
Piast Gliwice
63%
Raków Częstochowa
37%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
5 Big Chances Created 1
31 Shots 6
93 Dangerous attacks 17
67 Possession 33
9 Corners 0
7 Free kicks 16
6 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

13 Throwins 10
64 Successful Dribbles Percentage 43
14 Dribble Attempts 7
3 Goal Kicks 17
5 Substitutions 5
1 Assists 1
9 Successful Dribbles 3
56 Ball Safe 91
0 Injuries 3
16 Goal Attempts 6

Attacking

109 Attacks 71
5 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

512 Passes 267
83 Successful Passes Percentage 69
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38
427 Successful Passes 184
48 Long Passes 65
21 Successful Long Passes 25
22 Key Passes 3

Defensive

9 Interceptions 7
2 Saves 7
46 Duels Won 53
9 Tackles 7

Build-up

47 Total Crosses 0
11 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

16 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Daniel Stefanski

Starting XI ▼

30
Dominik Holec
Dominik Holec Goalkeeper
5.95
5
Juande Rivas
Juande Rivas Defender
6.18
28
Filip Borowski
Filip Borowski Defender
5.33
55
Ema Twumasi
Ema Twumasi
Defender46'
6.75
29
Igor Drapinski
Igor Drapinski Defender
7.02
36
Jakub Lewicki
Jakub Lewicki Defender
6.92
10
Patryk Dziczek
Patryk Dziczek (C) Midfielder
8.65
17
Quentin Boisgard
Quentin Boisgard Midfielder
6.52
7
Jorge Félix
Jorge Félix
Attacker46'
7.1
31
Oskar Lesniak
Oskar Lesniak Midfielder
6.26
18
Oliwier Maziarz
Oliwier Maziarz
Midfielder80'
6.61
80
Hugo Vallejo
Hugo Vallejo Midfielder
6.65
98
Jason Lokilo
Jason Lokilo Midfielder
6.76
11
Leandro Sanca
Leandro Sanca
Midfielder73'
7.26
63
German Barkovskiy
German Barkovskiy Attacker
7.42
70
Andreas Katsantonis
Andreas Katsantonis
Attacker64'
6.53
Referee : Daniel Stefanski

Starting XI ▼

1
Kacper Trelowski
Kacper Trelowski Goalkeeper
8.31
2
Ariel Mosor
Ariel Mosor Defender
6.63
4
Stratos Svarnas
Stratos Svarnas
Defender81'
6.29
25
Bogdan Racovițan
Bogdan Racovițan (C) Defender
6.65
27
Paweł Dawidowicz
Paweł Dawidowicz Defender
7.1
5
Marko Bulat
Marko Bulat Midfielder
7.34
6
Oskar Repka
Oskar Repka Midfielder
6.6
30
Vladyslav Kochergin
Vladyslav Kochergin
Midfielder44'
6.48
19
Michael Ameyaw
Michael Ameyaw Midfielder
6.81
20
Jean Carlos Silva
Jean Carlos Silva Midfielder
8.61
8
Tomasz Pienko
Tomasz Pienko Attacker
7.2
11
Adriano
Adriano
Midfielder68'
6.46
9
Patryk Makuch
Patryk Makuch Attacker
6.76
10
Ivi López
Ivi López
Midfielder81'
6.67
18
Jonatan Braut Brunes
Jonatan Braut Brunes Attacker
6.58
17
Leonardo Rocha
Leonardo Rocha
Attacker68'
6.94

