Fredericia vs Silkeborg IF Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Monjasa Park Sun, 17 May - 12:00 PM
Superliga
Fredericia Fredericia
4 Winner 1
Silkeborg IF SIL
Full Time Sun, 17 May 12:00 PM
Round 10 Relegation Round
Sofus Johannesen - 74'
Jonatan Holm Lindekilde - 41'
Jakob Jessen - 33'
Svenn Crone - 26'
Goal
|
Goal
William Kirk - 79'

CONTEXT

Fredericia secured a 4-1 victory over Silkeborg IF after establishing a commanding 3-0 lead by halftime. The home side controlled proceedings with 60 percent possession and converted opportunities efficiently to add a fourth goal after the break. Although Silkeborg IF entered as the stronger team, Fredericia produced an xG total of 2.79 against 1.53 for the visitors, a differential of 1.26 that matched the final result. This outcome reflected a significant 50.7 percent deviation from pre-match projections centered on the home team. Both sides avoided any dismissals, allowing uninterrupted tactical execution across the full ninety minutes. The performance underscored Fredericia's ability to exceed expectations through structured attacking play and solid defensive organization.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Fredericia produced a significant 50.7 percent structural deviation from pre-match projections.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with overall team performance indicators.
  • xG alignment: The outcome stayed consistent with xG totals of 2.79 to 1.53.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations anticipated a narrower margin than the 4-1 scoreline.
  • Event impact: The first-half scoring burst created decisive event impact on match flow.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards eliminated any red card distortion from proceedings.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

F. Svendsen

Denmark 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

L. Hummelgaard

1st Assistant

Denmark

D. Rasmussen

2nd Assistant

Denmark

J. Bøgelund

4th Official

Denmark

League averages

Superliga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 23.02
Yellow cards / match 3.4
Red cards / match 0.13
Penalties / match 0.27
Fredericia M. Hansen
M. Hansen
VS
Silkeborg IF K. Nielsen
K. Nielsen
1.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 49 L
FC København Rank: 70 D
Odense BK Rank: 57 L
Randers FC Rank: 57 D
Silkeborg IF Rank: 58 D
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 51 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC København Rank: 70 L
Odense BK Rank: 59 W
Randers FC Rank: 58 W
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 51 W
Fredericia Rank: 53 D
Odense BK Rank: 57 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fredericia
49.26%
Draw
21.95%
Away Silkeborg IF
28.8%

Movement

Changes since opening
Fredericia
-48.34%
Draw
+20.04%
Silkeborg IF
+28.31%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
44.92
57.94
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fredericia
Silkeborg IF
Power Score
44.92
57.94
League Position
10
11
Global Rank
694
551

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fredericia — Opponent-weighted form score
Silkeborg IF — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fredericia Silkeborg IF

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Fredericia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Silkeborg IF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Fredericia ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Silkeborg IF
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
50.83
26.50
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.50
50.83
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Fredericia +2.31 Efficiency Index
vs
Silkeborg IF -2.31 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Fredericia
Silkeborg IF
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Fredericia
vs
Silkeborg IF
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Fredericia Silkeborg IF
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Fredericia Silkeborg IF
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Fredericia
Silkeborg IF
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Fredericia
vs
Silkeborg IF
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Fredericia Silkeborg IF
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Fredericia 0.39
Silkeborg IF 0.28
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Fredericia Silkeborg IF
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Fredericia 0.03
Silkeborg IF 0.06
Fredericia
Silkeborg IF
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Fredericia had peak pressure around 15'.
  • Fredericia started the game with stronger pressure.
Fredericia Pressure SIL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Fredericia reached the top pressure at 15' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fredericia Fredericia Home
3 matches
Silkeborg IF SIL Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
6
+3
Goal Difference
-3

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:59:28+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
V. Thorsen
Denmark
90 V. Thorsen
S. Crone
Substitution
Denmark
12 S. Crone
J. Kudsk
Substitution
Denmark
4 J. Kudsk
F. Thykær Rieper
Denmark
5 (C) F. Thykær Rieper
J. Jessen
Denmark
8 J. Jessen
A. Andersen
Substitution
Denmark
18 A. Andersen
F. Winther
Denmark
6 F. Winther
S. Østergaard Grandjean Johannesen
Denmark
16 S. Østergaard Grandjean Johannesen
D. Kristjánsson
Substitution
Iceland
17 D. Kristjánsson
J. Holm Lindekilde
Denmark
21 J. Holm Lindekilde
F. Ubi Etim
Substitution
Nigeria
25 F. Ubi Etim
Pitch
N. Larsen
Denmark
1 (C) N. Larsen
R. Østrøm
Norway
3 R. Østrøm
P. Machado Ganchas
Portugal
4 P. Machado Ganchas
A. Madsen
Denmark
24 A. Madsen
J. Gammelby
Denmark
19 J. Gammelby
V. Westh
Substitution
Denmark
7 V. Westh
M. Larsen
Substitution
Denmark
20 M. Larsen
W. Kirk
Denmark
27 W. Kirk
R. Hajal
Substitution
Sweden
22 R. Hajal
C. McCowatt
Substitution
New Zealand
17 C. McCowatt
O. Ross
Substitution
Denmark
11 O. Ross

