Mjällby vs Häcken Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Strandvallen Sun, 17 May - 2:30 PM
Allsvenskan
Mjällby Mjällby
0 Winner 1
Häcken HAC
Full Time Sun, 17 May 2:30 PM
Round 8 Regular Season
|
Goal
Julius Lindberg - 75'
Axel Norén 45+1' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

Mjällby faced Häcken in a contest that concluded with a 0-1 final score after a goalless first half. Mjällby entered as the stronger side yet finished with just 42 percent possession and 0.35 expected goals. Häcken controlled 58 percent of the ball and posted 2.77 expected goals. A red card issued to Mjällby altered the second half dynamics and contributed to the visitors claiming all three points. The result proved consistent with the underlying expected goals figures despite notable structural differences from pre-match indicators. Häcken benefited from the numerical advantage after the dismissal and converted their dominance into the decisive goal. The match illustrated how isolated events can override overall team strength assessments.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Häcken recorded a significant 68.6 percent deviation from pre-match indicators.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with overall performance patterns.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome aligned with expected goals totals of 0.35 to 2.77.
  • Market alignment: The result did not align with pre-match market projections.
  • xG expectations: Häcken met xG expectations while Mjällby fell short of theirs.
  • Event impact: The second half red card to Mjällby shaped the match outcome.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion limited Mjällby after the interval in the 0-1 loss.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

K. Karlsson

Sweden 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Klitte-Lundgren

1st Assistant

Sweden

A. Gergess

2nd Assistant

Sweden

F. Hasani

4th Official

Sweden

League averages

Allsvenskan Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 20.61
Yellow cards / match 3
Red cards / match 0.05
Penalties / match 0.18
Mjällby Karl Marius Aksum
Karl Marius Aksum
VS
Häcken J. Gustafsson
J. Gustafsson
1.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.86
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Degerfors Rank: 49 W
Malmö FF Rank: 64 W
Halmstad Rank: 47 W
GAIS Rank: 59 D
Brommapojkarna Rank: 49 W
Örgryte Rank: 41 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Malmö FF Rank: 64 W
Degerfors Rank: 48 D
Sirius Rank: 62 D
Västerås SK Rank: 47 D
GAIS Rank: 59 W
IFK Göteborg Rank: 54 W
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 6 - 9
9

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Mjällby
41%
Draw
27.65%
Away Häcken
31.35%

Movement

Changes since opening
Mjällby
+40.81%
Draw
+23.92%
Häcken
-64.72%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.9
60.43
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mjällby
Häcken
Power Score
68.9
60.43
League Position
6
3
Global Rank
228
466

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mjällby — Opponent-weighted form score
Häcken — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mjällby Häcken

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Mjällby

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Häcken

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Mjällby ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Häcken
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
17.62
36.64
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
36.64
17.62
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Mjällby -1.97 Efficiency Index
vs
Häcken +1.97 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Mjällby
Häcken
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Mjällby
vs
Häcken
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Mjällby Häcken
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Mjällby Häcken
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Mjällby
Häcken
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Mjällby
vs
Häcken
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Mjällby Häcken
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Mjällby 0.21
Häcken 0.28
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Mjällby Häcken
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Mjällby 0.02
Häcken 0.00
Mjällby
Häcken
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAC had peak pressure around 41'.
  • Mjällby started the game with stronger pressure.
Mjällby Pressure HAC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAC reached the top pressure at 41' (89.82).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mjällby Mjällby Home
22 matches
Häcken HAC Away
Match Record
7
Wins
9
6
Draws
6
9
Losses
7
Goals
26
Goals Scored
36
36
Goals Conceded
26
-10
Goal Difference
+10

