Levante vs Mallorca Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia Sun, 17 May - 5:00 PM
La Liga
Levante LVT
2 Winner 0
Mallorca MLL
Full Time Sun, 17 May 5:00 PM
Round 37 Regular Season
Kervin Arriaga - 87'
Carlos Espí - 32'
Goal
|
Roger Brugué 85' Red Card
|
Red Card Johan Mojica 85'

CONTEXT

Levante secured a 2-0 victory over Mallorca in a match defined by unexpected resilience from the home side. The first half ended with Levante leading 1-0 after an early goal that set the tone. Despite Mallorca dominating possession with 71 percent compared to Levante's 29 percent, the home team maintained defensive structure. Both sides were reduced to ten players following red cards, altering the game's rhythm in the second half. Levante capitalized on their opportunities to add a second goal and close out the result. This outcome highlighted how efficiency in key moments outweighed territorial control. The significant deviation from pre-match expectations underscored Levante's ability to overcome being labeled the weaker side. Overall the contest demonstrated the impact of disciplined defending amid numerical equality after dismissals.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Levante won 2-0 despite holding just 29 percent possession against Mallorca's 71 percent.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiency remained in line with observed performance patterns throughout the contest.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be directly confirmed.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved consistent with pre-match market indications for the winner.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals figures were recorded leaving expectations without numerical backing.
  • Event impact: The match winner emerged after both teams adjusted to equal numerical disadvantage.
  • Red card distortion: Red cards issued to each side distorted second half flow and territorial balance.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

Javier Alberola Rojas

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

G. Romero Freixas

4th Official

Spain

A. Rodríguez Moreno

1st Assistant

Spain

J. Bueno Mateo

2nd Assistant

Spain

League averages

La Liga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.03
Yellow cards / match 3.88
Red cards / match 0.21
Penalties / match 0.27
Levante L. Ferreira de Castro
L. Ferreira de Castro
VS
Mallorca M. Demichelis
M. Demichelis
1.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celta de Vigo Rank: 81 W
Osasuna Rank: 78 W
Villarreal Rank: 83 L
Espanyol Rank: 72 D
Sevilla Rank: 73 W
Getafe Rank: 76 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Getafe Rank: 76 L
Villarreal Rank: 84 D
Girona Rank: 75 W
Deportivo Alavés Rank: 75 L
Valencia Rank: 78 D
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 79 W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 6 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Levante
46.37%
Draw
27.76%
Away Mallorca
25.87%

Movement

Changes since opening
Levante
-51.52%
Draw
+25.84%
Mallorca
+25.67%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.8
75.56
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Levante
Mallorca
Power Score
62.8
75.56
League Position
19
18
Global Rank
112
103

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Levante — Opponent-weighted form score
Mallorca — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Levante Mallorca

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Levante

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Mallorca

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Levante ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Mallorca
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Levante Mallorca
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Levante Mallorca
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Levante
Mallorca
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Levante
vs
Mallorca
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Levante Mallorca
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Levante 0.00
Mallorca 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Levante Mallorca
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Levante 0.00
Mallorca 0.00
Levante
Mallorca
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LVT had peak pressure around 79'.
  • MLL started the game with stronger pressure.
LVT Pressure MLL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LVT reached the top pressure at 79' (71.58).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Levante LVT Home
17 matches
Mallorca MLL Away
Match Record
4
Wins
7
6
Draws
6
7
Losses
4
Goals
18
Goals Scored
21
21
Goals Conceded
18
-3
Goal Difference
+3

