Cultural Leonesa vs SD Eibar Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal Reino de León Sat, 16 May - 2:15 PM
La Liga 2
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
2 Winner 1
SD Eibar EIB
Full Time Sat, 16 May 2:15 PM
Round 40 Regular Season
Matia Barzic - 61'
Víctor Moreno - 59'
Goal
|
Goal
José Corpas - 86' (P)

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Cultural Leonesa 2–1 SD Eibar. The result saw Cultural Leonesa take the points. Cultural Leonesa showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 54%–46%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Cultural Leonesa achieved a significant deviation from expected outcomes by defeating the stronger SD Eibar side.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the performance metrics observed during the match.
  • xG alignment: No expected goals data was recorded to determine alignment with the final result.
  • Market alignment: The match outcome was not aligned with pre-match market projections favoring SD Eibar.
  • xG expectations: Expectations based on expected goals could not be evaluated due to unavailable data.
  • Event impact: Key events in the second half led to Cultural Leonesa securing the 2-1 victory.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were shown resulting in no distortion to the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

?. Moreno Aragón

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

?. González Narváez

2nd Assistant

Spain

R. Gonzalo Sánchez

4th Official

Spain

R. Blázquez Sánchez

1st Assistant

Spain

League averages

La Liga 2 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.86
Yellow cards / match 4.82
Red cards / match 0.27
Penalties / match 0.33
Cultural Leonesa R. De La Barrera Fernández
R. De La Barrera Fernández
VS
SD Eibar B. San José Gil
B. San José Gil
0.73
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.85
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Albacete Rank: 66 L
Cádiz Rank: 56 D
Mirandés Rank: 58 L
Córdoba Rank: 64 L
Granada Rank: 63 L
Real Valladolid Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mirandés Rank: 59 W
Málaga Rank: 68 L
Albacete Rank: 66 W
Huesca Rank: 57 W
Real Valladolid Rank: 60 D
Ceuta Rank: 61 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cultural Leonesa
30.28%
Draw
28.46%
Away SD Eibar
41.26%

Movement

Changes since opening
Cultural Leonesa
-62.09%
Draw
+21.07%
SD Eibar
+41.02%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
53.68
68.75
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cultural Leonesa
SD Eibar
Power Score
53.68
68.75
League Position
21
8
Global Rank
579
230

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cultural Leonesa — Opponent-weighted form score
SD Eibar — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cultural Leonesa SD Eibar

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Cultural Leonesa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

SD Eibar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Cultural Leonesa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SD Eibar
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
18.52
34.89
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.89
18.52
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Cultural Leonesa -1.64 Efficiency Index
vs
SD Eibar +1.64 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Cultural Leonesa
SD Eibar
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Cultural Leonesa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SD Eibar
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Cultural Leonesa SD Eibar
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Cultural Leonesa SD Eibar
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Cultural Leonesa
SD Eibar
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Cultural Leonesa
vs
SD Eibar
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Cultural Leonesa SD Eibar
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Cultural Leonesa 0.20
SD Eibar 0.34
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Cultural Leonesa SD Eibar
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Cultural Leonesa 0.02
SD Eibar 0.05
Cultural Leonesa
SD Eibar
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Cultural Leonesa had peak pressure around 62'.
  • EIB started the game with stronger pressure.
Cultural Leonesa Pressure EIB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Cultural Leonesa reached the top pressure at 62' (80.85).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa Home
1 matches
SD Eibar EIB Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
+1
Goal Difference
-1

