Sporting Charleroi vs Westerlo Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stade du Pays de Charleroi Sat, 16 May - 2:00 PM
Pro League
Sporting Charleroi SPC
0 Winner 1
Westerlo KVC
Full Time Sat, 16 May 2:00 PM
Round 8 Conference League Play-off Group
|
Goal
Arthur Piedfort - 85'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Sporting Charleroi 0–1 Westerlo. The result saw Westerlo take the points. Westerlo showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Sporting Charleroi 1.2 – 1.1 Westerlo. Possession was 53%–47%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Sporting Charleroi 0-1 Westerlo. Westerlo showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match patterns for both sides.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment proved inconsistent because the final result did not reflect the expected goals split.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true as the outcome matched projected indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations pointed to a close affair with 1.19 for the home team and 1.12 for the away side.
  • Event impact: Event impact derived from the solitary second half goal that decided the contest.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion played no role since neither team received a red card.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. Vergoote

Belgium 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Tiesters

2nd Assistant

Belgium

M. Geerolf

1st Assistant

Belgium

M. Ledda

4th Official

Belgium

League averages

Pro League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 18.61
Yellow cards / match 3.13
Red cards / match 0.17
Penalties / match 0.3
Sporting Charleroi M. Kohnen
M. Kohnen
VS
Westerlo I. Charai
I. Charai
1.26
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.48
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Antwerp Rank: 70 W
Genk Rank: 77 W
OH Leuven Rank: 65 W
Genk Rank: 77 D
Standard Liège Rank: 71 L
Antwerp Rank: 68 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Genk Rank: 76 L
OH Leuven Rank: 64 D
Antwerp Rank: 70 L
OH Leuven Rank: 65 W
Genk Rank: 77 L
Standard Liège Rank: 71 W
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 7 - 11
11

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting Charleroi
0.19%
Draw
6.41%
Away Westerlo
93.39%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.22
70.54
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting Charleroi
Westerlo
Power Score
71.22
70.54
League Position
11
9
Global Rank
170
187

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting Charleroi — Opponent-weighted form score
Westerlo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Charleroi Westerlo

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sporting Charleroi

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Westerlo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sporting Charleroi ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Westerlo
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.38
31.70
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.70
25.38
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sporting Charleroi -0.60 Efficiency Index
vs
Westerlo +0.60 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sporting Charleroi
Westerlo
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sporting Charleroi
vs
Westerlo
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sporting Charleroi Westerlo
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sporting Charleroi Westerlo
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Sporting Charleroi
Westerlo
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sporting Charleroi
vs
Westerlo
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sporting Charleroi Westerlo
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sporting Charleroi 0.14
Westerlo 0.34
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sporting Charleroi Westerlo
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sporting Charleroi 0.03
Westerlo 0.00
Sporting Charleroi
Westerlo
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KVC had peak pressure around 33'.
  • KVC started the game with stronger pressure.
SPC Pressure KVC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: KVC reached the top pressure at 33' (64.57).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting Charleroi SPC Home
31 matches
Westerlo KVC Away
Match Record
13
Wins
11
7
Draws
7
11
Losses
13
Goals
44
Goals Scored
42
42
Goals Conceded
44
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:56:54+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Kone
France
30 M. Kone
L. Blum
Substitution
Switzerland
27 L. Blum
A. Ousou
Sweden
4 (C) A. Ousou
C. keita
France
95 C. keita
M. Nzita
Belgium
24 M. Nzita
Y. Titraoui
Substitution
Algeria
22 Y. Titraoui
E. Camara
Substitution
France
5 E. Camara
K. Van Den Kerkhof
Algeria
3 K. Van Den Kerkhof
P. Guiagon
Ivory Coast
10 P. Guiagon
A. Bernier
Substitution
Belgium
17 A. Bernier
A. Scheidler
Substitution
France
21 A. Scheidler
Pitch
A. Jungdal
Denmark
99 A. Jungdal
L. Mbamba-Muanda
Belgium
23 L. Mbamba-Muanda
S. Kimura
Japan
5 S. Kimura
E. Bayram
Türkiye
40 E. Bayram
B. Reynolds
United States
22 B. Reynolds
A. Piedfort
Belgium
46 A. Piedfort
D. Haspolat
Netherlands
34 (C) D. Haspolat
J. Alcócer
Costa Rica
77 J. Alcócer
I. Sakamoto
Substitution
Japan
13 I. Sakamoto
S. Saito
Substitution
38 S. Saito
I. Ferri Julià
Substitution
Spain
90 I. Ferri Julià

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 8 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium :
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Capacity :
15000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Jasper Vergoote
Martijn Tiesters
Michael Geerolf
Massimiliano Ledda

Statistics

Possession
SPC
54%
KVC
46%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 5
69 Dangerous attacks 38
53 Possession 47
8 Corners 5
11 Free kicks 10
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

10 Goal Attempts 10
9 Goal Kicks 7
12 Successful Dribbles 4
20 Dribble Attempts 14
66 Ball Safe 63
0 Injuries 3
5 Substitutions 3
1 Hit Woodwork 0
60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29
27 Throwins 18
0 Assists 1

Attacking

91 Attacks 79
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

7 Key Passes 9
375 Successful Passes 353
83 Successful Passes Percentage 87
450 Passes 405
51 Long Passes 32
31 Successful Long Passes 18
61 Successful Long Passes Percentage 56

