Dundee vs Aberdeen Prediction, Preview and Stats

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park Sun, 17 May - 1:00 PM
Premiership
Dundee DUD
Versus
Aberdeen ABE
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 1:00 PM
Round 38 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Dundee host Aberdeen in Premiership (2nd Phase) at Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park. Domestically, Dundee sit 9th in the table while Aberdeen are 8th. Power ranking favours Dundee by 0.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dundee holds a narrow power score advantage of 58.75 to Aberdeen's 58.63.
  • Form: Aberdeen demonstrates stronger recent form with a score of 20.89 versus Dundee's 9.28.
  • Squad: Aberdeen sits 8th in the Premiership, one place above Dundee in 9th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable due to disabled xG add-on.
  • xVariable: xG variables not available for performance comparison.
  • Market: Dundee 39.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.5% (Δ+0%) | Aberdeen 33.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Dundee S. Pressley
S. Pressley
VS
Aberdeen S. Robinson
S. Robinson
1.2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.12
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kilmarnock Rank: 59 L
Livingston Rank: 55 W
St. Mirren Rank: 57 W
Dundee United Rank: 62 L
Kilmarnock Rank: 60 D
Celtic Rank: 79 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
St. Mirren Rank: 56 L
Dundee United Rank: 62 W
Livingston Rank: 55 D
Kilmarnock Rank: 56 W
Hibernian Rank: 69 W
St. Mirren Rank: 57 L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 7 - 23
23
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dundee
39.18%
Draw
27.46%
Away Aberdeen
33.36%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.75
58.63
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dundee
Aberdeen
Power Score
58.75
58.63
League Position
9
8
Global Rank
533
540

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dundee — Opponent-weighted form score
Aberdeen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dundee Aberdeen

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 33 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dundee DUD Home
33 matches
Aberdeen ABE Away
Match Record
3
Wins
23
7
Draws
7
23
Losses
3
Goals
26
Goals Scored
69
69
Goals Conceded
26
-43
Goal Difference
+43

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:08:56+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
K. O'Hara
13 K. O'Hara
B. Halliday
16 B. Halliday
R. Astley
4 R. Astley
L. Graham
22 L. Graham
D. Wright
7 D. Wright
E. Hamilton
48 E. Hamilton
Y. Dhanda
21 Y. Dhanda
C. Congreve
20 C. Congreve
J. Westley
19 J. Westley
T. Yogane
17 T. Yogane
S. Murray
15 S. Murray
Pitch
P. Worre Bråtveit
99 P. Worre Bråtveit
G. Molloy
21 G. Molloy
L. Morrison
23 L. Morrison
M. Knoester
5 M. Knoester
E. Gyamfi
77 E. Gyamfi
D. Geiger
8 D. Geiger
A. Aremu
32 A. Aremu
N. Devlin
2 N. Devlin
A. Palaversa
18 A. Palaversa
K. Nisbet
15 K. Nisbet
T. Olusanya
20 T. Olusanya

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 38 · 2nd Phase
Stadium :
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Capacity :
11775
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Ross Hardie
David McGeachie
Kevin Buchanan
Joel Kennedy

Expected Lineup

Referee : Ross Hardie

Starting XI ▼

13
Kieran O'Hara
Kieran O'Hara Goalkeeper
7.23
15
Simon Murray
Simon Murray Centre Forward
6.64
16
Brad Halliday
Brad Halliday Right Back
6.76
4
Ryan Astley
Ryan Astley Right Back
6.87
22
Luke Graham
Luke Graham Left Back
7
48
Ethan Hamilton
Ethan Hamilton Defensive Midfield
6.8
21
Yan Dhanda
Yan Dhanda Defensive Midfield
6.83
7
Drey Wright
Drey Wright Left Back
6.75
20
Cameron Congreve
Cameron Congreve Right Wing
6.77
19
Joe Westley
Joe Westley Attacking Midfield
6.69
17
Tony Yogane
Tony Yogane Left Wing
6.74
Referee : Ross Hardie

Starting XI ▼

99
Per Kristian Bråtveit
Per Kristian Bråtveit Goalkeeper
6.88
2
Nicky Devlin
Nicky Devlin Midfielder
6.66
77
Emmanuel Gyamfi
Emmanuel Gyamfi Midfielder
6.5
15
Kevin Nisbet
Kevin Nisbet Attacker
6.88
20
Toyosi Olusanya
Toyosi Olusanya Attacker
6.67
23
Liam Morrison
Liam Morrison Centre Back
6.59
21
Gavin Molloy
Gavin Molloy Left Back
6.76
32
Afeez Aremu
Afeez Aremu Central Midfield
6.73
18
Ante Palaversa
Ante Palaversa Attacking Midfield
6.65
5
Mats Knoester
Mats Knoester Right Back
6.85
8
Dennis Geiger
Dennis Geiger Central Midfield
6.69

CONCLUSION

This Premiership showdown pits Dundee's fractional power edge and home advantage at Dens Park against Aberdeen's superior form and marginally better standing. With scores tightly bunched, the match likely hinges on execution in open play, where Aberdeen's momentum could exploit any Dundee lapses. Limited data on set pieces and efficiency leaves transitions and structural discipline as focal points. Dundee's venue familiarity offers a psychological boost, potentially swaying a low-scoring affair. Aberdeen must convert form into results away, but Dundee's status as slight stronger team suggests they can edge a compelling, hard-fought contest.

Dundee vs Aberdeen preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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