FC København vs Randers FC Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Parken Sun, 17 May - 12:00 PM
Superliga
FC København COP
5 Winner 0
Randers FC RDF
Full Time Sun, 17 May 12:00 PM
Round 10 Relegation Round
Jordan Larsson - 76', 50'
Junnosuke Suzuki - 34'
Youssoufa Moukoko - 8'
Viktor Claesson - 6'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

FC København secured a convincing 5-0 win over Randers FC in their latest encounter. The home side took control early, leading 3-0 at the halftime break. They maintained their dominance throughout the second period, adding two more goals to complete the rout. With 63 percent possession, FC København dictated the tempo and created numerous opportunities. Their expected goals stood at 2.48 compared to just 0.23 for the visitors, highlighting the one-sided nature of the contest. The stronger team lived up to their billing by delivering a comprehensive performance from start to finish. This result underscores the gap in quality between the two sides on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FC København showed a significant structural deviation of 40.4 percent from pre-match expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the overall performance metrics.
  • xG alignment: The match outcome aligned with the expected goals figures of 2.48 for the home side and 0.23 for the away side.
  • Market alignment: The result was aligned with market expectations for the stronger team.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals suggested a comfortable win for FC København based on the 2.25 differential.
  • Event impact: Key events led to a comprehensive 5-0 scoreline in favor of the home team.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued, resulting in no distortion to the game's flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. Maae

Denmark 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Markus

1st Assistant

Denmark

D. Yurdakul

2nd Assistant

Denmark

M. Lykke

4th Official

Denmark

League averages

Superliga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 23.02
Yellow cards / match 3.4
Red cards / match 0.13
Penalties / match 0.27
FC København B. Svensson
B. Svensson
VS
Randers FC R. Bertelsen
R. Bertelsen
1.44
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Silkeborg IF Rank: 61 W
Fredericia Rank: 52 D
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 50 W
Odense BK Rank: 57 W
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 51 W
Randers FC Rank: 57 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Odense BK Rank: 58 D
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 49 W
Silkeborg IF Rank: 58 L
Fredericia Rank: 53 D
Odense BK Rank: 57 L
FC København Rank: 71 L
35
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
35 - 9 - 13
13

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC København
59.56%
Draw
21.93%
Away Randers FC
18.52%

Movement

Changes since opening
FC København
-37.88%
Draw
+20.02%
Randers FC
+17.87%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.7
57.37
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC København
Randers FC
Power Score
70.7
57.37
League Position
7
9
Global Rank
181
568

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC København — Opponent-weighted form score
Randers FC — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC København Randers FC

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FC København

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Randers FC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC København ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Randers FC
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.68
16.49
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.49
34.68
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC København +1.73 Efficiency Index
vs
Randers FC -1.73 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC København
Randers FC
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC København
vs
Randers FC
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC København Randers FC
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC København Randers FC
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
FC København
Randers FC
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
FC København
vs
Randers FC
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FC København Randers FC
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
FC København 0.33
Randers FC 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FC København Randers FC
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
FC København 0.00
Randers FC 0.09
FC København
Randers FC
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • COP had peak pressure around 15'.
  • COP started the game with stronger pressure.
COP Pressure RDF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: COP reached the top pressure at 15' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 57 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC København COP Home
57 matches
Randers FC RDF Away
Match Record
35
Wins
13
9
Draws
9
13
Losses
35
Goals
106
Goals Scored
49
49
Goals Conceded
106
+57
Goal Difference
-57

