Austria Wien vs LASK Linz Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Generali Arena Sun, 17 May - 12:30 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Austria Wien FAK
0 Winner 3
LASK Linz ASK
Full Time Sun, 17 May 12:30 PM
Round 10 Championship Round
|
Goal
Melayro Bogarde - 76'
Samuel Adeniran - 49' (P)
Xavier Mbuyamba - 38'

CONTEXT

The game unfolded at Austria Wien's home ground where LASK Linz emerged victorious with a final score of 0-3. Halftime saw Austria Wien trailing 0-1 after LASK scored the opener. Throughout the match, Austria Wien maintained a higher possession rate of 57 percent but struggled to create meaningful opportunities, registering just 0.8 in expected goals. In contrast, LASK Linz utilized their 43 percent possession more effectively to generate 1.9 expected goals and net three goals. As the pre-identified stronger side, LASK Linz demonstrated superior quality and clinical finishing. The absence of any red cards meant both teams played with their full squads for the entire duration. The outcome proved consistent with the underlying metrics and showcased LASK's dominance.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Austria Wien 0-3 LASK Linz. LASK Linz showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the expected match progression.
  • xG alignment: The final result aligned perfectly with the xG values of 0.8 for Austria Wien and 1.9 for LASK Linz.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was consistent with pre-match alignments for the stronger team.
  • xG expectations: LASK Linz met and exceeded xG expectations through effective chance conversion.
  • Event impact: The first half goal had a substantial impact on the subsequent match events.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were present, resulting in zero distortion from disciplinary actions.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Gishamer

Austria 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Riedel

1st Assistant

Austria

S. Schreiner

2nd Assistant

Austria

A. Talic

4th Official

Austria

League averages

Admiral Bundesliga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.05
Yellow cards / match 3.67
Red cards / match 0.27
Penalties / match 0.35
Austria Wien S. Helm
S. Helm
VS
LASK Linz D. Kühbauer
D. Kühbauer
1.56
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
SK Rapid Rank: 60 W
Hartberg Rank: 60 W
Sturm Graz Rank: 68 D
Salzburg Rank: 67 L
Salzburg Rank: 67 L
SK Rapid Rank: 58 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Salzburg Rank: 69 W
SK Rapid Rank: 61 W
Hartberg Rank: 60 W
Sturm Graz Rank: 70 D
Sturm Graz Rank: 70 D
Salzburg Rank: 67 W
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 11 - 16
16

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Austria Wien
29.11%
Draw
27.22%
Away LASK Linz
43.67%

Movement

Changes since opening
Austria Wien
+27.69%
Draw
+22.7%
LASK Linz
-50.39%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.64
69.57
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Austria Wien
LASK Linz
Power Score
63.64
69.57
League Position
4
3
Global Rank
364
215

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Austria Wien — Opponent-weighted form score
LASK Linz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Austria Wien LASK Linz

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Austria Wien

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

LASK Linz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Austria Wien ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy LASK Linz
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
19.74
27.09
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.09
19.74
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Austria Wien -0.62 Efficiency Index
vs
LASK Linz +0.62 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Austria Wien
LASK Linz
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Austria Wien
vs
LASK Linz
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Austria Wien LASK Linz
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Austria Wien LASK Linz
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Austria Wien
LASK Linz
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Austria Wien
vs
LASK Linz
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Austria Wien LASK Linz
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Austria Wien 0.12
LASK Linz 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Austria Wien LASK Linz
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Austria Wien 0.09
LASK Linz 0.00
Austria Wien
LASK Linz
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ASK had peak pressure around 40'.
  • FAK started the game with stronger pressure.
FAK Pressure ASK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ASK reached the top pressure at 40' (79.19).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 41 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Austria Wien FAK Home
41 matches
LASK Linz ASK Away
Match Record
14
Wins
16
11
Draws
11
16
Losses
14
Goals
68
Goals Scored
65
65
Goals Conceded
68
+3
Goal Difference
-3

