Brest vs Angers SCO Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Francis-Le Ble Sun, 17 May - 7:00 PM
Ligue 1
Brest B29
1 – 1
Angers SCO ANG
Full Time Sun, 17 May 7:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season
Romain Del Castillo - 55'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Brest 1–1 Angers SCO. The match ended in a draw. Brest showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 58%–42%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Brest 1-1 Angers SCO. Brest showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Vernice

France 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

T. Luczynski

1st Assistant

France

F. Gonçalves de Araujo

2nd Assistant

France

B. Lepaysant

4th Official

France

League averages

Ligue 1 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 20.86
Yellow cards / match 3.2
Red cards / match 0.17
Penalties / match 0.28
Brest E. Roy
E. Roy
VS
Angers SCO A. Dujeux
A. Dujeux
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.05
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Strasbourg Rank: 77 L
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 95 L
Paris Rank: 72 L
Lens Rank: 82 D
Nantes Rank: 66 D
Rennes Rank: 80 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Strasbourg Rank: 77 D
Auxerre Rank: 69 L
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 94 L
Le Havre Rank: 67 D
Rennes Rank: 80 L
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 82 D
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 2 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brest
17.02%
Draw
73.13%
Away Angers SCO
9.85%

Movement

Changes since opening
Brest
-0.19%
Draw
+0.31%
Angers SCO
-0.12%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.05
66.91
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brest
Angers SCO
Power Score
72.05
66.91
League Position
12
13
Global Rank
152
275

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brest — Opponent-weighted form score
Angers SCO — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brest Angers SCO

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Brest

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Angers SCO

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brest ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Angers SCO
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brest Angers SCO
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brest Angers SCO
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Brest
Angers SCO
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Brest
vs
Angers SCO
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Brest Angers SCO
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Brest 0.00
Angers SCO 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brest Angers SCO
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Brest 0.00
Angers SCO 0.00
Brest
Angers SCO
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • B29 had peak pressure around 59'.
  • B29 started the game with stronger pressure.
B29 Pressure ANG Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: B29 reached the top pressure at 59' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brest B29 Home
11 matches
Angers SCO ANG Away
Match Record
5
Wins
4
2
Draws
2
4
Losses
5
Goals
15
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
15
+6
Goal Difference
-6

Data last updated: 2026-05-17T18:45:29+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
G. Coudert
France
30 G. Coudert
K. Lala
France
77 K. Lala
B. Chardonnet
France
5 B. Chardonnet
R. Le Guen
71 R. Le Guen
D. Guindo
Substitution
Mali
27 D. Guindo
L. Tousart
Substitution
France
24 L. Tousart
H. Makalou
Mali
33 H. Makalou
R. Del Castillo
Substitution
France
10 R. Del Castillo
K. Doumbia
Substitution
Mali
23 K. Doumbia
P. Mboup
Substitution
Senegal
99 P. Mboup
L. Ajorque
France
19 L. Ajorque
Pitch
K. Koffi
Substitution
Burkina Faso
12 K. Koffi
J. Lefort
France
21 J. Lefort
O. Camara
France
4 O. Camara
Abdoulaye Bamba
Substitution
Ivory Coast
25 Abdoulaye Bamba
F. Hanin
Substitution
France
26 F. Hanin
H. Belkebla
Algeria
93 H. Belkebla
B. van den Boomen
Netherlands
8 B. van den Boomen
P. Capelle
Substitution
France
15 P. Capelle
L. Rao-Lisoa
France
27 L. Rao-Lisoa
M. Sbai
France
7 M. Sbai
G. Koyalipou
Substitution
Central African Republic
9 G. Koyalipou

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Capacity :
15097
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Mathieu Vernice
Thomas Luczynski
Florian Gonçalves de Araujo
Benjamin Lepaysant

Statistics

Possession
B29
58%
ANG
42%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
5 Big Chances Created 2
7 Shots 4
46 Dangerous attacks 19
58 Possession 42
6 Corners 3
8 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

19 Dribble Attempts 15
10 Successful Dribbles 7
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47
16 Throwins 13
11 Successful Headers 8
7 Goal Kicks 12
32 Ball Safe 31
5 Goal Attempts 1
5 Substitutions 5
1 Assists 1

Attacking

99 Attacks 67
4 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

63 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45
86 Successful Passes Percentage 83
437 Successful Passes 304
56 Long Passes 38
35 Successful Long Passes 17
507 Passes 367
12 Key Passes 8

Defensive

1 Saves 3
6 Interceptions 6
12 Tackles 18
41 Duels Won 40

Build-up

23 Total Crosses 13
11 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

9 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Mathieu Vernice

Starting XI ▼

30
Grégoire Coudert
Grégoire Coudert Goalkeeper
6.87
5
Brendan Chardonnet
Brendan Chardonnet Defender
7.01
27
Daouda Guindo
Daouda Guindo Defender
6.61
2
Bradley Locko
Bradley Locko
Defender82'
6.65
71
R. Le Guen
R. Le Guen Defender
6.78
77
Kenny Lala
Kenny Lala Defender
6.68
10
Romain Del Castillo
Romain Del Castillo Midfielder
6.94
14
Rémy Labeau Lascary
Rémy Labeau Lascary
Attacker64'
6.66
23
Kamory Doumbia
Kamory Doumbia Midfielder
6.92
8
Hugo Magnetti
Hugo Magnetti
Midfielder74'
6.79
24
Lucas Tousart
Lucas Tousart Midfielder
6.58
13
Joris Chotard
Joris Chotard
Midfielder73'
6.87
33
Hamidou Makalou
Hamidou Makalou Midfielder
6.56
99
Pathé Mboup
Pathé Mboup Midfielder
6.52
21
Ibrahim Yayiya Kanté
Ibrahim Yayiya Kanté
Attacker82'
19
Ludovic Ajorque
Ludovic Ajorque Attacker
7.18
Referee : Mathieu Vernice

