Zorya Luhansk vs Polissya Zhytomyr Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky Mon, 18 May - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk
0 – 0
Polissya Zhytomyr Polissya Zhytomyr
Full Time Mon, 18 May 10:00 AM
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

The match between Zorya Luhansk and Polissya Zhytomyr ended in a 0-0 draw. Both sides were level at 0-0 after the first half under even conditions. Polissya Zhytomyr held 69 percent possession while Zorya Luhansk managed 31 percent. Despite the territorial edge for the stronger side no goals were scored by either team. The final score matched the halftime score exactly. No red cards were shown to players from either side during the contest. The result reflected a defensive stalemate where opportunities remained limited throughout the ninety minutes. Polissya Zhytomyr as the designated stronger team could not translate control into a breakthrough against a compact Zorya Luhansk setup.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The match recorded a moderate deviation of 10.5 percent associated with Polissya Zhytomyr.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency levels stayed in line with pre-match patterns for both teams.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals values were null so alignment could not be measured.
  • Market alignment: The draw outcome proved consistent with overall market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: No xG expectations could be evaluated from the available null dataset.
  • Event impact: The 0-0 halftime score persisted unchanged into the final result.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards for both teams produced no disciplinary distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

V. Kopievskiy

Ukraine 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Shlonchak

1st Assistant

Ukraine

V. Nyzhnyk

2nd Assistant

Ukraine

A. Zaytsev

4th Official

Ukraine

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 17.2
Yellow cards / match 3.23
Red cards / match 0.15
Penalties / match 0.27
Zorya Luhansk V. Skripnik
V. Skripnik
VS
Polissya Zhytomyr R. Rotan
R. Rotan
1.44
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Oleksandria Rank: 43 W
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 D
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 44 W
Veres Rank: 49 W
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 75 L
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 66 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 47 L
Oleksandria Rank: 43 W
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 W
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 41 W
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 75 L
SK Poltava Rank: 32 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Zorya Luhansk
4.39%
Draw
89.47%
Away Polissya Zhytomyr
6.14%

Movement

Changes since opening
Zorya Luhansk
-0.95%
Draw
+3.88%
Polissya Zhytomyr
-2.93%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
53.98
61.18
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Zorya Luhansk
Polissya Zhytomyr
Power Score
53.98
61.18
League Position
8
3
Global Rank
661
436

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Zorya Luhansk — Opponent-weighted form score
Polissya Zhytomyr — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Zorya Luhansk Polissya Zhytomyr

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Zorya Luhansk

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Polissya Zhytomyr

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Zorya Luhansk ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Polissya Zhytomyr
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.29
33.84
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
33.84
36.29
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Zorya Luhansk +0.25 Efficiency Index
vs
Polissya Zhytomyr -0.25 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Zorya Luhansk
Polissya Zhytomyr
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Zorya Luhansk ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Polissya Zhytomyr
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Zorya Luhansk Polissya Zhytomyr
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Zorya Luhansk Polissya Zhytomyr
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Zorya Luhansk
Polissya Zhytomyr
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Zorya Luhansk
vs
Polissya Zhytomyr
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Zorya Luhansk Polissya Zhytomyr
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Zorya Luhansk 0.20
Polissya Zhytomyr 0.22
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Zorya Luhansk Polissya Zhytomyr
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Zorya Luhansk 0.00
Polissya Zhytomyr 0.00
Zorya Luhansk
Polissya Zhytomyr
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Polissya Zhytomyr had peak pressure around 54'.
  • Polissya Zhytomyr started the game with stronger pressure.
Zorya Luhansk Pressure Polissya Zhytomyr Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Polissya Zhytomyr reached the top pressure at 54' (60.74).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk Home
5 matches
Polissya Zhytomyr Polissya Zhytomyr Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
2
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-05-19T00:00:49+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-2-3
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
O. Saputin
Ukraine
1 O. Saputin
I. Perduta
Ukraine
44 I. Perduta
A. da Silva Cordeiro
Brazil
55 A. da Silva Cordeiro
G. Eskinja
Austria
4 G. Eskinja
R. Vantukh
Ukraine
47 R. Vantukh
B. Kushnirenko
Substitution
Ukraine
77 B. Kushnirenko
D. Popara
Bosnia and Herzegovina
6 D. Popara
P. Mićin
Substitution
Serbia
22 P. Mićin
A. Slesar
Substitution
Ukraine
9 A. Slesar
P. Budkivskyi
Ukraine
28 P. Budkivskyi
D. Jelavić
Substitution
Croatia
27 D. Jelavić
Pitch
G. Bushchan
Ukraine
21 G. Bushchan
B. Mykhaylichenko
Ukraine
15 B. Mykhaylichenko
E. Sarapiy
Ukraine
5 E. Sarapiy
I. Krasniqi
Kosovo
16 I. Krasniqi
M. Kravchenko
Ukraine
4 M. Kravchenko
R. Babenko
Ukraine
8 (C) R. Babenko
M. Bragaru
Substitution
Ukraine
45 M. Bragaru
L. Emërllahu
Substitution
Kosovo
14 L. Emërllahu
O. Andrievsky
Ukraine
18 O. Andrievsky
O. Nazarenko
Substitution
Ukraine
7 O. Nazarenko
I. Krasnopir
Ukraine
95 I. Krasnopir