Data last updated: 2026-05-17T16:46:04+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-3-1-2
Pitch
M. Ryan
Australia
13 M. Ryan
J. Toljan
Substitution
Germany
22 J. Toljan
A. De la Fuente Barquilla
Spain
4 A. De la Fuente Barquilla
M. Moreno
Argentina
2 M. Moreno
M. Sánchez De La Peña
Spain
23 M. Sánchez De La Peña
I. Losada Aragunde
Substitution
Spain
18 I. Losada Aragunde
P. Martínez Andrés
Spain
10 P. Martínez Andrés
K. Arriaga
Honduras
16 K. Arriaga
I. Romero de Ávila Araque
Substitution
Spain
9 I. Romero de Ávila Araque
C. Espí Escrihuela
Substitution
Spain
19 C. Espí Escrihuela
J. Olasagasti Imizcoz
Substitution
Spain
8 J. Olasagasti Imizcoz
Pitch
L. Román Riquelme
Spain
1 L. Román Riquelme
J. Mojica Palacio
Colombia
22 J. Mojica Palacio
D. López Guijarro
Substitution
Spain
27 D. López Guijarro
M. Valjent
Substitution
Slovakia
24 M. Valjent
P. Maffeo Becerra
Argentina
23 P. Maffeo Becerra
M. Morlanes
Substitution
Spain
8 M. Morlanes
S. Darder Moll
Spain
10 S. Darder Moll
S. Costa
Portugal
12 S. Costa
P. Torre Carral
Substitution
Spain
20 P. Torre Carral
Z. Sebastiao Luvumbo
Substitution
Angola
15 Z. Sebastiao Luvumbo
V. Muriqi
Kosovo
7 V. Muriqi

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Capacity :
26354
Attendance :
22958
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Javier Alberola Rojas
Gonzalo Romero Freixas
Alfredo Rodríguez Moreno
Jorge Bueno Mateo

Statistics

Possession
LVT
36%
MLL
64%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
4 Big Chances Created 1
12 Shots 4
31 Dangerous attacks 50
29 Possession 71
4 Corners 6
14 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
14 Throwins 18
11 Dribble Attempts 15
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
14 Successful Headers 17
5 Successful Dribbles 6
61 Ball Safe 79
10 Goal Attempts 5
1 Hit Woodwork 0
9 Goal Kicks 11
5 Substitutions 5
0 Injuries 1
1 Assists 0

Attacking

68 Attacks 110
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

149 Successful Passes 483
214 Passes 554
70 Successful Passes Percentage 87
23 Successful Long Passes 40
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 58
62 Long Passes 69
9 Key Passes 7

Defensive

20 Tackles 18
52 Duels Won 53
7 Interceptions 3
3 Saves 1

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 33
5 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Javier Alberola Rojas

Starting XI ▼

13
Mathew Ryan
Mathew Ryan Goalkeeper
7.1
2
Matías Moreno
Matías Moreno Defender
6.8
4
Adrián Dela
Adrián Dela Defender
6.97
22
Jeremy Toljan
Jeremy Toljan Defender
6.65
29
Nacho Pérez Gómez
Nacho Pérez Gómez
Defender23'
6.64
23
Manu Sánchez
Manu Sánchez Defender
6.66
9
Iván Romero
Iván Romero Midfielder
6.9
26
Kareem Tunde
Kareem Tunde
Attacker90+2'
6.6
10
Pablo Martínez
Pablo Martínez Midfielder
6.84
16
Kervin Arriaga
Kervin Arriaga Midfielder
6.79
18
Iker Losada
Iker Losada Midfielder
6.63
7
Roger Brugué
Roger Brugué
Midfielder65'
6.53
8
Jon Ander Olasagasti
Jon Ander Olasagasti Attacker
6.78
14
Ugo Raghouber
Ugo Raghouber
Midfielder90+2'
6.74
19
Carlos Espí
Carlos Espí Attacker
6.87
21
Karl Etta Eyong
Karl Etta Eyong
Attacker90+2'
7.02
Referee : Javier Alberola Rojas

Starting XI ▼

1
Leo Román
Leo Román Goalkeeper
6.84
22
Johan Mojica
Johan Mojica Defender
6.69
23
Pablo Maffeo
Pablo Maffeo Defender
6.86
24
Martin Valjent
Martin Valjent Defender
6.68
44
Miguel Calatayud
Miguel Calatayud
Defender69'
6.63
27
David López
David López Defender
6.72
34
Javier Olaizola
Javier Olaizola
Defender46'
8.1
8
Manu Morlanes
Manu Morlanes Midfielder
6.71
9
Abdón Prats
Abdón Prats
Attacker79'
6.48
10
Sergi Darder
Sergi Darder Midfielder
6.99
12
Samú Costa
Samú Costa Midfielder
6.91
20
Pablo Torre
Pablo Torre Midfielder
6.78
17
Jan Virgili
Jan Virgili
Attacker61'
6.67
7
Vedat Muriqi
Vedat Muriqi Attacker
7.19
15
Zito Luvumbo
Zito Luvumbo Attacker
6.69
11
Takuma Asano
Takuma Asano
Attacker69'
6.54