Starting XI ▼

12
Hervé Koffi
Hervé Koffi Goalkeeper
7.28
16
Melvin Zinga
Melvin Zinga
Goalkeeper49'
6.82
4
Ousmane Camara
Ousmane Camara Defender
6.82
21
Jordan Lefort
Jordan Lefort Defender
6.81
25
Abdoulaye Bamba
Abdoulaye Bamba Defender
6.76
2
Carlens Arcus
Carlens Arcus
Defender65'
6.76
8
Branco van den Boomen
Branco van den Boomen Midfielder
7.04
15
Pierrick Capelle
Pierrick Capelle Midfielder
6.61
24
Emmanuel Biumla
Emmanuel Biumla
Midfielder78'
6.27
26
Florent Hanin
Florent Hanin Midfielder
6.57
3
Jacques Ekomié
Jacques Ekomié
Defender65'
6.62
27
Lilian Raolisoa
Lilian Raolisoa Midfielder
6.74
93
Haris Belkebla
Haris Belkebla Midfielder
6.72
7
Amine Sbaï
Amine Sbaï Attacker
6.59
9
Goduine Koyalipou
Goduine Koyalipou Attacker
6.72
36
L. Machine
L. Machine
Attacker78'
6.53

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ibrahim Yayiya Kanté → Pathé Mboup
9th Substitution
82'
Event
Bradley Locko → Daouda Guindo
10th Substitution
82'
78'
Event
L. Machine → Goduine Koyalipou
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Emmanuel Biumla → Pierrick Capelle
7th Substitution
Event
Hugo Magnetti → Kamory Doumbia
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Joris Chotard → Lucas Tousart
5th Substitution
73'
65'
Event
Jacques Ekomié → Florent Hanin
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Carlens Arcus → Abdoulaye Bamba
3rd Substitution
Event
Rémy Labeau Lascary → Romain Del Castillo
2nd Substitution
64'
60'
Event
Amine Sbaï
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Romain Del Castillo
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
55'
49'
Event
Melvin Zinga → Hervé Koffi
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Brendan Chardonnet
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
19'
10'
Event
Abdoulaye Bamba
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
8'
Event
Amine Sbaï
Goal disallowed

Match Commentary

89
Attempt Attempt
Remy Labeau Lascary takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
86
Attempt Attempt
Hugo Magnetti's right-footed shot is blocked.
82
Update Update
Bradley Locko is on, and Daouda Guindo is off.
81
Attempt Attempt
Remy Labeau Lascary takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
79
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Remy Labeau Lascary with his right foot is blocked.
78
Update Update
Emmanuel Biumla replaces Pierrick Capelle.
78
Substitution Substitution
Lanroy Machine is substituted for Goduine Koyalipou.
77
Attempt Attempt
Jacques Ekomie takes a header shot but misses.
75
Attempt Attempt
Goduine Koyalipou's left-footed shot is saved.
75
Attempt Attempt
Goduine Koyalipou takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
73
Update Update
Hugo Magnetti is on, and Kamory Doumbia is off.
73
Update Update
Joris Chotard comes on for Lucas Tousart.
72
Attempt Attempt
Goduine Koyalipou takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
70
Attempt Attempt
Goduine Koyalipou's right-footed shot is blocked.
69
Attempt Attempt
Goduine Koyalipou takes a right-footed shot but misses.
68
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Tousart attempts a header but misses the shot.
68
Attempt Attempt
Remy Labeau Lascary takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
65
Update Update
Jacques Ekomie replaces Florent Hanin.
65
Update Update
Carlens Arcus comes on for Abdoulaye Bamba.
64
Update Update
Remy Labeau Lascary replaces Romain Del Castillo.
60
Attempt Attempt
Amine Sbai takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
55
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Romain Del Castillo scores to make it 1-0.
55
Attempt Attempt
Romain Del Castillo takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
54
Attempt Attempt
Ludovic Ajorque attempts a header but misses the shot.
53
Attempt Attempt
Pathe Mboup takes a right-footed shot but misses.
49
Update Update
Melvin Zinga comes on for Herve Kouakou Koffi.
40
Attempt Attempt
Amine Sbai takes a right-footed shot but misses.
32
Attempt Attempt
Ousmane Camara takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
32
Attempt Attempt
Pierrick Capelle takes a left-footed shot but misses.
26
Attempt Attempt
Kamory Doumbia attempts a header but misses the shot.
25
Attempt Attempt
Romain Del Castillo's left-footed shot is blocked.
23
Attempt Attempt
Kamory Doumbia takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Brendan Chardonnet receives a yellow card.
14
Attempt Attempt
Daouda Guindo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
13
Attempt Attempt
Brendan Chardonnet attempts a header but misses the shot.
10
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Abdoulaye Bamba receives a yellow card.
7
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mohamed Amine Sbai scores, making it 1-0.
7
Update Update
VAR decision results in a disallowed goal for Mohamed Amine Sbai.
6
Attempt Attempt
Amine Sbai takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
4
Attempt Attempt
Hamidou Makalou takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Brest 1-1 Angers SCO. Structural assessment: Brest exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Brest vs Angers SCO preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.