Rheindorf Altach vs Ried Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
CASHPOINT Arena Sat, 16 May - 3:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Rheindorf Altach ALT
2 Winner 0
Ried Ried
Full Time Sat, 16 May 3:00 PM
Round 10 Relegation Round
Yann Massombo - 75' (P)
Patrick Greil - 45+6' (P)
Goal
|
|
Second yellow card Martin Rasner 68'

CONTEXT

Rheindorf Altach defeated Ried 2-0 in a match that saw the home side take a 1-0 lead at halftime. Altach generated 3.01 expected goals compared to Ried's 1.42, resulting in a differential of 1.59. Possession was nearly even with Altach holding 51 percent and Ried 49 percent. A red card to Ried in the second half altered the flow of play. The stronger team according to pre-match indicators secured the victory in line with underlying metrics. The outcome proved consistent with expected goals while showing significant structural deviation favoring the home side. This result highlighted how key events shaped the final scoreline without deviating from core performance indicators.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Rheindorf Altach 2-0 Ried. Rheindorf Altach showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match team strength assessments.
  • xG alignment: The final result stayed consistent with the 1.59 expected goals differential.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with pre-match market projections for the home side.
  • xG expectations: Rheindorf Altach posted 3.01 expected goals against Ried's 1.42.
  • Event impact: The second half featured adjustments driven by a single red card incident.
  • Red card distortion: Ried's red card introduced measurable distortion to the match structure after halftime.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Greinecker

Austria 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Gutschi

1st Assistant

Austria

F. Tekeli

2nd Assistant

Austria

S. Macanovic

4th Official

Austria

League averages

Admiral Bundesliga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.05
Yellow cards / match 3.67
Red cards / match 0.27
Penalties / match 0.35
Rheindorf Altach O. Zaric
O. Zaric
VS
Ried M. Senft
M. Senft
1.39
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.39
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grazer AK Rank: 53 D
Wolfsberger AC Rank: 58 L
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: 52 L
WSG Tirol Rank: 51 D
WSG Tirol Rank: 51 D
Grazer AK Rank: 54 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wolfsberger AC Rank: 59 L
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: 54 W
WSG Tirol Rank: 52 L
Grazer AK Rank: 54 W
Grazer AK Rank: 54 D
Wolfsberger AC Rank: 60 D
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 8 - 19
19

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rheindorf Altach
55.65%
Draw
25.65%
Away Ried
18.7%

Movement

Changes since opening
Rheindorf Altach
-42.24%
Draw
+23.73%
Ried
+18.5%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
52.67
45.76
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rheindorf Altach
Ried
Power Score
52.67
45.76
League Position
8
9
Global Rank
699
729

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rheindorf Altach — Opponent-weighted form score
Ried — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rheindorf Altach Ried

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Rheindorf Altach

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Ried

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rheindorf Altach ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Ried
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
30.59
12.45
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
12.45
30.59
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Rheindorf Altach +1.54 Efficiency Index
vs
Ried -1.54 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Rheindorf Altach
Ried
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rheindorf Altach
vs
Ried
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Rheindorf Altach Ried
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
2.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Rheindorf Altach Ried
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 2.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Rheindorf Altach
Ried
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Rheindorf Altach
vs
Ried
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Rheindorf Altach Ried
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Rheindorf Altach 0.25
Ried 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Rheindorf Altach Ried
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Rheindorf Altach 0.00
Ried 0.04
Rheindorf Altach
Ried
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ALT had peak pressure around 52'.
  • ALT started the game with stronger pressure.
ALT Pressure Ried Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ALT reached the top pressure at 52' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 39 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rheindorf Altach ALT Home
39 matches
Ried Ried Away
Match Record
12
Wins
19
8
Draws
8
19
Losses
12
Goals
45
Goals Scored
62
62
Goals Conceded
45
-17
Goal Difference
+17

