Rosenborg vs Aalesund Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Lerkendal Stadion Sat, 16 May - 2:00 PM
Eliteserien
Rosenborg Rosenborg
Versus
Aalesund Aalesund
KICKOFF : Sat, 16 May - 2:00 PM
Round 9 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Rosenborg welcome Aalesund to Lerkendal Stadion in the Eliteserien regular season clash of 2026. Sitting 14th in the standings, the home side enjoys a clear edge over their 16th-placed visitors, bolstered by a power score of 61.72 against Aalesund's 44.84, translating to a 16.9-point advantage that marks Rosenborg as the stronger outfit. Recent form underlines this gap, with Rosenborg's 13.17 rating dwarfing Aalesund's modest 5.5, suggesting momentum favors the hosts in this bottom-table encounter. Lerkendal's atmosphere could amplify Rosenborg's strengths, where they aim to capitalize on superior overall quality. Aalesund face an uphill battle, needing to defy the metrics to salvage points. Both teams lack detailed recent outing data, but the power and form disparities set the stage for a one-sided affair potentially. Detailed set-piece and efficiency insights remain unavailable, leaving focus on broader team dynamics.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rosenborg possesses a 16.9-point power advantage over Aalesund, with scores of 61.72 versus 44.84.
  • Form: Rosenborg's form score stands at 13.17, significantly higher than Aalesund's 5.5.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates or injury details provided for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data not available in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece performance data absent due to lack of xG availability and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: No xG or advanced variable metrics accessible for either side.
  • Market: Rosenborg 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Aalesund 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Rosenborg Rosenborg
Rosenborg
VS
Aalesund Aalesund
Aalesund
0.9
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.43
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lillestrøm Rank: 58 D
Viking Rank: 78 L
Brann Rank: 66 D
Sandefjord Rank: 61 D
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 59 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sandefjord Rank: 62 L
Kristiansund Rank: 56 D
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 81 L
KFUM Rank: 57 D
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 L
Start Rank: 50 D
16
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
16 - 11 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rosenborg
0%
Draw
0%
Away Aalesund
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.72
44.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rosenborg
Aalesund
Power Score
61.72
44.84
League Position
14
16
Global Rank
437
983

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rosenborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Aalesund — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rosenborg Aalesund

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 30 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rosenborg Rosenborg Home
30 matches
Aalesund Aalesund Away
Match Record
16
Wins
3
11
Draws
11
3
Losses
16
Goals
58
Goals Scored
30
30
Goals Conceded
58
+28
Goal Difference
-28

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T01:10:48+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 9 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Lerkendal Stadion
Capacity :
21421
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Leopold Wahlstedt
Leopold Wahlstedt Goalkeeper
12
Rasmus Semundseth Sandberg
Rasmus Semundseth Sandberg Goalkeeper
24
Haakon Ingdal Sørum
Haakon Ingdal Sørum Goalkeeper
22
Jonas Svensson
Jonas Svensson Defender
16
Aslak Fonn Witry
Aslak Fonn Witry Defender
15
Jonas Søgaard Mortensen
Jonas Søgaard Mortensen Defender
19
Adrian Pereira
Adrian Pereira Defender
21
Tomáš Nemčík
Tomáš Nemčík Defender
4
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide Defender
2
Håkon Røsten
Håkon Røsten Defender
3
Tobias Solheim Dahl
Tobias Solheim Dahl Defender
5
Håkon Singsdal Volden
Håkon Singsdal Volden Defender
27
Ulrik Hald-Hernes
Ulrik Hald-Hernes Defender
8
Iver Fossum
Iver Fossum Midfielder
10
Ole Kristian Selnæs
Ole Kristian Selnæs Midfielder
6
Santeri Väänänen
Santeri Väänänen Midfielder
25
Johan Bakke
Johan Bakke Midfielder
17
Mads Bomholt
Mads Bomholt Midfielder
60
Elias Vullum Slørdal
Elias Vullum Slørdal Midfielder
20
Aleksander Borgersen
Aleksander Borgersen Midfielder
9
Dino Islamovic
Dino Islamovic Attacker
7
Simen Bolkan Nordli
Simen Bolkan Nordli Attacker
29
David Duris
David Duris Attacker
35
Emil Konradsen Ceide
Emil Konradsen Ceide Attacker
45
Jesper Reitan- Sunde
Jesper Reitan- Sunde Attacker
11
Noah Donovan Sahsah
Noah Donovan Sahsah Attacker
18
Amin Chiakha
Amin Chiakha Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Kristoffer Klaesson
Kristoffer Klaesson Goalkeeper
26
Tor Erik Valderhaug Larsen
Tor Erik Valderhaug Larsen Goalkeeper
45
Philip Sandvik Aukland
Philip Sandvik Aukland Defender
22
Emil Engqvist
Emil Engqvist Defender
16
Jakob Nyland Ørsal
Jakob Nyland Ørsal Defender
3
Olafur Gudmundsson
Olafur Gudmundsson Defender
14
Uba Charles Nwokoma
Uba Charles Nwokoma Defender
5
Alexander Hammer Kjelsen
Alexander Hammer Kjelsen Defender
2
Marius Andersen
Marius Andersen Defender
25
Ulrik Valderhaug Syversen
Ulrik Valderhaug Syversen Defender
4
Simen Vatne Haram
Simen Vatne Haram Defender
10
Mathias Kristensen
Mathias Kristensen Midfielder
7
Kristoffer Nesso
Kristoffer Nesso Midfielder
11
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson Midfielder
18
Elias Kristoffer Hagen
Elias Kristoffer Hagen Midfielder
6
Håkon Butli Hammer
Håkon Butli Hammer Midfielder
21
Mathias Christensen
Mathias Christensen Midfielder
66
Janus Seehusen
Janus Seehusen Midfielder
8
Henrik Molvær Melland
Henrik Molvær Melland Midfielder
9
Paul Ngongo Iversen
Paul Ngongo Iversen Attacker
17
Elias Heggland Myrlid
Elias Heggland Myrlid Attacker
15
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch Attacker
39
Kristian Hemmingsen Lonnebu
Kristian Hemmingsen Lonnebu Attacker
20
Ivan Cabrel Djantou Tchaboutang
Ivan Cabrel Djantou Tchaboutang Attacker
27
Marcus Haagensen Reed
Marcus Haagensen Reed Attacker

CONCLUSION

Rosenborg enter as clear favorites against struggling Aalesund, leveraging their superior power rating and form to target a vital home win in the Eliteserien relegation scrap. The 14th-placed hosts' 16.9-point edge underscores their dominance potential at Lerkendal Stadion, where Aalesund's lowly 16th position and poor 5.5 form score expose vulnerabilities. Without granular set-piece or efficiency stats, the preview hinges on overarching strengths, urging Rosenborg to press early and convert chances efficiently. Aalesund must summon resilience to counter the gap, but metrics tilt decisively toward a Rosenborg triumph that could ease their relegation worries.

Rosenborg vs Aalesund preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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