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:59:37+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-1-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Kotarski
Croatia
1 D. Kotarski
J. Suzuki
Japan
20 J. Suzuki
P. Hatzidiakos
Greece
6 P. Hatzidiakos
M. Jattah-Njie Jørgensen
Substitution
Denmark
25 M. Jattah-Njie Jørgensen
B. Meling
Substitution
Norway
24 B. Meling
J. Larsson
Sweden
11 J. Larsson
M. Madsen
Denmark
21 M. Madsen
W. Clem
Substitution
Denmark
36 W. Clem
R. Rodrigues Silva
Substitution
Brazil
16 R. Rodrigues Silva
V. Claesson
Substitution
Sweden
7 (C) V. Claesson
Y. Moukoko
Germany
9 Y. Moukoko
Pitch
J. Storch
Denmark
32 J. Storch
N. Dyhr
Denmark
44 N. Dyhr
W. Dammers
Netherlands
4 (C) W. Dammers
L. Lissens
Belgium
2 L. Lissens
J. Örn
Substitution
Sweden
23 J. Örn
L. Raun Pedersen
Denmark
8 L. Raun Pedersen
F. Lauenborg
Substitution
Denmark
14 F. Lauenborg
M. Sjølstad
Substitution
Norway
15 M. Sjølstad
M. Greve
Denmark
17 M. Greve
E. Mahmoud
Substitution
France
11 E. Mahmoud
T. Klidje
Substitution
Togo
30 T. Klidje

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 10 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
Parken
Capacity :
38065
Attendance :
24891
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Jens Maae
Martin Markus
Deniz Yurdakul
Mathias Lykke

Statistics

Possession
COP
61%
RDF
39%

Top Statistics

5 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 3
57 Dangerous attacks 22
63 Possession 37
6 Corners 5
3 Free kicks 8
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

77 Ball Safe 71
11 Goal Attempts 5
8 Successful Dribbles 4
3 Assists 0
6 Goal Kicks 7
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67
23 Throwins 15
18 Dribble Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 0
88 Attacks 60

Possession

90 Successful Passes Percentage 81
563 Successful Passes 292
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 55
12 Key Passes 1
628 Passes 359
38 Long Passes 42
18 Successful Long Passes 23

Defensive

28 Duels Won 37
6 Interceptions 5
1 Saves 4
10 Tackles 19

Build-up

6 Total Crosses 11
2 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

7 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 3

Lineup

Referee : Jens Maae

Starting XI ▼

1
Dominik Kotarski
Dominik Kotarski Goalkeeper
6.74
6
Pantelis Hatzidiakos
Pantelis Hatzidiakos Defender
6.99
20
Junnosuke Suzuki
Junnosuke Suzuki Defender
7.96
24
Birger Meling
Birger Meling Defender
7.2
15
Marcos López
Marcos López
Defender74'
6.4
25
Zanka
Zanka Defender
7.07
17
Aurélio Buta
Aurélio Buta
Defender89'
11
Jordan Larsson
Jordan Larsson Midfielder
2
10
16
Robert
Robert Midfielder
6.41
38
Oliver Højer
Oliver Højer
Midfielder56'
6.52
21
M. Madsen
M. Madsen Midfielder
7.1
36
William Clem
William Clem Midfielder
6.94
44
Geovanni Vianney
Geovanni Vianney
Attacker73'
6.26
7
Viktor Claesson
Viktor Claesson (C) Attacker
7.41
27
Thomas Delaney
Thomas Delaney
Midfielder74'
6.46
9
Youssoufa Moukoko
Youssoufa Moukoko Attacker
7.9
Referee : Jens Maae

Starting XI ▼

32
Jannich Storch
Jannich Storch Goalkeeper
6.11
2
Lucas Lissens
Lucas Lissens Defender
6.23
4
Wessel Dammers
Wessel Dammers (C) Defender
6.24
23
Benjamin Orn
Benjamin Orn Defender
7.05
24
Sabil Hansen
Sabil Hansen
Midfielder56'
6.17
44
Nikolas Dyhr
Nikolas Dyhr Defender
5.55
8
Laurits Pedersen
Laurits Pedersen Midfielder
6.79
11
Elies Mahmoud
Elies Mahmoud Midfielder
6.67
7
Mike Themsen
Mike Themsen
Midfielder56'
6.46
14
Frederik Lauenborg
Frederik Lauenborg Midfielder
6.32
—
Frederik Lauenborg
84'
15
M. Sjølstad
M. Sjølstad Midfielder
6.2
28
André Römer
André Römer
Midfielder56'
6.55
17
Mathias Greve
Mathias Greve Midfielder
6.55
30
Thibault Klidjé
Thibault Klidjé Attacker
6.62
19
Musa Touré
Musa Touré
Attacker70'
6.52