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:57:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Stojanovic
Austria
1 D. Stojanovic
L. Jäger
Austria
17 (C) L. Jäger
B. Zech
Austria
23 B. Zech
R. Rahmani
Sweden
16 R. Rahmani
S. Ingolitsch
Austria
25 S. Ingolitsch
V. Demaku
Substitution
Austria
6 V. Demaku
M. Bähre
Germany
8 M. Bähre
M. Ouédraogo
Burkina Faso
29 M. Ouédraogo
Y. Massombo Litawumba
Substitution
France
28 Y. Massombo Litawumba
S. Hrstić
Substitution
Serbia
11 S. Hrstić
P. Greil
Substitution
Austria
18 P. Greil
Pitch
A. Leitner
Austria
1 (C) A. Leitner
J. Scherzer
Austria
3 J. Scherzer
O. Steurer
Germany
30 O. Steurer
M. Sollbauer
Substitution
Austria
23 M. Sollbauer
P. Weissenbacher
Substitution
Austria
14 P. Weissenbacher
M. Rasner
Austria
8 M. Rasner
M. Maart
Substitution
South Africa
6 M. Maart
C. Wernitznig
Austria
24 C. Wernitznig
Y. Nasrawe
Germany
19 Y. Nasrawe
J. Boguo
Substitution
15 J. Boguo
S. Sané
Substitution
Germany
9 S. Sané

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 10 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
CASHPOINT Arena
Capacity :
8500
Attendance :
4700
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Markus Greinecker
Amina Gutschi
Fatih Tekeli
Stefan Macanovic

Statistics

Possession
ALT
54%
Ried
46%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
6 Big Chances Created 2
4 Shots 2
52 Dangerous attacks 22
51 Possession 49
4 Corners 4
12 Free kicks 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

72 Ball Safe 66
9 Goal Attempts 3
2 Penalties 0
67 Successful Dribbles Percentage 63
12 Successful Dribbles 5
9 Throwins 17
4 Substitutions 5
5 Goal Kicks 6
18 Dribble Attempts 8
1 Injuries 1

Attacking

83 Attacks 67
4 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

315 Successful Passes 292
59 Long Passes 51
32 Successful Long Passes 21
84 Successful Passes Percentage 80
375 Passes 363
7 Key Passes 4
54 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41

Defensive

1 Saves 4
7 Interceptions 5
52 Duels Won 38
17 Tackles 13

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 11
2 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

6 Offsides 2
12 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Markus Greinecker

Starting XI ▼

1
Dejan Stojanovic
Dejan Stojanovic Goalkeeper
6.82
16
Rassa Rahmani
Rassa Rahmani Defender
7.06
17
Lukas Jäger
Lukas Jäger (C) Defender
6.74
23
Benedikt Zech
Benedikt Zech Defender
7.12
6
Vesel Demaku
Vesel Demaku Midfielder
7.42
5
Lukas Gugganig
Lukas Gugganig
Defender80'
6.47
8
Mike-Steven Bähre
Mike-Steven Bähre Midfielder
6.98
25
Sandro Ingolitsch
Sandro Ingolitsch Midfielder
6.68
29
Mohamed Ouédraogo
Mohamed Ouédraogo Midfielder
7.31
11
Srdjan Hrstic
Srdjan Hrstic Attacker
6.33
20
Alexander Gorgon
Alexander Gorgon
Midfielder80'
6.72
18
Patrick Greil
Patrick Greil Attacker
7.21
21
Precious Benjamin
Precious Benjamin
Attacker90+1'
28
Yann Massombo
Yann Massombo Attacker
7.59
14
Moritz Oswald
Moritz Oswald
Defender90+1'
Referee : Markus Greinecker

Starting XI ▼

1
Andreas Leitner
Andreas Leitner (C) Goalkeeper
6.8
3
Jonathan Scherzer
Jonathan Scherzer Defender
6.35
14
Philip Weissenbacher
Philip Weissenbacher Defender
6.42
28
Nicolas Bajlicz
Nicolas Bajlicz
Midfielder57'
6.48
23
Michael Sollbauer
Michael Sollbauer Defender
6.57
5
Benjamin Garcia
Benjamin Garcia
Defender67'
6.18
30
Oliver Steurer
Oliver Steurer Defender
6.14
6
Yusuf Maart
Yusuf Maart Midfielder
6.56
40
Leonit Zeqiri
Leonit Zeqiri
Midfielder57'
6.54
8
Martin Rasner
Martin Rasner Midfielder
5.55
15
Joris Boguo
Joris Boguo Midfielder
6.03
29
Antonio Van Wyk
Antonio Van Wyk
Attacker46'
6.65
19
Yussef Nasrawe
Yussef Nasrawe Midfielder
6.74
24
Mark Jackson
Mark Jackson Midfielder
5.84
9
Saliou Sané
Saliou Sané Attacker
6.98
7
Kingstone Mutandwa
Kingstone Mutandwa
Attacker46'
6.49