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Adrián Dela
Woodwork
90+6'
Event
Ugo Raghouber → Jon Ander Olasagasti
9th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Karl Etta Eyong → Carlos Espí
8th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Kareem Tunde → Iván Romero
10th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Kervin Arriaga
Header / 2nd Goal
87'
Event
Roger Brugué
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
85'
Event
Roger Brugué
Card adjusted
85'
85'
Event
Johan Mojica
Violent conduct / 2nd Redcard
85'
Event
Johan Mojica
Card adjusted
79'
Event
Abdón Prats → Manu Morlanes
7th Substitution
Event
Mathew Ryan
Time wasting / 2nd Yellowcard
78'
69'
Event
Miguel Calatayud → Martin Valjent
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Takuma Asano → Zito Luvumbo
5th Substitution
Event
Roger Brugué → Iker Losada
4th Substitution
65'
61'
Event
Jan Virgili → Pablo Torre
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Javier Olaizola → David López
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Carlos Espí
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
32'
Event
Nacho Pérez Gómez
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
30'
Event
Nacho Pérez Gómez → Jeremy Toljan
1st Substitution
23'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Adrian De La Fuente takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
90
Attempt Attempt
Etta Eyong misses with a right-footed shot.
90
Substitution Substitution
Etta Eyong is substituted for Carlos Espi.
90
Update Update
Ugo Raghouber is replaced by Jon Ander Olasagasti.
90
Attempt Attempt
Kareem Tunde takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Kareem Tunde takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved! Adrian De La Fuente's shot is stopped.
90
Attempt Attempt
Etta Eyong takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Update Update
Kareem Tunde replaces Iván Romero.
87
Update Update
Kervin Arriaga scores with a header.
87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kervin Arriaga scores, making it 2-0.
85
Red Card Red Card Important
Johan Andres Mojica Palacio receives a red card.
85
Red Card Red Card Important
Roger Brugue receives a red card.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Roger Brugue receives a yellow card.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Johan Andres Mojica Palacio receives a yellow card.
82
Attempt Attempt
Roger Brugue takes a left-footed shot but misses.
79
Update Update
Abdon Prats Bastidas comes on for Manuel Morlanes.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mathew Ryan receives a yellow card.
78
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Espi takes a shot with his head, but it misses.
75
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Espi takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
73
Attempt Attempt
Kervin Arriaga's left-footed shot is blocked.
71
Attempt Attempt
Roger Brugue takes a right-footed shot but misses.
69
Update Update
Takuma Asano replaces Zito Luvumbo.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Roger Brugue comes on for Iker Losada.
61
Update Update
Jan Virgili replaces Pablo Torre.
59
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Torre takes a right-footed shot but misses.
50
Attempt Attempt
Iván Romero takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Javier Olaizola comes on for David Lopez.
45
Attempt Attempt
Sergi Darder takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
41
Attempt Attempt
Vedat Muriqi attempts a header but misses the shot.
35
Attempt Attempt
Zito Luvumbo's header is saved.
32
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Espi takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Carlos Espi scores, making it 1-0.
30
Attempt Attempt
Kervin Arriaga attempts a header but misses the shot.
30
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nacho Pérez receives a yellow card.
26
Attempt Attempt
Johan Andres Mojica Palacio takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
25
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Almeida Costa's header is saved.
24
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Espi takes a shot with his head but misses.
23
Update Update
Nacho Pérez replaces Jeremy Toljan.
21
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Espi takes a shot with his head but misses.
17
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Almeida Costa takes a left-footed shot but misses.
10
Attempt Attempt
Zito Luvumbo takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Levante's triumph in this 2-0 encounter illustrated the value of clinical finishing over sustained possession. Mallorca controlled large portions of the game yet failed to convert dominance into goals. The halftime score of 1-0 provided Levante with a platform they defended stoutly after the interval. Red cards for both teams introduced tactical shifts that favored the home side's compact approach. Levante exploited transitions effectively to secure the second goal and preserve their clean sheet. This result serves as a reminder that outcomes often hinge on moments rather than overall statistics. Coaches will likely review how efficiency in limited chances can override possession disadvantages in future fixtures. The performance offers valuable lessons on adaptability under reduced numbers.

Levante vs Mallorca preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.