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T09:02:06+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
S. Sahin-Radlinger
Austria
1 S. Sahin-Radlinger
P. Wiesinger
Austria
28 P. Wiesinger
J. Handl
Austria
46 J. Handl
T. Plavotic
Croatia
24 T. Plavotic
R. Ranftl
Austria
26 R. Ranftl
A. Bari
Substitution
Gambia
5 A. Bari
P. Maybach
Substitution
Austria
6 P. Maybach
T. Lee
Substitution
South Korea
17 T. Lee
M. Fischer
Substitution
Austria
30 (C) M. Fischer
S. Saljic
Substitution
Austria
20 S. Saljic
J. Eggestein
Germany
19 J. Eggestein
Pitch
L. Jungwirth
Austria
1 L. Jungwirth
G. Bello
United States
2 G. Bello
A. Andrade Cedeño
Panama
16 A. Andrade Cedeño
J. Tornich
Brazil
43 J. Tornich
X. Mbuyamba
Netherlands
3 X. Mbuyamba
K. Mølgaard Jørgensen
Substitution
Denmark
20 K. Mølgaard Jørgensen
S. Horvath
Substitution
Austria
30 (C) S. Horvath
M. Bogarde
Substitution
Netherlands
6 M. Bogarde
K. Daněk
Substitution
Czech Republic
9 K. Daněk
S. Adeniran
United States
7 S. Adeniran
S. Kalajdzic
Substitution
Austria
10 S. Kalajdzic

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 10 · Championship Round
Stadium :
Generali Arena
Capacity :
10398
Attendance :
15600
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Sebastian Gishamer
Roland Riedel
Santino Schreiner
Arnes Talic

Statistics

Possession
FAK
54%
ASK
46%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3
1 Big Chances Created 2
1 Shots 5
65 Dangerous attacks 33
57 Possession 43
8 Corners 5
8 Free kicks 6
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Penalties 1
0 Hit Woodwork 1
0 Injuries 1
5 Substitutions 5
85 Ball Safe 96
6 Goal Kicks 10
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 57
24 Throwins 23
22 Dribble Attempts 23
10 Successful Dribbles 13
6 Goal Attempts 8
0 Assists 2

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 1
99 Attacks 87

Possession

46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33
76 Successful Passes Percentage 72
420 Passes 328
318 Successful Passes 236
59 Long Passes 52
27 Successful Long Passes 17
6 Key Passes 8

Defensive

15 Interceptions 12
2 Saves 1
17 Tackles 17
50 Duels Won 50

Build-up

26 Total Crosses 14
6 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

3 Offsides 0
7 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Sebastian Gishamer

Starting XI ▼

1
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger Goalkeeper
6.15
24
Tin Plavotic
Tin Plavotic Defender
6.59
28
Philipp Wiesinger
Philipp Wiesinger Defender
6.52
46
Johannes Handl
Johannes Handl Defender
6.34
5
Abubakr Barry
Abubakr Barry Midfielder
6.85
16
Kang-hee Lee
Kang-hee Lee
Midfielder85'
6.48
6
Philipp Maybach
Philipp Maybach Midfielder
6.68
14
Kelvin Boateng
Kelvin Boateng
Attacker77'
6.49
17
Tae-seok Lee
Tae-seok Lee Midfielder
6.72
40
Matteo Schablas
Matteo Schablas
Defender85'
6.61
26
Reinhold Ranftl
Reinhold Ranftl Midfielder
6.71
19
Johannes Eggestein
Johannes Eggestein Attacker
6.59
20
Sanel Saljic
Sanel Saljic Attacker
6.3
36
Vasilije Markovic
Vasilije Markovic
Midfielder69'
6.53
30
Manfred Fischer
Manfred Fischer (C) Attacker
6.66
22
Florian Wustinger
Florian Wustinger
Midfielder69'
6.18
Referee : Sebastian Gishamer