General Information

Date & Time :
May 18, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky
Capacity :
40003
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Semen Shlonchak
Viktor Nyzhnyk
Andrii Zaytsev
Viktor Kopievskiy

Statistics

Possession
Zorya Luhansk
38%
Polissya Zhytomyr
62%

Top Statistics

5 Shots 14
45 Dangerous attacks 87
31 Possession 69
2 Corners 6
8 Free kicks 5
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 3

Attacking

112 Attacks 154

Defensive

4 Saves 2

Discipline

5 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Viktor Kopievskiy

Starting XI ▼

1
Oleksandr Saputin
Oleksandr Saputin Goalkeeper
6.5
4
Gabriel Eskinja
Gabriel Eskinja Defender
6.49
44
Igor Perduta
Igor Perduta Defender
6.5
47
Roman Vantukh
Roman Vantukh Defender
6.5
55
Jordan
Jordan Defender
6.5
6
Dejan Popara
Dejan Popara Midfielder
6.5
9
Artem Slesar
Artem Slesar Midfielder
6.5
70
Reynaldiño Verley
Reynaldiño Verley
Midfielder84'
6.5
22
Petar Micin
Petar Micin Midfielder
6.5
8
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk
Midfielder78'
6.5
27
Domagoj Jelavic
Domagoj Jelavic Midfielder
6.5
23
Navin Malysh
Navin Malysh
Midfielder69'
6.5
77
Bogdan Kushnirenko
Bogdan Kushnirenko Midfielder
6.5
21
Jakov Basic
Jakov Basic
Defender69'
6.5
28
Pylyp Budkivskyi
Pylyp Budkivskyi Attacker
6.46
Referee : Viktor Kopievskiy

Starting XI ▼

21
Georgiy Bushchan
Georgiy Bushchan Goalkeeper
6.5
4
Mykyta Kravchenko
Mykyta Kravchenko Defender
6.5
5
Eduard Sarapiy
Eduard Sarapiy Defender
6.5
15
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko Defender
6.5
16
Ilir Krasniqi
Ilir Krasniqi Defender
6.5
7
Oleksandr Nazarenko
Oleksandr Nazarenko Midfielder
6.5
22
Vladyslav Veleten
Vladyslav Veleten
Midfielder83'
6.5
8
Ruslan Babenko
Ruslan Babenko (C) Midfielder
6.45
14
Lindon Emërllahu
Lindon Emërllahu Midfielder
6.5
89
Mykola Gayduchyk
Mykola Gayduchyk
Attacker58'
6.5
18
Oleksandr Andriyevskyi
Oleksandr Andriyevskyi Midfielder
6.5
45
Maksym Bragaru
Maksym Bragaru Midfielder
6.5
9
Oleksandr Filippov
Oleksandr Filippov
Attacker58'
6.5
95
Igor Krasnopir
Igor Krasnopir Attacker
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Reynaldiño Verley → Artem Slesar
7th Substitution
84'
83'
Event
Vladyslav Veleten → Oleksandr Nazarenko
6th Substitution
Event
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk → Petar Micin
5th Substitution
78'
77'
Event
Ruslan Babenko
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Jakov Basic → Bogdan Kushnirenko
3rd Substitution
69'
Event
Navin Malysh → Domagoj Jelavic
4th Substitution
69'
58'
Event
Oleksandr Filippov → Maksym Bragaru
1st Substitution
58'
Event
Mykola Gayduchyk → Lindon Emërllahu
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Pylyp Budkivskyi
2nd Yellowcard
31'
Event
Gabriel Eskinja
1st Yellowcard
29'

Match Commentary

84
Update Update
Reynaldino Verley replaces Artem Slesar.
83
Update Update
Vladyslav Veleten replaces Oleksandr Nazarenko.
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ruslan Babenko receives a yellow card.
77
Update Update
Kyrylo Dryshliuk comes on for Petar Micin.
69
Update Update
Navin Malysh replaces Domagoj Jelavic.
69
Update Update
Jakov Basic is on, and Bogdan Kushnirenko is off.
58
Update Update
Oleksandr Filippov is on, and Maksim Bragaru is off.
58
Update Update
Mykola Gayduchyk comes on for Lindon Emerllahu.
31
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Pylyp Budkivsky.

CONCLUSION

The goalless draw highlighted effective defensive organization from Zorya Luhansk against higher possession from Polissya Zhytomyr. Both teams preserved clean sheets from start to finish with the score remaining 0-0 at halftime and full time. Limited clear chances defined the contest as structural elements favored balance over breakthrough. Efficiency metrics aligned without notable shifts and the absence of red cards avoided any late adjustments. The stronger side could not overcome compact resistance despite territorial dominance. Overall the result underscored a tactical emphasis on containment rather than risk taking in open play.

Zorya Luhansk vs Polissya Zhytomyr preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.