Real Sociedad II vs Mirandés Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Anoeta Stadium Sat, 16 May - 12:00 PM
La Liga 2
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
2 – 2
Mirandés MIR
Full Time Sat, 16 May 12:00 PM
Round 40 Regular Season
Dani Díaz - 90+3'
Luken Beitia - 45+1'
Goal
|
Goal
Rafel Bauzà - 49'
Fernando Medrano - 17'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Real Sociedad II 2–2 Mirandés. The match ended in a draw. Mirandés showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 58%–42%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Real Sociedad II 2-2 Mirandés. Mirandés showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. Sánchez Villalobos

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

?. Munuera Montero

2nd Assistant

Spain

J. Ruiz Álvarez

4th Official

Spain

R. Tejero García

1st Assistant

Spain

League averages

La Liga 2 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.86
Yellow cards / match 4.82
Red cards / match 0.27
Penalties / match 0.33
Real Sociedad II J. Ansotegi Gorostola
J. Ansotegi Gorostola
VS
Mirandés A. Muneta Beldarrain
A. Muneta Beldarrain
1.2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.92
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Huesca Rank: 58 W
Burgos Rank: 67 D
Real Valladolid Rank: 59 L
Racing Santander Rank: 72 L
Ceuta Rank: 61 D
Sporting Gijón Rank: 64 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
SD Eibar Rank: 70 L
Almería Rank: 70 L
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 57 W
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 70 L
Castellón Rank: 67 D
Real Zaragoza Rank: 56 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Sociedad II
4.44%
Draw
91.5%
Away Mirandés
4.06%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
55.77
58.32
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Sociedad II
Mirandés
Power Score
55.77
58.32
League Position
15
19
Global Rank
483
535

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Sociedad II — Opponent-weighted form score
Mirandés — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Sociedad II Mirandés

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Real Sociedad II

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Mirandés

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Real Sociedad II ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Mirandés
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.34
9.29
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
9.29
35.34
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Real Sociedad II +2.60 Efficiency Index
vs
Mirandés -2.60 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Real Sociedad II
Mirandés
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Real Sociedad II ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Mirandés
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Real Sociedad II Mirandés
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Real Sociedad II Mirandés
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Real Sociedad II
Mirandés
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Real Sociedad II
vs
Mirandés
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Real Sociedad II Mirandés
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Real Sociedad II 0.24
Mirandés 0.17
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Real Sociedad II Mirandés
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Real Sociedad II 0.11
Mirandés 0.03
Real Sociedad II
Mirandés
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Real Sociedad II had peak pressure around 47'.
  • Real Sociedad II started the game with stronger pressure.
Real Sociedad II Pressure MIR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Real Sociedad II reached the top pressure at 47' (85.90).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II Home
3 matches
Mirandés MIR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
1
-5
Goal Difference
+5

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:55:09+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
A. Fraga Torres
Spain
1 A. Fraga Torres
A. Dadie Izagirre
Spain
22 A. Dadie Izagirre
L. Beitia Aguirregomezcorta
Substitution
Spain
4 (C) L. Beitia Aguirregomezcorta
K. Kita
Japan
15 K. Kita
U. Agote Aranburu
Spain
23 U. Agote Aranburu
L. Astiazarán Escabias
Spain
17 L. Astiazarán Escabias
T. Carbonell Del Rio
14 T. Carbonell Del Rio
A. Lebarbier Null
Substitution
France
6 A. Lebarbier Null
A. Marchal Garcia
Substitution
Spain
19 A. Marchal Garcia
A. Mariezkurrena Etxezarreta
Substitution
Spain
10 A. Mariezkurrena Etxezarreta
G. Gorosabel Añorga
Substitution
Spain
16 G. Gorosabel Añorga
Pitch
J. Palomares Pulpillo
Spain
13 J. Palomares Pulpillo
F. Medrano Gastañaga
Spain
3 F. Medrano Gastañaga
J. Cabello Trujillo
Spain
15 J. Cabello Trujillo
J. Gutiérrez Martínez
Spain
22 (C) J. Gutiérrez Martínez
H. Novoa Ramos
Substitution
Spain
2 H. Novoa Ramos
S. El Jebari El Hannouni
Substitution
Morocco
30 S. El Jebari El Hannouni
R. Bauzà Sureda
Spain
18 R. Bauzà Sureda
T. Helguera Merello Volante
Uruguay
6 T. Helguera Merello Volante
A. Houary Jeddoub
Substitution
Morocco
29 A. Houary Jeddoub
C. Fernández Luna
Spain
10 C. Fernández Luna
U. del Cura Urra
Substitution
Spain
48 U. del Cura Urra

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 40 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Anoeta Stadium
Capacity :
40000
Attendance :
2101
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
José Antonio Sánchez Villalobos
Ángel Munuera Montero
Jaime Ruiz Álvarez
Roberto Tejero García

Statistics

Possession
Real Sociedad II
57%
MIR
43%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 2
6 Shots 0
70 Dangerous attacks 18
58 Possession 42
5 Corners 2
15 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

20 Throwins 30
2 Assists 1
22 Dribble Attempts 11
15 Successful Dribbles 4
68 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36
3 Goal Kicks 12
67 Ball Safe 85
9 Goal Attempts 4
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

121 Attacks 108

Possession

65 Long Passes 71
78 Successful Passes Percentage 69
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 30
344 Successful Passes 231
443 Passes 337
12 Key Passes 2
30 Successful Long Passes 21