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 10 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
Monjasa Park
Capacity :
10000
Attendance :
2536
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Frederik Svendsen
Lars Hummelgaard
Dennis Wollenberg Rasmussen
Jonas Bøgelund

Statistics

Possession
Fredericia
60%
SIL
40%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 3
18 Shots 5
70 Dangerous attacks 32
60 Possession 40
4 Corners 6
3 Free kicks 5
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Penalties 1
4 Assists 1
0 Injuries 1
61 Ball Safe 84
5 Substitutions 5
17 Goal Attempts 5
1 Hit Woodwork 0
5 Goal Kicks 14
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 54
12 Throwins 12
15 Dribble Attempts 13
8 Successful Dribbles 7

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 2
133 Attacks 56
0 Counter Attacks 1

Possession

20 Key Passes 7
700 Passes 454
635 Successful Passes 380
22 Successful Long Passes 22
69 Successful Long Passes Percentage 51
91 Successful Passes Percentage 84
32 Long Passes 43

Defensive

12 Tackles 12
28 Duels Won 32
6 Interceptions 4
2 Saves 6

Build-up

7 Accurate Crosses 2
15 Total Crosses 11

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
6 Fouls 3

Lineup

Referee : Frederik Svendsen

Starting XI ▼

90
Valdemar Birksø Thorsen
Valdemar Birksø Thorsen Goalkeeper
7.25
4
Jeppe Kudsk
Jeppe Kudsk Defender
6.91
15
Malthe Ladefoged
Malthe Ladefoged
Defender56'
6.58
5
Frederik Thykær Rieper
Frederik Thykær Rieper (C) Defender
7.12
8
Jakob Jessen
Jakob Jessen Defender
9.19
12
Svenn Crone
Svenn Crone Defender
7.71
14
Anders Dahl
Anders Dahl
Defender56'
6.42
6
Felix Winther
Felix Winther Midfielder
7.41
16
Sofus Johannesen
Sofus Johannesen Midfielder
7.68
17
Daníel Freyr Kristjánsson
Daníel Freyr Kristjánsson Midfielder
7.83
19
Eskild Munk Dall
Eskild Munk Dall
Attacker68'
6.24
18
Andreas Pyndt
Andreas Pyndt Midfielder
7.24
29
Elias Hansborg-Sørensen
Elias Hansborg-Sørensen
Attacker56'
7.16
21
Jonatan Holm Lindekilde
Jonatan Holm Lindekilde Midfielder
8.28
25
Etim
Etim Attacker
7.16
7
Gustav Ølsted Marcussen
Gustav Ølsted Marcussen
Midfielder88'
Referee : Frederik Svendsen

Starting XI ▼

1
Nicolai Larsen
Nicolai Larsen (C) Goalkeeper
6.99
3
Robin Østrøm
Robin Østrøm Defender
6.12
4
Pedro Ganchas
Pedro Ganchas Defender
7.12
19
Jens Martin Gammelby
Jens Martin Gammelby Defender
6.36
24
Alexander Priesborg
Alexander Priesborg Defender
6.32
7
Villads Westh
Villads Westh Midfielder
6.51
28
Simon Stücker
Simon Stücker
Defender46'
6.4
20
Mads Larsen
Mads Larsen Midfielder
6.35
8
Jeppe Andersen
Jeppe Andersen
Midfielder88'
27
William Kirk
William Kirk Midfielder
7.6
11
Oliver Ross
Oliver Ross Attacker
6.58
—
Oliver Ross
69'
17
Callum McCowatt
Callum McCowatt Attacker
6.95
36
Julius Lorents
Julius Lorents
Midfielder60'
6.53
22
Rami Al Hajj
Rami Al Hajj Attacker
6.72
14
Sofus Berger
Sofus Berger
Midfielder46'
5.78

