Halmstad vs Elfsborg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Björkevi IP Sat, 16 May - 1:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Halmstad HAL
1 – 1
Elfsborg ELF
Full Time Sat, 16 May 1:00 PM
Round 8 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Halmstad faced Elfsborg in a match that concluded with a 1-1 draw. Halmstad took the lead in the first half and held a 1-0 advantage at the break. Elfsborg responded after halftime to level the score. The visitors controlled 66 percent of possession and generated an expected goals total of 1.37 against the hosts 0.77. Despite this statistical edge the stronger side could not secure victory. No red cards were shown to either team throughout the contest. The final outcome left both sides with a shared point from the encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Elfsborg held 66 percent possession yet could not overcome the 1-1 result.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiency remained in line with overall performance metrics.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals favored Elfsborg at 1.37 to Halmstad 0.77 but outcome differed.
  • Market alignment: Final result stayed consistent with pre-match indicators for the draw.
  • xG expectations: xG data pointed toward an away win rather than the observed 1-1 draw.
  • Event impact: Halmstad first-half goal produced a 1-0 lead that shaped the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards left both teams at full strength for the duration.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

R. Sundell

Sweden 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Gustavsson

1st Assistant

Sweden

A. Svensson

2nd Assistant

Sweden

F. Klitte

4th Official

Sweden

League averages

Allsvenskan Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 20.61
Yellow cards / match 3
Red cards / match 0.05
Penalties / match 0.18
Halmstad J. Lindholm
J. Lindholm
VS
Elfsborg B. Hamberg
B. Hamberg
0.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kalmar Rank: 50 L
Brommapojkarna Rank: 48 L
Mjällby Rank: 68 L
Hammarby Rank: 70 D
IFK Göteborg Rank: 54 D
Degerfors Rank: 48 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brommapojkarna Rank: 50 W
AIK Rank: 57 D
Kalmar Rank: 49 L
Djurgården Rank: 66 W
Degerfors Rank: 48 W
Västerås SK Rank: 47 D
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 7 - 19
19

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Halmstad
3.61%
Draw
91.93%
Away Elfsborg
4.47%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
45.15
57.18
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Halmstad
Elfsborg
Power Score
45.15
57.18
League Position
15
4
Global Rank
897
570

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Halmstad — Opponent-weighted form score
Elfsborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Halmstad Elfsborg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Halmstad

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Elfsborg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Halmstad ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Elfsborg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.47
23.94
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.94
36.47
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Halmstad +1.30 Efficiency Index
vs
Elfsborg -1.30 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Halmstad
Elfsborg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Halmstad
vs
Elfsborg
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Halmstad Elfsborg
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Halmstad Elfsborg
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Halmstad
Elfsborg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Halmstad
vs
Elfsborg
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Halmstad Elfsborg
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Halmstad 0.39
Elfsborg 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Halmstad Elfsborg
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Halmstad 0.02
Elfsborg 0.04
Halmstad
Elfsborg
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAL had peak pressure around 29'.
  • ELF started the game with stronger pressure.
HAL Pressure ELF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAL reached the top pressure at 29' (54.88).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 30 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Halmstad HAL Home
30 matches
Elfsborg ELF Away
Match Record
4
Wins
19
7
Draws
7
19
Losses
4
Goals
26
Goals Scored
62
62
Goals Conceded
26
-36
Goal Difference
+36

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:55:37+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 3-4-3

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 8 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Björkevi IP
Capacity :
15500
Attendance :
5936
Pitch Surface :
N/A
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Richard Sundell
Daniel Gustavsson
Andreas Svensson
Fredrik Klitte

Statistics

Possession
HAL
36%
ELF
64%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 2
5 Shots 9
28 Dangerous attacks 56
34 Possession 66
2 Corners 8
5 Free kicks 14
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 5
2 Injuries 0
25 Throwins 30
13 Dribble Attempts 10
6 Successful Dribbles 3
9 Goal Kicks 9
46 Successful Dribbles Percentage 30
68 Ball Safe 77
4 Goal Attempts 5
1 Assists 1

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 1
63 Attacks 134

Possession

61 Successful Passes Percentage 83
27 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47
19 Successful Long Passes 40
8 Key Passes 8
203 Successful Passes 540
332 Passes 653
71 Long Passes 86

Defensive

10 Interceptions 16
21 Tackles 17
42 Duels Won 43
1 Saves 2

Build-up

7 Total Crosses 22
2 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

14 Fouls 5
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Richard Sundell

Starting XI ▼

1
Tim Rönning
Tim Rönning Goalkeeper
6.35
5
Pascal Gregor
Pascal Gregor Defender
6.23
16
Erko Tougjas
Erko Tougjas Defender
6.45
17
André Boman
André Boman Defender
6.82
24
Rami Kaib
Rami Kaib Defender
6.48
3
Gabriel Wallentin
Gabriel Wallentin
Defender80'
6.62
6
Joel Allansson
Joel Allansson Midfielder
6.64
14
Hussein Carneil
Hussein Carneil Midfielder
7.7
22
Oliver Kapsimalis
Oliver Kapsimalis
Attacker86'
19
Marvin Illary
Marvin Illary Midfielder
6.84
20
Otso Liimatta
Otso Liimatta
Midfielder60'
6.86
27
Rocco Ascone
Rocco Ascone (C) Midfielder
7.15
9
Omar Faraj
Omar Faraj Attacker
6.47
11
Ludvig Arvidsson
Ludvig Arvidsson Attacker
6.81
18
Malte Persson
Malte Persson
Attacker86'
Referee : Richard Sundell