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T09:02:58+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
R. Wallinder
Sweden
13 R. Wallinder
A. Iqbal
Pakistan
5 A. Iqbal
A. Norén
Sweden
4 A. Norén
L. Tidstrand
Sweden
27 L. Tidstrand
T. Miettinen
Finland
33 T. Miettinen
V. Gustafsson
Sweden
7 (C) V. Gustafsson
R. Leandersson
Substitution
39 R. Leandersson
E. Stroud
Substitution
Sweden
17 E. Stroud
J. Kjaer
Substitution
Denmark
10 J. Kjaer
J. Bergström
Sweden
18 J. Bergström
Á. Samuelsen
Substitution
Faroe Islands
23 Á. Samuelsen
Pitch
A. Linde
Sweden
1 A. Linde
A. Lundqvist
Sweden
21 A. Lundqvist
F. Helander
Sweden
22 (C) F. Helander
H. Hilvenius
Sweden
13 H. Hilvenius
B. Wembangomo
Norway
5 B. Wembangomo
S. Andersen
Denmark
8 S. Andersen
A. Doumbia
Ivory Coast
6 A. Doumbia
A. Svanbäck
Substitution
Sweden
20 A. Svanbäck
J. Lindberg
Sweden
11 J. Lindberg
A. Layouni
Substitution
Tunisia
24 A. Layouni
G. Lindgren
Sweden
9 G. Lindgren

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 8 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Strandvallen
Capacity :
6500
Attendance :
5019
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Kristoffer Karlsson
Marcus Klitte-Lundgren
Abdelmasih Gergess
Fidan Hasani

Statistics

Possession
Mjällby
43%
HAC
57%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 3
4 Shots 13
28 Dangerous attacks 65
42 Possession 58
5 Corners 7
19 Free kicks 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

11 Successful Dribbles 8
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36
20 Throwins 19
22 Dribble Attempts 22
11 Goal Kicks 2
83 Ball Safe 83
2 Injuries 1
5 Goal Attempts 14
0 Hit Woodwork 1
5 Substitutions 2
0 Assists 1

Attacking

72 Attacks 121
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

72 Successful Passes Percentage 84
342 Passes 479
63 Long Passes 36
30 Successful Long Passes Percentage 53
246 Successful Passes 403
19 Successful Long Passes 19
5 Key Passes 13

Defensive

4 Saves 4
11 Interceptions 10
30 Tackles 25
64 Duels Won 66

Build-up

1 Accurate Crosses 7
10 Total Crosses 21

Discipline

14 Fouls 19
1 Offsides 4

Lineup

Referee : Kristoffer Karlsson

Starting XI ▼

13
Robin Wallinder
Robin Wallinder Goalkeeper
7.13
4
Axel Norén
Axel Norén Defender
6.22
5
Abdullah Iqbal
Abdullah Iqbal Defender
6.74
27
Ludvig Tidstrand
Ludvig Tidstrand Defender
7.32
7
Viktor Gustafson
Viktor Gustafson (C) Midfielder
6.65
17
Elliot Stroud
Elliot Stroud Midfielder
7.17
11
Timo Stavitski
Timo Stavitski
Attacker61'
6.74
33
Tony Miettinen
Tony Miettinen Midfielder
6.66
39
Romeo Leandersson
Romeo Leandersson Midfielder
6.72
14
Villiam Granath
Villiam Granath
Midfielder46'
7.03
10
Jeppe Kjær
Jeppe Kjær Attacker
6.75
6
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell
Midfielder67'
6.55
18
Jacob Bergström
Jacob Bergström Attacker
6.59
23
Á. Samuelsen
Á. Samuelsen Attacker
6.49
22
Jesper Gustavsson
Jesper Gustavsson
Midfielder46'
6.27
Referee : Kristoffer Karlsson