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Aurélio Buta → Zanka
10th Substitution
89'
84'
Event
Felix Sommer → Frederik Lauenborg
9th Substitution
Event
Jordan Larsson
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
76'
Event
Marcos López → Birger Meling
8th Substitution
74'
Event
Thomas Delaney → Viktor Claesson
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Geovanni Vianney → William Clem
6th Substitution
73'
70'
Event
Musa Touré → Thibault Klidjé
5th Substitution
Event
Oliver Højer → Robert
2nd Substitution
56'
56'
Event
André Römer → M. Sjølstad
3rd Substitution
56'
Event
Mike Themsen → Elies Mahmoud
4th Substitution
56'
Event
Sabil Hansen → Benjamin Orn
1st Substitution
Event
Jordan Larsson
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
50'
1ST-HALF
Event
Youssoufa Moukoko
Goal disallowed
45+3'
Event
Birger Meling
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
45'
Event
Junnosuke Suzuki
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
34'
Event
Youssoufa Moukoko
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
8'
Event
Viktor Claesson
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
6'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Jordan Larsson's left-footed shot is saved.
87
Update Update
Aurelio Buta comes on for Mathias Zanka Jorgensen.
83
Update Update
Felix Sommer comes on for Frederik Lauenborg.
82
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Lauenborg takes a header but misses the shot.
79
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Lauenborg attempts a header but misses the shot.
76
Attempt Attempt
Jordan Larsson scores with a left-footed shot.
73
Update Update
Thomas Delaney replaces Viktor Claesson.
72
Update Update
Geovanni Vianney is on, and William Clem is off.
72
Update Update
Marcos Johan Lopez Lanfranco is on, and Birger Meling is off.
68
Update Update
Musa Toure comes on for Thibault Klidje.
64
Attempt Attempt
Thibault Klidje's header is saved.
55
Update Update
Oliver Hojer comes on for Robert Vinicius Rodrigues Silva.
55
Substitution Substitution
Mike Themsen is substituted for Elies Mahmoud.
55
Update Update
Andre Ibsen Romer is on, and Martin Andre Sjolstad is off.
55
Update Update
Sabil Hansen is on, and Benjamin Orn is off.
53
Attempt Attempt
Youssoufa Moukoko's left-footed shot is blocked.
50
Attempt Attempt
Jordan Larsson scores with a left-footed shot.
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jordan Larsson scores, making it 4-0.
45
Update Update
VAR decision: Goal disallowed for offside against Youssoufa Moukoko.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Birger Meling receives a yellow card.
45
Attempt Attempt
Youssoufa Moukoko scores with a left-footed shot.
45
Attempt Attempt
Thibault Klidje takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
42
Attempt Attempt
Mathias Greve takes a right-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Junnosuke Suzuki takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
28
Attempt Attempt
Youssoufa Moukoko takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
25
Attempt Attempt
Elies Mahmoud takes a left-footed shot but misses.
25
Attempt Attempt
Robert Vinicius Rodrigues Silva takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
22
Attempt Attempt
Junnosuke Suzuki takes a right-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Jordan Larsson's right-footed shot is blocked.
15
Attempt Attempt
Jordan Larsson's right-footed shot is blocked.
15
Attempt Attempt
Junnosuke Suzuki takes a right-footed shot but misses.
12
Attempt Attempt
Mads Emil Madsen takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
11
Attempt Attempt
Mathias Zanka Jorgensen attempts a header but misses the shot.
8
Attempt Attempt
Youssoufa Moukoko scores with a right-footed shot.
8
Attempt Attempt
Robert Vinicius Rodrigues Silva takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Claesson scores with a right-footed shot.
5
Attempt Attempt
Elies Mahmoud takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
3
Attempt Attempt
Robert Vinicius Rodrigues Silva takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

The final whistle confirmed a resounding success for FC København as they overcame Randers FC 5-0. Their ability to convert chances efficiently played a key role in the lopsided outcome. Despite the absence of any disciplinary issues, the game flowed in one direction after the early goals. The performance metrics including possession and expected goals painted a picture of total control by the victors. This win boosts their standing and highlights areas for the losers to improve upon in future fixtures. Fans witnessed a masterclass in finishing and midfield control that defined the afternoon's proceedings at the stadium.

FC København vs Randers FC preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.