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:57:04+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-5-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
E. Badía Guardiola
Spain
13 E. Badía Guardiola
V. García Hernández
Venezuela
24 V. García Hernández
M. Barzic Gutiérrez
Spain
36 M. Barzic Gutiérrez
E. Fornos Domínguez
Substitution
Spain
5 (C) E. Fornos Domínguez
R. Hinojo Estrada
Spain
21 R. Hinojo Estrada
L. Ribeiro Costa
Substitution
Brazil
15 L. Ribeiro Costa
J. Fernández Abruñedo
Spain
14 J. Fernández Abruñedo
N. Radoja
Serbia
22 N. Radoja
L. Rodríguez Chacón
Substitution
Spain
10 L. Rodríguez Chacón
H. Ahmed
Substitution
Qatar
12 H. Ahmed
D. Collado Raya
Substitution
Spain
7 D. Collado Raya
Pitch
J. Magunagoitia Blasco
Spain
13 J. Magunagoitia Blasco
A. Arbilla Zabala
Spain
23 (C) A. Arbilla Zabala
J. Amador Silos
Portugal
15 J. Amador Silos
M. Ojeda
Substitution
Spain
21 M. Ojeda
S. Cubero Ezcurra
Spain
2 S. Cubero Ezcurra
A. Garrido Cañizares
Substitution
Spain
30 A. Garrido Cañizares
S. Álvarez Díaz
Substitution
Spain
6 S. Álvarez Díaz
J. Corpas Serna
Substitution
Spain
17 J. Corpas Serna
J. Magunacelaya Argoitia
Substitution
Spain
11 J. Magunacelaya Argoitia
M. Ares Djalo
Spain
18 M. Ares Djalo
J. Bautista Orgilles
Spain
9 J. Bautista Orgilles

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 40 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Municipal Reino de León
Capacity :
13346
Attendance :
6668
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Álvaro González Narváez
R. Gonzalo Sánchez
Álvaro Moreno Aragón
Rodrigo Blázquez Sánchez

Statistics

Possession
Cultural Leonesa
52%
EIB
48%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 2
7 Shots 9
40 Dangerous attacks 41
54 Possession 46
4 Corners 4
11 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

8 Goal Kicks 11
2 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5
8 Goal Attempts 8
71 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
11 Throwins 19
17 Dribble Attempts 12
0 Penalties 1
12 Successful Dribbles 4
67 Ball Safe 62

Attacking

98 Attacks 83
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

8 Key Passes 10
84 Successful Passes Percentage 83
22 Successful Long Passes 37
42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 58
482 Passes 408
405 Successful Passes 340
52 Long Passes 64

Defensive

5 Interceptions 10
2 Saves 1
52 Duels Won 45
12 Tackles 12

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 13
2 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

2 Offsides 6
12 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Álvaro Moreno Aragón

Starting XI ▼

13
Edgar Badia
Edgar Badia Goalkeeper
6.41
5
Quique Fornos
Quique Fornos (C) Defender
6.92
16
Tomás Ribeiro
Tomás Ribeiro
Defender76'
6.31
21
Roger Hinojo
Roger Hinojo Defender
6.61
24
Víctor García
Víctor García Defender
6.69
36
Matia Barzic
Matia Barzic Defender
7.61
10
Luis Chacón
Luis Chacón Midfielder
6.58
19
Rubén Sobrino
Rubén Sobrino
Attacker88'
12
Homam Al-Amin
Homam Al-Amin Midfielder
6.98
11
Víctor Moreno
Víctor Moreno
Midfielder58'
7.2
14
Bicho
Bicho Midfielder
6.13
15
Lucas Ribeiro
Lucas Ribeiro Midfielder
7.43
6
Sergi Maestre
Sergi Maestre
Midfielder88'
22
Nemanja Radoja
Nemanja Radoja Midfielder
7.42
7
Diego Collado
Diego Collado Attacker
6.67
39
Alejandro Morante
Alejandro Morante
Attacker75'
6.78
Referee : Álvaro Moreno Aragón

Starting XI ▼

13
Jonmi Magunagoitia
Jonmi Magunagoitia Goalkeeper
6.49
2
Sergio Cubero
Sergio Cubero Defender
6.66
15
Jair Amador
Jair Amador Defender
6.18
21
Marco Moreno
Marco Moreno Defender
6.52
24
Juan Bernat
Juan Bernat
Defender67'
6.52
23
Anaitz Arbilla
Anaitz Arbilla (C) Defender
6.42
6
Sergio Álvarez
Sergio Álvarez Midfielder
6.99
14
Lander Olaetxea
Lander Olaetxea
Midfielder58'
6.37
11
Jon Magunazelaia
Jon Magunazelaia Midfielder
6.3
16
Ander Madariaga
Ander Madariaga
Midfielder58'
6.56
17
José Corpas
José Corpas Midfielder
6.99
27
Hugo García
Hugo García
Attacker86'
18
Adu Ares
Adu Ares Midfielder
6.78
30
Aleix Garrido
Aleix Garrido Midfielder
6.61
20
Javi Martón
Javi Martón
Attacker68'
6.63
9
Jon Bautista
Jon Bautista Attacker
7.17