Starting XI ▼

1
Andreas Linde
Andreas Linde Goalkeeper
7.53
5
Brice Wembangomo
Brice Wembangomo Defender
6.5
13
Harry Hilvenius
Harry Hilvenius Defender
7.12
21
Adam Lundkvist
Adam Lundkvist Defender
6.93
22
Filip Helander
Filip Helander (C) Defender
7.19
6
Abdoulaye Doumbia
Abdoulaye Doumbia Midfielder
7.15
8
Silas Andersen
Silas Andersen Midfielder
7.51
11
Julius Lindberg
Julius Lindberg Midfielder
8.82
20
Adrian Svanbäck
Adrian Svanbäck Midfielder
6.53
14
Jeremy Agbonifo
Jeremy Agbonifo
Attacker61'
6.82
24
Amor Layouni
Amor Layouni Midfielder
7.58
16
Pontus Dahbo
Pontus Dahbo
Midfielder90+3'
9
G. Lindgren
G. Lindgren Attacker
6.21

Events

2ND-HALF
90+5'
Event
Brice Wembangomo
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Pontus Dahbo → Amor Layouni
7th Substitution
88'
Event
Abdoulaye Doumbia
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Olle Lindberg → Timo Stavitski
6th Substitution
76'
75'
Event
Julius Lindberg
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
74'
Event
Jeremy Agbonifo
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell → Jeppe Kjær
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Karl Marius Aksum
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
64'
Event
Jesper Gustavsson
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
62'
Event
Timo Stavitski → Elliot Stroud
4th Substitution
61'
61'
Event
Jeremy Agbonifo → Adrian Svanbäck
3rd Substitution
Event
Villiam Granath → Romeo Leandersson
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Jesper Gustavsson → Á. Samuelsen
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Axel Norén
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
45+1'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Brice Wembangomo receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Pontus Dahbo comes on for Amor Layouni.
84
Attempt Attempt
Gustav Lindgren takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
81
Attempt Attempt
Gustav Lindgren takes a right-footed shot but misses.
76
Update Update
Julius Lindberg replaces Timo Stavitski.
75
Attempt Attempt
Julius Lindberg takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
68
Attempt Attempt
Tony Miettinen takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
68
Attempt Attempt
Timo Stavitski's right-footed shot is blocked.
67
Update Update
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell comes on for Jeppe Kjaer.
64
Attempt Attempt
Adam Lundqvist takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
61
Update Update
Timo Stavitski comes on for Elliot Stroud.
61
Update Update
Timo Stavitski comes on for Elliot Stroud.
59
Attempt Attempt
Brice Wembangomo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
54
Attempt Attempt
Villiam Granath's right-footed shot is blocked.
54
Attempt Attempt
Ludvig Tidstrand takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
50
Attempt Attempt
Julius Lindberg takes a right-footed shot but misses.
49
Attempt Attempt
Villiam Granath's right-footed shot is saved.
46
Update Update
Jesper Gustavsson comes on for Aki Samuelsen.
46
Update Update
Jesper Gustavsson comes on for Aki Samuelsen.
46
Attempt Attempt
Gustav Lindgren takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Amor Layouni takes a left-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Amor Layouni takes a left-footed shot but misses.
40
Attempt Attempt
Silas Andersen's right-footed shot is blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Amor Layouni takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
37
Attempt Attempt
Julius Lindberg takes a right-footed shot but misses.
37
Attempt Attempt
Gustav Lindgren takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
31
Attempt Attempt
Amor Layouni takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
25
Attempt Attempt
Gustav Lindgren has a shot with his right foot, but it is blocked.
22
Attempt Attempt
Jacob Bergstrom's right-footed shot is saved.
16
Attempt Attempt
Adrian Svanback takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
14
Attempt Attempt
Amor Layouni takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
9
Attempt Attempt
Amor Layouni takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
9
Attempt Attempt
Silas Andersen takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Häcken collected the points through disciplined defending and clinical finishing after Mjällby received a red card. The visitors created the clearer opportunities throughout and deserved the narrow margin. Mjällby struggled to generate meaningful attacks once reduced to ten players and finished with minimal expected goal output. The halftime score of 0-0 gave little indication of the second half shift that followed the dismissal. Overall the data showed clear dominance by the away side in both possession and chance creation. This performance underscores the value of maintaining composure when numerical advantages arise late in matches.

Mjällby vs Häcken preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.