Defensive

16 Tackles 15
2 Interceptions 11
46 Duels Won 45
5 Saves 2

Build-up

26 Total Crosses 12
10 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

3 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Jasper Vergoote

Starting XI ▼

30
Mohamed Koné
Mohamed Koné Goalkeeper
7.33
4
Aiham Ousou
Aiham Ousou (C) Defender
6.6
24
Mardochée Nzita
Mardochée Nzita Defender
6.4
27
Lewin Blum
Lewin Blum Defender
6.84
8
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
Midfielder75'
6.62
95
Check Keita
Check Keita Defender
6.57
3
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof Midfielder
7.12
5
Étienne Camara
Étienne Camara Midfielder
6.72
40
Yassine Khalifi
Yassine Khalifi
Midfielder57'
6.67
10
Parfait Guiagon
Parfait Guiagon Midfielder
7.18
17
Antoine Bernier
Antoine Bernier Midfielder
6.62
14
Patrick Pflücke
Patrick Pflücke
Attacker57'
7.07
22
Yassine Titraoui
Yassine Titraoui Midfielder
6.79
9
Filip Szymczak
Filip Szymczak
Attacker86'
21
Aurélien Scheidler
Aurélien Scheidler Attacker
6.77
25
Antoine Colassin
Antoine Colassin
Attacker75'
6.48
Referee : Jasper Vergoote

Starting XI ▼

99
Andreas Jungdal
Andreas Jungdal Goalkeeper
7.56
5
Seiji Kimura
Seiji Kimura Defender
7.01
22
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds Defender
7.44
23
Lucas Mbamba
Lucas Mbamba Defender
7.19
40
Emin Bayram
Emin Bayram Defender
7.44
13
Isa Sakamoto
Isa Sakamoto Midfielder
6.54
12
Reda Laalaoui
Reda Laalaoui
Midfielder83'
6.45
34
Doğucan Haspolat
Doğucan Haspolat (C) Midfielder
6.83
38
Shunsuke Saito
Shunsuke Saito Midfielder
7.08
39
Thomas Van den Keybus
Thomas Van den Keybus
Midfielder83'
6.59
46
Arthur Piedfort
Arthur Piedfort Midfielder
7.64
77
Josimar Alcócer
Josimar Alcócer Midfielder
6.61
90
Nacho Ferri
Nacho Ferri Attacker
7.12
94
Enis Destan
Enis Destan
Attacker77'
6.59

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Filip Szymczak → Yassine Titraoui
8th Substitution
86'
85'
Event
Arthur Piedfort
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
83'
Event
Thomas Van den Keybus → Shunsuke Saito
6th Substitution
83'
Event
Reda Laalaoui → Isa Sakamoto
7th Substitution
Event
Antoine Colassin
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
82'
77'
Event
Enis Destan → Nacho Ferri
5th Substitution
Event
Antoine Colassin → Aurélien Scheidler
3rd Substitution
75'
Event
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas → Lewin Blum
4th Substitution
75'
64'
Event
Nacho Ferri
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Yassine Khalifi → Étienne Camara
1st Substitution
57'
Event
Patrick Pflücke → Antoine Bernier
2nd Substitution
57'
1ST-HALF
Event
Étienne Camara
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
41'
36'
Event
Bryan Reynolds
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Enis Destan's right-footed shot is saved.
89
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Van den Keybus takes a left-footed shot but misses.
86
Update Update
Filip Szymczak is on, and Yacine Titraoui is off.
85
Attempt Attempt
Arthur Piedfort scores with a left-footed shot.
85
Attempt Attempt
Arthur Piedfort scores with a left-footed shot.
83
Update Update
Reda Laalaoui is on, and Isa Sakamoto is off.
83
Update Update
Thomas Van den Keybus is on, and Shunsuke Saito is off.
79
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Van den Keybus takes a left-footed shot but misses.
79
Attempt Attempt
Antoine Colassin's header is saved.
78
Attempt Attempt
Antoine Colassin takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
78
Attempt Attempt
Arthur Piedfort scores with a left-footed shot.
78
Update Update
Enis Destan replaces Nacho Ferri.
75
Update Update
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas comes on for Lewin Blum.
75
Update Update
Antoine Colassin replaces Aurelien Scheidler.
75
Attempt Attempt
Aiham Ousou takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
60
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Pflucke's left-footed shot is blocked.
58
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
57
Update Update
Patrick Pflucke comes on for Antoine Bernier.
57
Update Update
Yassine Khalifi comes on for Etienne Camara.
53
Attempt Attempt
Parfait Guiagon takes a right-footed shot but misses.
42
Attempt Attempt
Dogucan Haspolat takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
35
Update Update
Aiham Ousou's header is blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
Josimar Alcocer takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
32
Attempt Attempt
Seiji Kimura's header is saved.
30
Attempt Attempt
Shunsuke Saito's right-footed shot is blocked.
28
Attempt Attempt
Shunsuke Saito takes a right-footed shot but misses.
26
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof takes a right-footed shot but misses.
24
Attempt Attempt
Nacho Ferri takes a left-footed shot but misses.
23
Attempt Attempt
Yacine Titraoui takes a right-footed shot but misses.
17
Attempt Attempt
Parfait Guiagon takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
14
Attempt Attempt
Arthur Piedfort takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Sporting Charleroi 0-1 Westerlo. Structural assessment: Westerlo exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Sporting Charleroi vs Westerlo preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.