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Jens Martin Gammelby
GoalkeeperSave
Event
Gustav Ølsted Marcussen → Etim
10th Substitution
88'
88'
Event
Jeppe Andersen → Mads Larsen
9th Substitution
79'
Event
William Kirk
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
78'
Event
Simon Stücker
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Sofus Johannesen
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
74'
69'
Event
Marcus Hansen → Oliver Ross
8th Substitution
Event
Eskild Munk Dall → Daníel Freyr Kristjánsson
7th Substitution
68'
60'
Event
Julius Lorents → Callum McCowatt
6th Substitution
Event
Anders Dahl → Svenn Crone
3rd Substitution
56'
Event
Elias Hansborg-Sørensen → Andreas Pyndt
4th Substitution
56'
Event
Malthe Ladefoged → Jeppe Kudsk
5th Substitution
56'
46'
Event
Simon Stücker → Villads Westh
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Sofus Berger → Rami Al Hajj
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Jonatan Holm Lindekilde
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
41'
Event
Jakob Jessen
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
33'
Event
Svenn Crone
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
26'
Event
Jeppe Kudsk
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
25'
Event
Etim
Goal disallowed
16'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved! Jens Martin Gammelby misses the shot.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jens Martin Gammelby takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jonatan Lindekilde takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jens Martin Gammelby takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
88
Update Update
Jeppe Andersen is on, and Mads Kaalund Larsen is off.
88
Update Update
Gustav Marcussen comes on for Friday Ubi Etim.
79
Attempt Attempt
William Kirk takes a left-footed shot and scores.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Sofus Johannesen scores, making it 4-0.
74
Attempt Attempt
Sofus Johannesen takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
71
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Rieper attempts a header but misses the shot.
70
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Rieper's header shot misses the target.
69
Substitution Substitution
Malthe Hansen is substituted for Oliver Ross.
69
Update Update
Malthe Hansen is on, and Oliver Ross is off.
66
Attempt Attempt
Felix Vrede Winther takes a right-footed shot but misses.
64
Attempt Attempt
Jakob Jessen's left-footed shot is blocked.
62
Attempt Attempt
Jonatan Lindekilde takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
60
Attempt Attempt
Friday Ubi Etim takes a right-footed shot but misses.
60
Update Update
Malthe Ladefoged's header is blocked.
60
Update Update
Julius Nielsen replaces Callum McCowatt.
60
Attempt Attempt
Friday Ubi Etim takes a right-footed shot but misses.
59
Attempt Attempt
Elias Hansborg-Sorensen takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
57
Attempt Attempt
Elias Hansborg-Sorensen takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
56
Update Update
Anders Dahl is on, and Svenn Crone is off.
56
Update Update
Malthe Ladefoged comes on for Kudsk Jeppe.
56
Update Update
Elias Hansborg-Sorensen comes on for Pyndt Andreas.
52
Attempt Attempt
Friday Ubi Etim's shot is saved.
52
Attempt Attempt
William Kirk takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
47
Attempt Attempt
Sofus Johannesen takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
46
Update Update
Sofus Berger Brix comes on for Rami Hajal.
46
Update Update
Sofus Berger Brix replaces Rami Hajal.
45
Attempt Attempt
Jonatan Lindekilde takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Jonatan Lindekilde takes a right-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Felix Vrede Winther takes a left-footed shot but misses.
41
Attempt Attempt
Jonatan Lindekilde takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
34
Attempt Attempt
Jonatan Lindekilde takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
33
Attempt Attempt
Jakob Jessen scores with a right-footed shot.
31
Attempt Attempt
Rami Hajal's left-footed shot is blocked.
29
Attempt Attempt
Robin Dahl Ostrom takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
28
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson takes a left-footed shot but misses.
26
Attempt Attempt
Svenn Crone takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
25
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kudsk Jeppe receives a yellow card.
23
Attempt Attempt
William Kirk takes a right-footed shot but misses.
21
Attempt Attempt
Friday Ubi Etim takes a right-footed shot but misses.
14
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Friday Ubi Etim with his right foot results in a goal.
12
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson takes a left-footed shot but misses.
11
Attempt Attempt
Jonatan Lindekilde takes a right-footed shot but misses.
9
Attempt Attempt
Callum McCowatt takes a right-footed shot but misses.
4
Attempt Attempt
Sofus Johannesen takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
2
Attempt Attempt
Villads Westh takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Fredericia 4-1 Silkeborg IF. Structural assessment: Fredericia exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Fredericia vs Silkeborg IF preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.