Starting XI ▼

31
Isak Pettersson
Isak Pettersson Goalkeeper
6.61
2
Rufai Mohammed
Rufai Mohammed Defender
6.87
28
Frode Aronsson
Frode Aronsson
Defender89'
3
Ibrahim Buhari
Ibrahim Buhari Defender
7.17
8
Sebastian Holmén
Sebastian Holmén
Defender89'
4
Thomas Isherwood
Thomas Isherwood Defender
6.76
10
S. Olsson
S. Olsson Midfielder
6.67
15
Simon Hedlund
Simon Hedlund Midfielder
6.42
24
F. Ihler
F. Ihler
Attacker75'
6.61
18
J. Magnússon
J. Magnússon Midfielder
6.97
23
Niklas Hult
Niklas Hult (C) Midfielder
6.83
11
T. Silverholt
T. Silverholt Attacker
6.65
29
M. Kamara
M. Kamara
Midfielder60'
7.35
19
Julius Beck
Julius Beck Attacker
6.95
9
Arbër Zeneli
Arbër Zeneli
Midfielder60'
7.31
21
Leo Östman
Leo Östman Attacker
7.03

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Sebastian Holmén → Ibrahim Buhari
9th Substitution
89'
Event
Frode Aronsson → Rufai Mohammed
8th Substitution
Event
Malte Persson → Ludvig Arvidsson
7th Substitution
86'
Event
Oliver Kapsimalis → Hussein Carneil
6th Substitution
86'
81'
Event
Arbër Zeneli
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Gabriel Wallentin → Rami Kaib
5th Substitution
80'
75'
Event
F. Ihler → Simon Hedlund
4th Substitution
Event
Otso Liimatta → Marvin Illary
2nd Substitution
60'
60'
Event
Arbër Zeneli → Julius Beck
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
M. Kamara → T. Silverholt
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Hussein Carneil
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
24'
14'
Event
S. Olsson
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Ihler takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Leo Ostman's header is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Andre Boman takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Oliver Kapsimalis takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
89
Update Update
Sebastian Holmen comes on for Ibrahim Buhari.
89
Update Update
Frode Aronsson is on, and Rufai Mohammed is off.
88
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara's left-footed shot is blocked.
86
Attempt Attempt
Hussein Carneil takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
86
Update Update
Malte Persson replaces Ludvig Arvidsson.
86
Substitution Substitution
Oliver Kapsimalis is substituted for Hussein Carneil.
85
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Ihler's left-footed shot is blocked.
81
Attempt Attempt
Arber Zeneli takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
80
Update Update
Gabriel Wallentin replaces Rami Kaib.
78
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara takes a right-footed shot but misses.
78
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Ihler's right-footed shot is blocked.
75
Attempt Attempt
Omar Faraj takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
75
Attempt Attempt
Hussein Carneil takes a right-footed shot but misses.
75
Update Update
Frederik Ihler comes on for Simon Hedlund.
71
Attempt Attempt
Otso Liimatta takes a left-footed shot but misses.
67
Attempt Attempt
Arber Zeneli takes a right-footed shot but misses.
60
Update Update
Otso Liimatta comes on for Marvin Illary.
60
Substitution Substitution
Momoh Kamara is substituted for Taylor Silverholt.
60
Update Update
Arber Zeneli is on, and Julius Beck is off.
41
Attempt Attempt
Taylor Silverholt takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
41
Attempt Attempt
Taylor Silverholt takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
36
Attempt Attempt
Julius Magnusson takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
36
Attempt Attempt
Julius Magnusson takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
32
Attempt Attempt
Marvin Illary takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
29
Attempt Attempt
Rocco Ascone's left-footed shot is blocked.
28
Attempt Attempt
Hussein Carneil takes a right-footed shot but misses.
24
Attempt Attempt
Hussein Carneil takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
8
Attempt Attempt
Simon Hedlund's right-footed shot is blocked.
5
Attempt Attempt
Marvin Illary takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw highlighted how possession and expected goals do not always dictate the scoreboard. Halmstad defended their early advantage effectively while Elfsborg struggled to translate dominance into goals. Both teams showed periods of control yet lacked the finishing touch needed for a decisive result. The even halftime score of 1-0 gave way to a balanced second half where neither side pulled ahead. Statistical edges for the visitors remained visible but unfulfilled on the day. This outcome underscores the fine margins present in competitive fixtures where one moment can alter the narrative. Overall the performance levels suggest room for improvement in conversion for the attacking units involved.

Halmstad vs Elfsborg preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.