Defensive

14 Interceptions 14
13 Tackles 11
58 Duels Won 46
1 Saves 4

Build-up

32 Total Crosses 11
7 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

2 Offsides 3
13 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : José Antonio Sánchez Villalobos

Starting XI ▼

1
Aitor Fraga
Aitor Fraga Goalkeeper
6.17
4
Luken Beitia
Luken Beitia (C) Defender
7.4
39
Unax Larrañaga
Unax Larrañaga
Defender61'
6.6
15
Kazunari Kita
Kazunari Kita Defender
6.69
22
Alberto Dadie
Alberto Dadie Defender
6.97
23
Unax Agote
Unax Agote Defender
6.96
6
Alex Lebarbier
Alex Lebarbier Midfielder
6.41
21
Joni Eceiza
Joni Eceiza
Midfielder67'
6.78
14
Tomy Carbonell
Tomy Carbonell Midfielder
7.18
17
Lander Astiazaran
Lander Astiazaran Midfielder
6.78
19
Alex Marchal
Alex Marchal Midfielder
7.66
7
Dani Díaz
Dani Díaz
Attacker61'
7.16
10
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena Attacker
7.05
18
Gorka Carrera
Gorka Carrera
Attacker61'
6.63
16
Gorka Gorosabel
Gorka Gorosabel Attacker
7.39
33
Jakes Gorosabel
Jakes Gorosabel
Attacker82'
6.64
Referee : José Antonio Sánchez Villalobos

Starting XI ▼

13
Juanpa Palomares
Juanpa Palomares Goalkeeper
6.75
2
Hugo Novoa
Hugo Novoa Defender
6.52
17
Pablo Pérez
Pablo Pérez
Defender57'
6.38
3
Fernando Medrano
Fernando Medrano Defender
7.47
15
Jorge Cabello
Jorge Cabello Defender
6.72
22
Juan Gutiérrez
Juan Gutiérrez (C) Defender
6.37
6
Thiago Helguera
Thiago Helguera Midfielder
6.81
18
Rafel Bauzà
Rafel Bauzà Midfielder
7.34
29
Ali Houary
Ali Houary Midfielder
6.37
8
Aarón Martin
Aarón Martin
Midfielder71'
6.5
30
Salim El Jebari
Salim El Jebari Midfielder
6.4
24
Iker Córdoba
Iker Córdoba
Defender81'
6.32
10
Carlos Fernández
Carlos Fernández Attacker
6.85
48
Unax del Cura
Unax del Cura Attacker
6.31
11
Mickaël Ramon Vincent Malsa
Mickaël Ramon Vincent Malsa
Midfielder81'
6.37

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Dani Díaz
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
90+3'
Event
Jakes Gorosabel → Gorka Gorosabel
9th Substitution
82'
81'
Event
Iker Córdoba → Salim El Jebari
7th Substitution
81'
Event
Mickaël Ramon Vincent Malsa → Unax del Cura
8th Substitution
71'
Event
Aarón Martin → Ali Houary
6th Substitution
Event
Joni Eceiza → Alex Lebarbier
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Unax Larrañaga → Luken Beitia
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Gorka Carrera → Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Dani Díaz → Alex Marchal
3rd Substitution
61'
57'
Event
Pablo Pérez → Hugo Novoa
1st Substitution
54'
Event
Hugo Novoa
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
49'
Event
Rafel Bauzà
Header / 3rd Goal
1ST-HALF
Event
Luken Beitia
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
45+1'
17'
Event
Fernando Medrano
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Alberto Dadie
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
11'
1'
Event
Juan Gutiérrez
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Dani Diaz takes a left-footed shot and scores.
83
Attempt Attempt
Aaron Martin Luis takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
82
Attempt Attempt
Lander Astiazaran attempts a header but misses the shot.
82
Update Update
On Jakes Gorosabel, off Gorka Gorosabel.
81
Update Update
Mickael Malsa is coming on for Unax del Cura.
78
Attempt Attempt
Lander Astiazaran takes a right-footed shot but misses.
74
Attempt Attempt
Dani Diaz's left-footed shot is blocked.
73
Attempt Attempt
Tomy Carbonell takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
71
Update Update
Aaron Martin Luis comes on for Ali Houary.
67
Substitution Substitution
Jon Eceizabarrena is substituted off for Alex Lebarbier.
61
Update Update
Dani Diaz replaces Alex Marchal.
61
Update Update
Gorka Carrera comes on for Arkaitz Mariezkurrena.
61
Update Update
Ayo Unax comes on for Luken Beitia.
57
Update Update
Pablo Perez Rico is on, and Hugo Novoa Ramos is off.
56
Attempt Attempt
Gorka Gorosabel takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
51
Attempt Attempt
Alberto Dadie's right-footed shot is saved.
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Rafel Bauza scores to make it 1-2, assisted by Hugo Novoa Ramos.
49
Update Update
Rafel Bauza scores with a header.
48
Attempt Attempt
Alex Marchal takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Luken Beitia scores with a right-footed shot.
39
Attempt Attempt
Gorka Gorosabel takes a left-footed shot but misses.
37
Attempt Attempt
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Gorka Gorosabel takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
33
Attempt Attempt
Lander Astiazaran takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
31
Attempt Attempt
Unax Agote's left-footed shot is blocked.
27
Attempt Attempt
Lander Astiazaran takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
23
Attempt Attempt
Lander Astiazaran takes a right-footed shot but misses.
17
Attempt Attempt
Fernando Medrano takes a left-footed shot and scores.
11
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tomy Carbonell receives a yellow card.
10
Attempt Attempt
Gorka Gorosabel takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Juan Gutierrez receives a yellow card.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Jose Antonio Sanchez Villalobos.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Real Sociedad II 2-2 Mirandés. Structural assessment: Mirandés exhibited a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Real Sociedad II vs Mirandés preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

La Liga 2, Spain View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ

Author

Dan A

Dan A creates clear football match previews built around team form, performance trends, and practical pre-match insights.