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Oliver Steurer
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Precious Benjamin → Patrick Greil
8th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Moritz Oswald → Yann Massombo
9th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Alexander Gorgon → Srdjan Hrstic
6th Substitution
80'
Event
Lukas Gugganig → Vesel Demaku
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Yann Massombo
Left foot shot / 2nd Penalty
75'
68'
Event
Martin Rasner
Argument / 1st Yellow/red Card
67'
Event
Benjamin Garcia → Michael Sollbauer
5th Substitution
Event
Mohamed Ouédraogo
Penalty cancelled
66'
57'
Event
Nicolas Bajlicz → Philip Weissenbacher
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
Leonit Zeqiri → Yusuf Maart
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Kingstone Mutandwa → Saliou Sané
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Antonio Van Wyk → Joris Boguo
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+7'
Event
Michael Sollbauer
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Patrick Greil
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
45+6'
Event
Yann Massombo
Penalty awarded
45+4'
37'
Event
Mark Jackson
Goal disallowed
Event
Patrick Greil
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
31'
26'
Event
Martin Rasner
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Precious Benjamin replaces Patrick Greil.
90
Update Update
Moritz Oswald is on, and Yann Massombo is off.
90
Attempt Attempt
Alexander Gorgon takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Oliver Steurer.
89
Attempt Attempt
Kingstone Mutandwa takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
80
Update Update
Alexander Gorgon is on, and Srdjan Hrstic is off.
80
Update Update
Lukas Gugganig is on, and Vesel Demaku is off.
79
Attempt Attempt
Vesel Demaku takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
75
Attempt Attempt
Vesel Demaku's right-footed shot is blocked.
75
Attempt Attempt
Yann Massombo scores with a left-footed shot.
72
Attempt Attempt
Srdjan Hrstic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
71
Attempt Attempt
Kingstone Mutandwa attempts a header but misses the shot.
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Martin Rasner receives a second yellow card.
67
Update Update
Nikki Havenaar comes on for Michael Sollbauer.
57
Update Update
Nicolas Bajlicz comes on for Philip Weissenbacher.
57
Update Update
Leonit Zeqiri is on, and Moegamat Yusuf Maart is off.
49
Attempt Attempt
Rassa Rahmani takes a left-footed shot but misses.
48
Attempt Attempt
Vesel Demaku's right-footed shot is saved.
46
Substitution Substitution
Antonio Van Wyk is substituted for Jores Boguo.
46
Update Update
Kingstone Mutandwa replaces Saliou Sane.
45
Attempt Attempt
Srdjan Hrstic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Srdjan Hrstic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot on goal! Patrick Greil scores with a right-footed shot.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Patrick Greil scores, making it 1-0.
34
Update Update
VAR decision results in a disallowed goal for Christopher Wernitznig.
34
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Christopher Wernitznig with another body part, and it's a goal!
29
Attempt Attempt
Yussef Nasrawe has a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
25
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Greil takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
19
Attempt Attempt
Jonathan Scherzer takes a header shot, but it misses the target.
19
Attempt Attempt
Saliou Sane attempts a header but misses the shot.
13
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Greil takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.

CONCLUSION

Rheindorf Altach controlled the contest from the opening period and maintained their advantage through structured play despite limited possession dominance. The 2-0 scoreline reflected a measured performance where expected goals supported the winner without major surprises in the underlying data. Ried's numerical disadvantage after the red card limited their ability to respond effectively in the second half. Altach's approach stayed efficient and aligned with indicators that identified them as the stronger side beforehand. The match demonstrated how a single event can influence proceedings while the overall result followed logical patterns from the metrics. This outcome reinforced the value of expected goals in confirming the final standings without external distortions affecting the primary narrative.

Rheindorf Altach vs Ried preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.