Lillestrøm vs Sandefjord Match Preview, Stats & Prediction

2026 Eliteserien, Norway

Åråsen Stadion Sat, 16 May - 2:00 PM

Eliteserien

Lillestrøm Lillestrøm

Sandefjord Sandefjord

Full Time Sat, 16 May 2:00 PM

Round 9 Regular Season

Linus Alperud - 90+3'

Gustav Nyheim - 84'

Lars Ranger - 12'

Nikolaj Möller - 49'

Zinedin Smajlović 87'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Lillestrøm 3–1 Sandefjord. The result saw Lillestrøm take the points. Lillestrøm showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Lillestrøm 1.8 – 1.5 Sandefjord. Possession was 53%–47%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Final score: Lillestrøm 3-1 Sandefjord. Lillestrøm showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

E. Eskås

Norway 25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Langseth

2nd Assistant

Norway

J. Engan

1st Assistant

Norway

M. Hafezi

4th Official

Norway

H. Ødegaard

A. Tegström

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.9

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

14 - 5 - 3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Lillestrøm

95.61%

Draw

4.2%

Sandefjord

0.19%

Team Power Ranking

49.62

61.19

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Lillestrøm

Sandefjord

Power Score

49.62

61.19

League Position

Global Rank

557

434

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Lillestrøm — Opponent-weighted form score

Sandefjord — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lillestrøm Sandefjord

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Lillestrøm

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Sandefjord

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lillestrøm ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Sandefjord

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

31.60

28.94

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

28.94

31.60

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Lillestrøm +0.27 Efficiency Index

Sandefjord -0.27 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Lillestrøm

Sandefjord

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lillestrøm

Sandefjord

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Lillestrøm Sandefjord

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Lillestrøm Sandefjord

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

Lillestrøm

Sandefjord

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Lillestrøm

Sandefjord

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Lillestrøm Sandefjord

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Lillestrøm Sandefjord

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Lillestrøm

Sandefjord

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

Lillestrøm had peak pressure around 25'.
Lillestrøm started the game with stronger pressure.

Lillestrøm Pressure Sandefjord Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: Lillestrøm reached the top pressure at 25' (74.22).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lillestrøm Lillestrøm Home

22 matches

Sandefjord Sandefjord Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+21

Goal Difference

-21

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:56:42+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1

12 P. Dahlberg

2 L. Ranger

5 S. Foss

28 (C) L. Gabrielsen

3 S. Ottesen

6 H. Woxen

19 C. Jebara

8 M. Karlsbakk

14 G. Kjølstad Nyheim

15 S. Drammeh

20 V. António Félix

30 E. Hadaya

3 V. Walle Egeli

44 X. Lambrix

2 Z. Smajlovic

4 F. Pedersen

6 (C) S. Mørk

10 R. Kristensen Alte

20 M. Melchior

14 E. Sundbö Pettersen

19 B. Berntsen

11 N. Moller

General Information

Date & Time :

May 16, 2026, 02:00 PM

Competition :

2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 9 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Åråsen Stadion

Capacity :

12250

Attendance :

9395

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Espen Eskås

Runar Langseth

Jan Erik Engan

Mohammad Hafezi

Statistics

Possession

Lillestrøm

54%

Sandefjord

46%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1

3 Big Chances Created 1

14 Shots 12

55 Dangerous attacks 32

53 Possession 47

6 Corners 3

12 Free kicks 13

2 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

7 Successful Dribbles 3

1 Hit Woodwork 0

8 Goal Kicks 8

18 Throwins 17

50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 17

0 Injuries 1

10 Goal Attempts 11

14 Dribble Attempts 18

63 Ball Safe 66

1 Assists 0

5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

105 Attacks 90

1 Counter Attacks 0

1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

505 Passes 453

36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31

66 Long Passes 48

9 Key Passes 5

81 Successful Passes Percentage 79

410 Successful Passes 358

24 Successful Long Passes 15

Defensive

6 Interceptions 11

5 Saves 3

20 Tackles 13

58 Duels Won 39

Build-up

6 Total Crosses 8

4 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

13 Fouls 12

4 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Espen Eskås

Manager ▼

H. Ødegaard Coach

Starting XI ▼

Pontus Dahlberg Goalkeeper

6.41

Lars Ranger Defender

7.73

Sturla Ottesen Defender

6.7

Linus Alperud

Midfielder78'

7.37

Sander Moen Foss Defender

6.58

Ruben Gabrielsen (C) Defender

6.91

Harald Woxen Midfielder

6.99

Espen Garnås

Defender90'

Markus Karlsbakk Midfielder

7.32

Gustav Nyheim Midfielder

7.69

Kevin Krygård

Midfielder88'

6.38

Salieu Drammeh Midfielder

6.93

Yaw Paintsil

Midfielder88'

Camil Jebara Midfielder

6.96

Frederik Elkær

Defender78'

6.52

Felix Vá Attacker

7.79

Substitutes ▼

Linus Alperud

Midfielder78'

7.37

Frederik Elkær

Defender78'

6.52

Kevin Krygård

Midfielder88'

6.38

Yaw Paintsil

Midfielder88'

Espen Garnås

Defender90'

Bench ▼

Stefan Hagerup Goalkeeper

John Kitolano Defender

Kparobo Arierhi Attacker

Markus Wæhler Attacker

Referee : Espen Eskås