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Rubén Sobrino → Luis Chacón
10th Substitution
88'
Event
Sergi Maestre → Lucas Ribeiro
9th Substitution
88'
88'
Event
Jair Amador
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
86'
Event
Hugo García → José Corpas
8th Substitution
86'
Event
José Corpas
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Tomás Ribeiro → Quique Fornos
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Alejandro Morante → Diego Collado
6th Substitution
75'
68'
Event
Javi Martón → Aleix Garrido
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Juan Bernat → Marco Moreno
4th Substitution
Event
Matia Barzic
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
61'
Event
Víctor Moreno
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
59'
Event
Víctor Moreno → Homam Al-Amin
2nd Substitution
58'
58'
Event
Ander Madariaga → Jon Magunazelaia
1st Substitution
58'
Event
Lander Olaetxea → Sergio Álvarez
3rd Substitution
Event
Luis Chacón
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
56'
55'
Event
Jon Magunazelaia
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Matia Barzic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
27'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Hugo Garcia takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jon Bautista takes a left-footed shot but misses.
88
Update Update
Sergi Maestre comes on for Lucas Ribeiro Costa.
87
Update Update
Ruben Sobrino comes on for Luis Chacon.
86
Attempt Attempt
Jose Corpas takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
86
Update Update
Hugo Garcia replaces Jose Corpas.
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Jose Corpas scores, making it 2-1.
76
Update Update
Alejandro Morante replaces Diego Collado.
75
Update Update
Tomas Aresta Branco Machado Ribeiro comes on for Enrique Fornos Dominguez.
72
Attempt Attempt
Javier Marton's right-footed shot is blocked.
71
Attempt Attempt
Sergio Cubero takes a right-footed shot but misses.
70
Attempt Attempt
Javier Marton takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
67
Update Update
Juan Bernat is on, and Marco Moreno is off.
67
Attempt Attempt
Malcom Adu takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
67
Update Update
Javier Marton replaces Aleix Garrido.
66
Attempt Attempt
Diego Collado takes a left-footed shot but misses.
61
Attempt Attempt
Matia Barzic takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
59
Attempt Attempt
Victor Moreno scores with a right-footed shot.
58
Update Update
Ander Madariaga comes on for Jon Magunazelaia Argoitia.
58
Update Update
Ander Madariaga comes on for Jon Magunazelaia Argoitia.
58
Update Update
Lander Olaetxea comes on for Sergio Alvarez Diaz.
53
Attempt Attempt
Luis Chacon takes a shot with his head but misses.
35
Attempt Attempt
Bicho takes a left-footed shot but misses.
32
Attempt Attempt
Diego Collado takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
29
Attempt Attempt
Jon Magunazelaia Argoitia takes a right-footed shot but misses.
25
Attempt Attempt
Jose Corpas takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
24
Attempt Attempt
Anaitz Arbilla Zabala's left-footed shot is blocked.
24
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Ribeiro Costa takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
22
Attempt Attempt
Malcom Adu's right-footed shot is blocked.
10
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Ribeiro Costa takes a left-footed shot but misses.
8
Attempt Attempt
Jon Bautista takes a left-footed shot but misses.
4
Attempt Attempt
Jose Corpas takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
1
Attempt Attempt
Jair Amador attempts a header but misses the shot.

CONCLUSION

Overall the victory for Cultural Leonesa represents a notable achievement in the context of their season. By overcoming a team considered stronger they have demonstrated potential for future successes. The game was characterized by a cautious first half followed by an open second period where goals flowed. Maintaining possession advantage proved beneficial for the winners. Without any disciplinary issues affecting the flow the contest remained competitive until the end. This result may boost confidence within the Cultural Leonesa camp while prompting SD Eibar to reassess their strategies moving forward. The final scoreline of 2-1 accurately reflects the competitive edge gained by the home team in crucial moments.

Cultural Leonesa vs SD Eibar preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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