Kolos Kovalivka vs Obolon'-Brovar Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Uman'fermmash Sun, 17 May - 12:30 PM
Premier League
Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka
0 Winner 2
Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar
Full Time Sun, 17 May 12:30 PM
Round 29 Regular Season
|
Goal
O. Zhovtenko - 29'
R. Volokhatyi - 4'

CONTEXT

Kolos Kovalivka hosted Obolon'-Brovar and suffered a 0-2 defeat in a match where the visitors scored both goals before halftime. The home team held 54 percent possession but created few clear chances against a compact defensive setup. Obolon'-Brovar took control early and protected their lead through organized defending in the second half. Despite entering as the stronger side, Kolos Kovalivka struggled to break down the away formation after the interval. No red cards were shown, preserving full squads for both teams throughout the contest. The result underscores how clinical finishing and early momentum can outweigh possession advantages in league play.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Minimal structural deviation occurred with Obolon'-Brovar exceeding baseline expectations by a small margin.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match team projections.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be determined because data remained unavailable.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true as the final outcome matched expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were not available for comparison with the 0-2 scoreline.
  • Event impact: Two first-half goals created decisive event impact on the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued so red card distortion remained absent.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

D. Panchyshyn

Ukraine 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

V. Dumenko

1st Assistant

Ukraine

Y. Povazhnyi

2nd Assistant

Ukraine

M. Firsov

4th Official

Ukraine

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 16.84
Yellow cards / match 3.18
Red cards / match 0.15
Penalties / match 0.27
Kolos Kovalivka R. Kostyshyn
R. Kostyshyn
VS
Obolon'-Brovar O. Antonenko
O. Antonenko
1.69
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.75
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 66 L
Kudrivka Rank: 42 W
Oleksandria Rank: 44 W
SK Poltava Rank: 33 W
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 59 W
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 41 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 75 L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 47 D
Kudrivka Rank: 41 D
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 61 L
SK Poltava Rank: 32 D
Veres Rank: 46 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 5 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kolos Kovalivka
0.77%
Draw
1.91%
Away Obolon'-Brovar
97.32%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
52.74
42.68
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kolos Kovalivka
Obolon'-Brovar
Power Score
52.74
42.68
League Position
7
11
Global Rank
695
957

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kolos Kovalivka — Opponent-weighted form score
Obolon'-Brovar — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kolos Kovalivka Obolon'-Brovar

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kolos Kovalivka

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Obolon'-Brovar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kolos Kovalivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Obolon'-Brovar
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
17.13
22.07
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.07
17.13
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kolos Kovalivka -0.50 Efficiency Index
vs
Obolon'-Brovar +0.50 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kolos Kovalivka
Obolon'-Brovar
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kolos Kovalivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Obolon'-Brovar
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kolos Kovalivka Obolon'-Brovar
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kolos Kovalivka Obolon'-Brovar
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kolos Kovalivka
Obolon'-Brovar
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kolos Kovalivka
vs
Obolon'-Brovar
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kolos Kovalivka Obolon'-Brovar
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kolos Kovalivka 0.32
Obolon'-Brovar 0.39
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kolos Kovalivka Obolon'-Brovar
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kolos Kovalivka 0.09
Obolon'-Brovar 0.00
Kolos Kovalivka
Obolon'-Brovar
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Obolon'-Brovar had peak pressure around 30'.
  • Kolos Kovalivka started the game with stronger pressure.
Kolos Kovalivka Pressure Obolon'-Brovar Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Obolon'-Brovar reached the top pressure at 30' (48.76).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka Home
5 matches
Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
5
Draws
5
0
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
2
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T09:01:49+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Matsapura
Ukraine
1 D. Matsapura
A. Ponedelnik
Ukraine
77 A. Ponedelnik
E. Kozik
Substitution
Ukraine
3 E. Kozik
M. Burda
Ukraine
6 M. Burda
A. Tsurikov
Ukraine
9 (C) A. Tsurikov
N. Gagnidze
Georgia
20 N. Gagnidze
E. Trevizan Telles
Brazil
55 E. Trevizan Telles
O. Demchenko
Ukraine
7 O. Demchenko
I. Kane
Substitution
Mali
14 I. Kane
A. Tahiri
Substitution
Kosovo
11 A. Tahiri
A. Salabay
Substitution
Ukraine
17 A. Salabay
Pitch
N. Fedorivsky
Ukraine
1 (C) N. Fedorivsky
E. Shevchenko
Ukraine
5 E. Shevchenko
D. Semenov
Ukraine
50 D. Semenov
O. Zhovtenko
Ukraine
44 O. Zhovtenko
P. Polehenko
Ukraine
28 P. Polehenko
T. Moroz
Ukraine
4 T. Moroz
M. Chekh
Substitution
Ukraine
6 M. Chekh
S. Sukhanov
Ukraine
55 S. Sukhanov
R. Volokhatiy
Substitution
Ukraine
20 R. Volokhatiy
I. Medynskyi
Substitution
Ukraine
13 I. Medynskyi
L. Taras
Substitution
Ukraine
90 L. Taras

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Uman'fermmash
Capacity :
5050
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Volodymyr Dumenko
Yaroslav Povazhnyi
Maksim Firsov
Dmytro Panchyshyn

