FC Midtjylland vs Brøndby IF Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
MCH Arena Sun, 17 May - 4:00 PM
Superliga
FC Midtjylland FCM
Versus
Brøndby IF BIF
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 4:00 PM
Round 10 Championship Round

CONTEXT

FC Midtjylland host Brøndby IF in Superliga (Championship Round) at MCH Arena. Domestically, FC Midtjylland sit 2th in the table while Brøndby IF are 6th. Power ranking favours FC Midtjylland by 14.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: FC Midtjylland possesses a 79.16 power score versus Brøndby IF's 64.63, yielding a 14.5-point advantage.
  • Form: Midtjylland's form score of 36.06 outpaces Brøndby's 18.83 significantly.
  • Squad: League standings place Midtjylland second and Brøndby IF sixth.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data provided for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG data absent for both squads in set-piece analysis.
  • Market: FC Midtjylland 47.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.8% (Δ+0%) | Brøndby IF 27.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
FC Midtjylland M. Tullberg
M. Tullberg
VS
Brøndby IF S. Cooper
S. Cooper
1.75
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.69
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nordsjælland Rank: 67 D
Viborg FF Rank: 64 D
AGF Rank: 70 D
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 60 W
AGF Rank: 72 W
Brøndby IF Rank: 65 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
AGF Rank: 71 L
Nordsjælland Rank: 66 D
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 59 L
Viborg FF Rank: 64 W
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 62 W
FC Midtjylland Rank: 79 L
25
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
25 - 17 - 28
28
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Midtjylland
47.67%
Draw
24.79%
Away Brøndby IF
27.54%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
79.16
64.63
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Midtjylland
Brøndby IF
Power Score
79.16
64.63
League Position
2
6
Global Rank
67
341

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Midtjylland — Opponent-weighted form score
Brøndby IF — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Midtjylland Brøndby IF

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 70 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Midtjylland FCM Home
70 matches
Brøndby IF BIF Away
Match Record
25
Wins
28
17
Draws
17
28
Losses
25
Goals
99
Goals Scored
109
109
Goals Conceded
99
-10
Goal Difference
+10

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:04:16+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
E. Olafsson
16 E. Olafsson
O. Diao
4 O. Diao
H. Lee
3 H. Lee
M. Bech Sørensen
22 M. Bech Sørensen
K. Mbabu
43 K. Mbabu
P. Billing
8 P. Billing
P. Bravo Landazuri
19 P. Bravo Landazuri
V. Jensen
55 V. Jensen
E. Chilufya
14 E. Chilufya
D. Simsir
58 D. Simsir
D. Castillo
21 D. Castillo
Pitch
P. Pentz
1 P. Pentz
L. Binks
4 L. Binks
J. Vanlerberghe
30 J. Vanlerberghe
R. Canut Pedersen
37 R. Canut Pedersen
M. Divković
24 M. Divković
D. Wass
10 D. Wass
B. Slisz
99 B. Slisz
S. Fukuda
19 S. Fukuda
N. Vallys
7 N. Vallys
J. Brøchner Ambæk
38 J. Brøchner Ambæk
M. Frøkjær-Jensen
28 M. Frøkjær-Jensen

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 10 · Championship Round
Stadium :
MCH Arena
Capacity :
12152
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Michael Tykgaard
Victor Skytte
Jonas Bæk
Jacob Rasmussen

Expected Lineup

Referee : Michael Tykgaard

Starting XI ▼

16
Elías Ólafsson
Elías Ólafsson Goalkeeper
7.1
14
Edward Chilufya
Edward Chilufya Midfielder
6.57
43
Kevin Mbabu
Kevin Mbabu Midfielder
6.59
55
Victor Bak
Victor Bak Midfielder
6.77
58
Aral Şimşir
Aral Şimşir Midfielder
7.34
21
Denil Castillo
Denil Castillo Centre Forward
6.94
3
Han-beom Lee
Han-beom Lee Centre Back
6.85
4
Ousmane Diao
Ousmane Diao Right Back
6.98
8
Philip Billing
Philip Billing Central Midfield
7.19
19
Pedro Bravo
Pedro Bravo Central Midfield
6.74
22
Mads Bech Sørensen
Mads Bech Sørensen Left Back
6.97
Referee : Michael Tykgaard

Starting XI ▼

1
Patrick Pentz
Patrick Pentz Goalkeeper
7.1
19
Sho Fukuda
Sho Fukuda Midfielder
6.87
24
Marko Divkovic
Marko Divkovic Midfielder
6.97
7
Nicolai Vallys
Nicolai Vallys Attacker
7.11
28
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen Attacker
6.74
38
Jacob Ambaek
Jacob Ambaek Centre Forward
6.84
4
Luis Binks
Luis Binks Left Back
7
10
Daniel Wass
Daniel Wass Central Midfield
6.87
30
Jordi Vanlerberghe
Jordi Vanlerberghe Centre Back
6.72
37
Raphael Canut Pedersen
Raphael Canut Pedersen Right Back
6.49
99
Bartosz Slisz
Bartosz Slisz Central Midfield
7.09

CONCLUSION

Midtjylland enters as the stronger outfit, bolstered by superior power and form metrics that highlight their dominance in the Championship Round. Brøndby faces an uphill battle away at MCH Arena, where the hosts' second-place standing amplifies expectations. Without detailed set-piece or efficiency insights, the focus shifts to Midtjylland's overall edge and home advantage. Recent form disparities suggest the leaders will control proceedings, potentially securing vital points toward the title. Brøndby must summon resilience to counter this mismatch.

FC Midtjylland vs Brøndby IF preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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