Kudrivka vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Obolon' Arena Mon, 18 May - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Kudrivka Kudrivka
1 Winner 0
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy
Full Time Mon, 18 May 10:00 AM
Round 29 Regular Season
Denys Svityukha - 80'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Kudrivka secured a narrow 1-0 victory over LNZ Cherkasy in a tightly contested encounter that remained level at halftime. The home side struck the decisive goal after the break to claim the points against a side widely regarded as stronger on paper. Possession favored the visitors at 53 percent compared to Kudrivka's 47 percent, yet the hosts proved more clinical in front of goal. No red cards were shown to either team, allowing both sides to maintain their full complements for the full ninety minutes. The outcome represented a notable departure from pre-match expectations given the relative strengths of the two sides. Kudrivka's defensive organization and timely finishing proved sufficient to overcome the possession disadvantage and secure the clean sheet. The match highlighted how individual moments can outweigh overall territorial control in determining the final result.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Kudrivka produced a significant structural deviation by defeating the stronger LNZ Cherkasy side.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with the overall pattern of the contest.
  • xG alignment: xG figures were unavailable so alignment with the scoreline could not be confirmed.
  • Market alignment: The final result did not align with market expectations for the stronger team.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations pointed to a closer contest than the single goal margin suggested.
  • Event impact: The second-half goal proved the decisive event that shaped the 1-0 outcome.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so the match proceeded without any dismissal-related distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

O. Derevinskyi

Ukraine 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

O. Myronov

1st Assistant

Ukraine

H. Svitlana

2nd Assistant

Ukraine

I. Salash

4th Official

Ukraine

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 17.2
Yellow cards / match 3.23
Red cards / match 0.15
Penalties / match 0.27
Kudrivka O. Protchenko
O. Protchenko
VS
LNZ Cherkasy V. Ponomarov
V. Ponomarov
0.69
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.13
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 43 W
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 55 L
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 41 D
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 74 L
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 L
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 57 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
SK Poltava Rank: 34 W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 66 D
Karpaty Rank: 55 D
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 D
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 53 L
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 75 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kudrivka
14.87%
Draw
23.37%
Away LNZ Cherkasy
61.76%

Movement

Changes since opening
Kudrivka
-77.82%
Draw
+17.01%
LNZ Cherkasy
+60.81%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
41.93
57.45
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kudrivka
LNZ Cherkasy
Power Score
41.93
57.45
League Position
13
2
Global Rank
965
563

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kudrivka — Opponent-weighted form score
LNZ Cherkasy — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kudrivka LNZ Cherkasy

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kudrivka

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

LNZ Cherkasy

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kudrivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy LNZ Cherkasy
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
12.87
10.47
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
10.47
12.87
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kudrivka +0.24 Efficiency Index
vs
LNZ Cherkasy -0.24 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kudrivka
LNZ Cherkasy
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kudrivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy LNZ Cherkasy
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kudrivka LNZ Cherkasy
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kudrivka LNZ Cherkasy
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kudrivka
LNZ Cherkasy
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kudrivka
vs
LNZ Cherkasy
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kudrivka LNZ Cherkasy
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kudrivka 0.24
LNZ Cherkasy 0.13
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kudrivka LNZ Cherkasy
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kudrivka 0.00
LNZ Cherkasy 0.05
Kudrivka
LNZ Cherkasy
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LNZ Cherkasy had peak pressure around 29'.
  • Kudrivka started the game with stronger pressure.
  • Both teams' pressure dropped after the 30th minute.
Kudrivka Pressure LNZ Cherkasy Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LNZ Cherkasy reached the top pressure at 29' (59.21).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kudrivka Kudrivka Home
1 matches
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-05-19T00:00:58+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-2-3
Pitch
A. Yashkov
Ukraine
37 (C) A. Yashkov
A. Machelyuk
Ukraine
39 A. Machelyuk
B. Veklyak
Ukraine
22 B. Veklyak
J. Collahuazo Vaca
Ecuador
55 J. Collahuazo Vaca
M. Farina
Ukraine
74 M. Farina
K. Makosso Faites Prevu
Substitution
Brazil
14 K. Makosso Faites Prevu
A. Dumanyuk
Ukraine
19 A. Dumanyuk
O. Kozak
Ukraine
10 O. Kozak
A. Storchous
Substitution
Ukraine
8 A. Storchous
A. Hlushchenko
Substitution
Ukraine
21 A. Hlushchenko
R. Frimpong Owusu
Substitution
Ghana
24 R. Frimpong Owusu
Pitch
O. Palamarchuk
Ukraine
12 O. Palamarchuk
D. Kuzyk
Ukraine
17 D. Kuzyk
A. Drambayev
Ukraine
14 A. Drambayev
O. Gorin
Ukraine
25 O. Gorin
G. Pasich
Ukraine
11 G. Pasich
R. Didyk
Ukraine
29 (C) R. Didyk
Y. Pastukh
Ukraine
19 Y. Pastukh
A. Yakubu Hassan
Substitution
Nigeria
8 A. Yakubu Hassan
A. Mykytyshyn
Substitution
Ukraine
7 A. Mykytyshyn
M. Assinor
Substitution
Ghana
90 M. Assinor
E. Tverdokhlib
Substitution
Ukraine
22 E. Tverdokhlib