Statistics

Possession
Kolos Kovalivka
53%
Obolon'-Brovar
47%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
3 Shots 6
25 Dangerous attacks 23
54 Possession 46
2 Corners 2
20 Free kicks 19
4 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

6 Substitutions 6

Attacking

68 Attacks 54

Defensive

4 Saves 3

Discipline

16 Fouls 18
2 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Dmytro Panchyshyn

Starting XI ▼

1
Dmytro Matsapura
Dmytro Matsapura Goalkeeper
5.88
3
Eduard Kozik
Eduard Kozik Defender
6.05
45
Daniil Khrypchuk
Daniil Khrypchuk
Defender71'
6.5
6
Mykyta Burda
Mykyta Burda Defender
6.05
9
Andriy Tsurikov
Andriy Tsurikov (C) Defender
6.05
77
Andriy Ponedelnik
Andriy Ponedelnik Defender
6.05
7
Oleksandr Demchenko
Oleksandr Demchenko Midfielder
6.27
14
Ibrahim Kane
Ibrahim Kane Midfielder
6.27
19
Danyil Alefirenko
Danyil Alefirenko
Midfielder45'
6.45
17
Anton Salabay
Anton Salabay Midfielder
6.23
47
Daniil Denysenko
Daniil Denysenko
Midfielder60'
6.45
20
Nika Gagnidze
Nika Gagnidze Midfielder
6.27
55
Elias
Elias Midfielder
6.27
11
Ardit Tahiri
Ardit Tahiri Attacker
6.39
29
Zakhariy Zakharkiv
Zakhariy Zakharkiv
Attacker60'
6.5
Referee : Dmytro Panchyshyn

Starting XI ▼

1
Nazariy Fedorivskyi
Nazariy Fedorivskyi (C) Goalkeeper
6.5
5
Yevgeniy Shevchenko
Yevgeniy Shevchenko Defender
6.5
28
Pavlo Polegenko
Pavlo Polegenko Defender
6.5
44
O. Zhovtenko
O. Zhovtenko Defender
6.69
50
Dmytro Semenov
Dmytro Semenov Defender
6.49
4
Taras Moroz
Taras Moroz Midfielder
6.45
6
Maksym Chekh
Maksym Chekh Midfielder
6.5
8
Artem Kulakovskyi
Artem Kulakovskyi
Midfielder76'
6.5
13
Igor Medynskyi
Igor Medynskyi Midfielder
6.5
91
Rostyslav Liashchuk
Rostyslav Liashchuk
Defender87'
20
R. Volokhatyi
R. Volokhatyi Midfielder
6.65
22
Oleksandr Feshchenko
Oleksandr Feshchenko
Defender87'
55
Sergiy Sukhanov
Sergiy Sukhanov Attacker
6.5
90
Taras Lyakh
Taras Lyakh Attacker
6.5
99
Denys Teslyuk
Denys Teslyuk
Attacker63'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Danyil Alefirenko
7th Yellowcard
90+3'
87'
Event
Oleksandr Feshchenko → R. Volokhatyi
9th Substitution
87'
Event
Rostyslav Liashchuk → Igor Medynskyi
10th Substitution
76'
Event
Artem Kulakovskyi → Maksym Chekh
8th Substitution
73'
Event
R. Volokhatyi
6th Yellowcard
Event
Daniil Khrypchuk → Eduard Kozik
7th Substitution
71'
Event
Daniil Denysenko
5th Yellowcard
68'
63'
Event
Denys Teslyuk → Taras Lyakh
6th Substitution
Event
Zakhariy Zakharkiv → Ardit Tahiri
5th Substitution
60'
Event
Daniil Denysenko → Anton Salabay
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Anton Salabay
4th Yellowcard
54'
Event
2nd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Danyil Alefirenko → Ibrahim Kane
1st Substitution
45'
35'
Event
Taras Moroz
3rd Yellowcard
29'
Event
O. Zhovtenko
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Ardit Tahiri
2nd Yellowcard
19'
17'
Event
Dmytro Semenov
1st Yellowcard
4'
Event
R. Volokhatyi
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

87
Update Update
Oleksandr Feshchenko is on, and Roman Volokhatyi is off.
87
Update Update
Rostyslav Lyashchuk comes on for Igor Medynsky.
76
Update Update
Artem Kulakovskyi is on, and Maksym Chekh is off.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Roman Volokhatyi receives a yellow card.
71
Update Update
Daniil Khrypchuk comes on for Eduard Kozik.
63
Update Update
Denys Teslyuk is on, and Taras Liakh is off.
60
Update Update
Zakharii replaces Ardit Tahiri.
60
Update Update
Danill Denisenko comes on for Anton Salabai.
46
Update Update
Ivan Nesterenko comes on for Sergiy Sukhanov.
46
Update Update
Danylo Alefirenko comes on for Ibrahim Kane.
46
Update Update
Ivan Nesterenko comes on for Sergiy Sukhanov.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Oleksandr Serhiyovych Zhovtenko scores, making it 0-2.
19
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ardit Tahiri receives a yellow card.
17
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dmytro Semenov receives a yellow card.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Kolos Kovalivka 0-2 Obolon'-Brovar. Structural assessment: Obolon'-Brovar exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Kolos Kovalivka vs Obolon'-Brovar preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.