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Igor Drapinski
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Patryk Dziczek
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
89'
Event
Ema Twumasi
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
87'
81'
Event
Ivi López → Patryk Makuch
9th Substitution
81'
Event
Stratos Svarnas → Ariel Mosor
10th Substitution
Event
Oliwier Maziarz → Oskar Lesniak
8th Substitution
80'
Event
Leandro Sanca → Jason Lokilo
7th Substitution
73'
68'
Event
Leonardo Rocha → Jonatan Braut Brunes
6th Substitution
68'
Event
Adriano → Tomasz Pienko
5th Substitution
Event
Andreas Katsantonis → German Barkovskiy
4th Substitution
64'
61'
Event
Ariel Mosor
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Juande Rivas
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
52'
Event
Ema Twumasi → Filip Borowski
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Jorge Félix → Quentin Boisgard
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
Vladyslav Kochergin → Oskar Repka
1st Substitution
Event
German Barkovskiy
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
39'
Event
Oskar Lesniak
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
38'
Event
Jason Lokilo
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
32'
25'
Event
Tomasz Pienko
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
20'
Event
Marko Bulat
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
1'
Event
Jean Carlos Silva
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Leonardo Miramar Rocha takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Ivan Lopez Alvarez, but his right-footed shot is saved.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jorge Felix receives a yellow card.
90
Attempt Attempt
Leandro Mario Balde Sanca takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
89
Attempt Attempt
Patryk Dziczek scores with a right-footed shot.
84
Attempt Attempt
Leandro Mario Balde Sanca takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
81
Update Update
Stratos Svarnas is on, and Ariel Mosor is off.
81
Substitution Substitution
Ivan Lopez Alvarez is substituted for Patryk Makuch.
80
Update Update
Oliwier Maziarz comes on for Oskar Lesniak.
78
Attempt Attempt
Andreas Katsantonis takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
73
Attempt Attempt
Juan de Dios Rivas attempts a header but misses the shot.
73
Update Update
Leandro Mario Balde Sanca replaces Jason Eyenga Lokilo.
71
Attempt Attempt
Andreas Katsantonis takes a left-footed shot but misses.
71
Attempt Attempt
Andreas Katsantonis takes a left-footed shot but misses.
71
Attempt Attempt
Andreas Katsantonis takes a left-footed shot but misses.
69
Attempt Attempt
Patryk Dziczek takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
68
Update Update
Leonardo Miramar Rocha is on, and Jonatan Braut Brunes is off.
68
Substitution Substitution
Adriano Luis Amorim Santos is substituted off for Tomasz Pienko.
64
Substitution Substitution
Andreas Katsantonis is substituted off for German Barkovskiy.
64
Attempt Attempt
Tomasz Pienko takes a right-footed shot but misses.
62
Attempt Attempt
German Barkovskiy takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
62
Attempt Attempt
Jorge Felix takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
62
Attempt Attempt
Jorge Felix takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
57
Attempt Attempt
Patryk Dziczek takes a right-footed shot but misses.
56
Attempt Attempt
Igor Drapinski attempts a header but misses the shot.
52
Attempt Attempt
Hugo Claudio Vallejo Aviles takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
50
Attempt Attempt
Emmanuel Twumasi's right-footed shot is blocked.
47
Attempt Attempt
German Barkovskiy attempts a header but misses the shot.
46
Update Update
Jorge Felix is on, and Quentin Boisgard is off.
46
Attempt Attempt
German Barkovskiy takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
46
Update Update
Emmanuel Twumasi comes on for Filip Borowski.
46
Attempt Attempt
Jorge Felix takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
46
Attempt Attempt
German Barkovskiy takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Jason Eyenga Lokilo takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
44
Update Update
Vladyslav Kochergin comes on for Oskar Repka.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Oskar Lesniak receives a yellow card.
33
Attempt Attempt
Patryk Dziczek takes a right-footed shot but misses.
33
Attempt Attempt
Oskar Lesniak's left-footed shot is blocked.
33
Attempt Attempt
Patryk Dziczek takes a right-footed shot but misses.
33
Attempt Attempt
Jason Eyenga Lokilo takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Juan de Dios Rivas receives a yellow card.
32
Attempt Attempt
Juan de Dios Rivas had a header saved.
25
Attempt Attempt
Tomasz Pienko scores with a left-footed shot.
25
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tomasz Pienko scores, making it 3-0.
23
Update Update
Igor Drapinski's header is blocked.
20
Attempt Attempt
Marko Bulat takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
17
Attempt Attempt
Juan de Dios Rivas takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
16
Attempt Attempt
Oskar Lesniak's right-footed shot is blocked.
14
Attempt Attempt
German Barkovskiy attempts a header but misses the shot.
5
Attempt Attempt
Jakub Lewicki's left-footed shot is saved.
1
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jean Carlos Silva Rocha scores, making it 1-0.
1
Attempt Attempt
Jean Carlos Silva Rocha takes a shot with his right foot and scores.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Piast Gliwice 1-3 Raków Częstochowa. Structural assessment: Raków Częstochowa exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Piast Gliwice vs Raków Częstochowa preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Ekstraklasa, Poland View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ

Author

Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.