Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Anfield Today - 11:30 AM
Premier League
Liverpool LIV
Versus
Chelsea CHE
KICKOFF : Today - 11:30 AM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Liverpool host Chelsea at Anfield in a Premier League regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. The Reds hold a commanding power score of 92.32 at home against Chelsea's 88.34, translating to a four-point advantage and marking them as the stronger side. Sitting fourth in the table, Liverpool also lead in form with a score of 24.17 compared to Chelsea's dismal zero. Anfield's atmosphere will fuel Arne Slot's men as they aim to extend their edge over a Blues side struggling in ninth place. Both teams lack recent outing details, but Liverpool's superior metrics suggest dominance in open play. Set-piece data remains unavailable due to missing xG stats, keeping focus on overall structure and momentum. Chelsea must disrupt Liverpool's rhythm to salvage points from this Merseyside showdown.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Liverpool possess a 92.32 home power score versus Chelsea's 88.34 away, securing a four-point edge as the stronger team.
  • Form: Liverpool arrive with a 24.17 form score, dwarfing Chelsea's rating of zero.
  • Squad: Liverpool occupy fourth in the league while Chelsea sit ninth.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece performance data unavailable due to absent xG information and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for this fixture.
  • Market: Baseline split: Liverpool 49.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.9% (Δ+0%) | Chelsea 25.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Liverpool A. Slot
A. Slot
VS
Chelsea C. McFarlane
C. McFarlane
1.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Manchester United Rank: 91 L
Crystal Palace Rank: 86 W
Everton Rank: 88 W
Fulham Rank: 86 W
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 90 L
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 85 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nottingham Forest Rank: 88 L
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 89 L
Manchester United Rank: 90 L
Manchester City Rank: 98 L
Everton Rank: 88 L
Newcastle United Rank: 89 L
24
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
24 - 23 - 26
26
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Liverpool
49.43%
Draw
24.94%
Away Chelsea
25.63%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
92.32
88.34
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Liverpool
Chelsea
Power Score
92.32
88.34
League Position
4
9
Global Rank
7
18

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Liverpool — Opponent-weighted form score
Chelsea — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Liverpool Chelsea

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 73 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Liverpool LIV Home
73 matches
Chelsea CHE Away
Match Record
24
Wins
26
23
Draws
23
26
Losses
24
Goals
80
Goals Scored
85
85
Goals Conceded
80
-5
Goal Difference
+5

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T11:00:26+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
G. Mamardashvili
Georgia
25 G. Mamardashvili
C. Jones
England
17 C. Jones
I. Konaté
France
5 I. Konaté
V. van Dijk
Netherlands
4 V. van Dijk
Milos Kerkez
Hungary
6 Milos Kerkez
R. Gravenberch
Netherlands
38 R. Gravenberch
A. Mac Allister
Argentina
10 A. Mac Allister
J. Frimpong
Netherlands
30 J. Frimpong
D. Szoboszlai
Hungary
8 D. Szoboszlai
R. Ngumoha
England
73 R. Ngumoha
C. Gakpo
Netherlands
18 C. Gakpo
Pitch
F. Jörgensen
Denmark
12 F. Jörgensen
J. Hato
Netherlands
21 J. Hato
W. Fofana
France
29 W. Fofana
L. Colwill
England
6 L. Colwill
M. Cucurella
Spain
3 M. Cucurella
M. Caicedo Corozo
Ecuador
25 M. Caicedo Corozo
A. Nascimento dos Santos
Brazil
17 A. Nascimento dos Santos
M. Gusto
France
27 M. Gusto
E. Fernández
Argentina
8 E. Fernández
C. Palmer
England
10 C. Palmer
J. Junqueira de Jesus
Brazil
20 J. Junqueira de Jesus

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Anfield
Capacity :
61276
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Craig Pawson
Matthew Wilkes
Robert Madley
Lee Betts

Lineup

Referee : Craig Pawson

Starting XI ▼

25
Giorgi Mamardashvili
Giorgi Mamardashvili Goalkeeper
6.84
4
Virgil van Dijk
Virgil van Dijk Defender
7.09
5
Ibrahima Konaté
Ibrahima Konaté Defender
6.96
6
Milos Kerkez
Milos Kerkez Defender
6.77
17
Curtis Jones
Curtis Jones Defender
6.82
8
Dominik Szoboszlai
Dominik Szoboszlai Midfielder
7.36
10
Alexis Mac Allister
Alexis Mac Allister Midfielder
6.86
30
Jeremie Frimpong
Jeremie Frimpong Midfielder
6.63
38
Ryan Gravenberch
Ryan Gravenberch Midfielder
7.06
73
Rio Ngumoha
Rio Ngumoha Midfielder
6.86
18
Cody Gakpo
Cody Gakpo Attacker
7.12
Referee : Craig Pawson

Starting XI ▼

12
Filip Jørgensen
Filip Jørgensen Goalkeeper
6.64
6
Levi Colwill
Levi Colwill Defender
6.53
21
Jorrel Hato
Jorrel Hato Defender
6.54
29
Wesley Fofana
Wesley Fofana Defender
6.96
3
Marc Cucurella
Marc Cucurella Midfielder
6.88
17
Andrey Santos
Andrey Santos Midfielder
6.73
25
Moisés Caicedo
Moisés Caicedo Midfielder
7.05
27
Malo Gusto
Malo Gusto Midfielder
6.82
8
Enzo Fernández
Enzo Fernández Attacker
7.25
10
Cole Palmer
Cole Palmer Attacker
6.99
20
João Pedro
João Pedro Attacker
7.14

CONCLUSION

Liverpool's superior power rating, form supremacy, and home advantage at Anfield position them as clear favorites against a faltering Chelsea. The Reds' fourth-place standing contrasts sharply with the Blues' ninth, underscoring their structural edge. Without detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, the focus falls on Liverpool's momentum to dictate proceedings. Chelsea's zero form score signals vulnerability, likely forcing a defensive setup that Anfield's roar could overwhelm. Expect the hosts to leverage their four-point superiority for a convincing display, pulling further clear in the table race.

Liverpool vs Chelsea preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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