General Information

Date & Time :
May 18, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Obolon' Arena
Capacity :
5100
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Oleksiy Myronov
Hrushko Svitlana
Ivan Salash
Oleksiy Derevinskyi

Statistics

Possession
Kudrivka
49%
LNZ Cherkasy
51%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
5 Shots 4
21 Dangerous attacks 31
47 Possession 53
2 Corners 6
10 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 1
1 Assists 0

Attacking

55 Attacks 47

Defensive

1 Saves 1

Discipline

13 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Oleksiy Derevinskyi

Starting XI ▼

37
Anton Yashkov
Anton Yashkov (C) Goalkeeper
6.5
22
Bogdan Veklyak
Bogdan Veklyak Defender
6.5
39
Artem Machelyuk
Artem Machelyuk Defender
6.5
55
Jair Collahuazo
Jair Collahuazo Defender
6.5
74
Maryan Faryna
Maryan Faryna Defender
6.5
8
Andriy Storchous
Andriy Storchous Midfielder
6.5
69
Yuriy Potimkov
Yuriy Potimkov
Defender85'
10
Oleksandr Kozak
Oleksandr Kozak Midfielder
6.61
14
Kaya Makosso
Kaya Makosso Midfielder
6.5
29
Denys Nagnoynyi
Denys Nagnoynyi
Midfielder74'
6.5
19
Artur Dumanyuk
Artur Dumanyuk Midfielder
6.5
21
Anton Glushchenko
Anton Glushchenko Midfielder
6.5
20
Denys Svityukha
Denys Svityukha
Midfielder65'
6.65
24
Raymond Owusu
Raymond Owusu Attacker
6.5
77
Artem Liehostaiev
Artem Liehostaiev
Attacker74'
6.5
Referee : Oleksiy Derevinskyi

Starting XI ▼

12
Oleksiy Palamarchuk
Oleksiy Palamarchuk Goalkeeper
6.12
11
Gennadiy Pasich
Gennadiy Pasich Defender
6.26
14
Oleksandr Drambayev
Oleksandr Drambayev Defender
6.26
17
Denys Kuzyk
Denys Kuzyk Defender
6.26
25
Oleg Gorin
Oleg Gorin Defender
6.25
29
Roman Didyk
Roman Didyk (C) Defender
6.26
7
Artur Mykytyshyn
Artur Mykytyshyn Midfielder
6.5
10
Muharrem Jashari
Muharrem Jashari
Midfielder69'
6.37
8
Adam Yakubu Hassan
Adam Yakubu Hassan Midfielder
6.5
34
Nazariy Muravskyi
Nazariy Muravskyi
Defender62'
6.26
19
Yevgeniy Pastukh
Yevgeniy Pastukh Midfielder
6.37
22
Yegor Tverdokhlib
Yegor Tverdokhlib Midfielder
6.5
6
Vyacheslav Tankovskyi
Vyacheslav Tankovskyi
Midfielder45+1'
6.5
90
Mark Assinor
Mark Assinor Attacker
6.5
23
Danylo Kravchuk
Danylo Kravchuk
Attacker62'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Yuriy Potimkov → Andriy Storchous
8th Substitution
85'
81'
Event
2nd Yellowcard
81'
Event
Oleg Gorin
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Denys Svityukha
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
80'
Event
Denys Nagnoynyi → Kaya Makosso
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Artem Liehostaiev → Raymond Owusu
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Denys Svityukha
1st Yellowcard
70'
69'
Event
Muharrem Jashari → Artur Mykytyshyn
5th Substitution
Event
Denys Svityukha → Anton Glushchenko
4th Substitution
65'
62'
Event
Danylo Kravchuk → Mark Assinor
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Nazariy Muravskyi → Adam Yakubu Hassan
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+1'
Event
Vyacheslav Tankovskyi → Yegor Tverdokhlib
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

85
Update Update
Yurii Potimkov is on, and Andriy Storchous is off.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Denys Svityukha scores to make it 1-0.
74
Update Update
Artem Legostaev replaces Raymond Frimpong Owusu.
74
Update Update
Denys Nagnoynyi comes on for Kaya Makosso.
69
Update Update
Muharrem Jashari replaces Artur Mykytyshyn.
63
Update Update
Denys Svityukha replaces Anton Glushchenko.
62
Update Update
Danylo Kravchuk comes on for Mark Assinor.
62
Update Update
Nazarii Muravskyi comes on for Yakubu Adam.
45
Substitution Substitution
Vyacheslav Tankovskiy is substituted off for Yegor Tverdokhlib.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Kudrivka 1-0 LNZ Cherkasy. Structural assessment: Kudrivka exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

Kudrivka vs LNZ Cherkasy preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.