Starting XI ▼

1
Lukas Jungwirth
Lukas Jungwirth Goalkeeper
6.69
2
George Bello
George Bello Defender
6.79
3
Xavier Mbuyamba
Xavier Mbuyamba Defender
7.58
16
Andrés Andrade
Andrés Andrade Defender
7.15
20
Kasper Jørgensen
Kasper Jørgensen Defender
6.69
29
Florian Flecker
Florian Flecker
Attacker90'
43
Alemão
Alemão Defender
7.3
6
Melayro Bogarde
Melayro Bogarde Midfielder
7.56
52
Cheikne Kébé
Cheikne Kébé
Midfielder90'
9
Krystof Danek
Krystof Danek Midfielder
6.79
44
Lukas Kacavenda
Lukas Kacavenda
Midfielder82'
6.8
30
Sascha Horvath
Sascha Horvath (C) Midfielder
6.74
27
Christoph Lang
Christoph Lang
Attacker82'
6.81
7
Samuel Adeniran
Samuel Adeniran Attacker
7.07
10
Sasa Kalajdzic
Sasa Kalajdzic Attacker
8.41
4
Ismaila Coulibaly
Ismaila Coulibaly
Midfielder77'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Florian Flecker → Kasper Jørgensen
9th Substitution
90'
Event
Cheikne Kébé → Melayro Bogarde
10th Substitution
Event
Kang-hee Lee → Abubakr Barry
7th Substitution
85'
Event
Matteo Schablas → Tae-seok Lee
8th Substitution
85'
82'
Event
Christoph Lang → Sascha Horvath
6th Substitution
82'
Event
Lukas Kacavenda → Krystof Danek
5th Substitution
Event
Kelvin Boateng → Philipp Maybach
3rd Substitution
77'
77'
Event
Ismaila Coulibaly → Sasa Kalajdzic
4th Substitution
76'
Event
Melayro Bogarde
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Vasilije Markovic → Sanel Saljic
1st Substitution
69'
Event
Florian Wustinger → Manfred Fischer
2nd Substitution
69'
Event
Johannes Handl
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
60'
59'
Event
George Bello
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
49'
Event
Samuel Adeniran
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
1ST-HALF
Event
Abubakr Barry
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
44'
38'
Event
Xavier Mbuyamba
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Florian Flecker comes on for Kasper Poul Molgaard Jorgensen.
89
Update Update
Kebe Cheikne comes on for Melayro Bogarde.
87
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Kacavenda takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
86
Attempt Attempt
Johannes Eggestein's right-footed shot is blocked.
85
Update Update
On comes Lee Kang Hee, and Abubakar Barry goes off.
85
Update Update
Matteo Schablas comes on for Lee Tae seok.
84
Attempt Attempt
Johannes Eggestein takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
82
Update Update
Christoph Lang comes on for Sascha Horvath.
82
Update Update
Lukas Kacavenda replaces Krystof Danek.
77
Update Update
Kelvin Boateng comes on for Philipp Maybach.
77
Update Update
Ismaila Coulibaly comes on for Sasa Kalajdzic.
76
Attempt Attempt
Melayro Bogarde takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
74
Update Update
Tin Plavotic takes a header, but it goes wide.
69
Update Update
Tin Plavotic attempts a header but misses the target.
69
Update Update
Florian Wustinger comes on for Manfred Fischer.
68
Update Update
Vasilije Markovic comes on for Sanel Saljic.
57
Attempt Attempt
Sasa Kalajdzic takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
49
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Oluwabukunmi Adeniran scores with a left-footed shot.
45
Attempt Attempt
Kasper Poul Molgaard Jorgensen takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
44
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Abubakar Barry receives a yellow card.
42
Attempt Attempt
Sasa Kalajdzic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
41
Attempt Attempt
Kasper Poul Molgaard Jorgensen takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
38
Attempt Attempt
Xavier Mbuyamba takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
34
Update Update
Manfred Fischer's header attempt misses the target.
32
Attempt Attempt
Xavier Mbuyamba takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Johannes Eggestein takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
8
Attempt Attempt
Krystof Danek takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
6
Attempt Attempt
Manfred Fischer takes a left-footed shot but misses.
5
Attempt Attempt
Reinhold Ranftl takes a left-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Austria Wien 0-3 LASK Linz. Structural assessment: LASK Linz exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Austria Wien vs LASK Linz preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.