Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Tirol Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Lavanttal Arena Sat, 16 May - 3:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Wolfsberger AC WAC
2 Winner 0
WSG Tirol WSG
Full Time Sat, 16 May 3:00 PM
Round 10 Relegation Round
Jamie Lawrence - 77' (Own Goal)
Dejan Zukic - 2'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Wolfsberger AC defeated WSG Tirol with a final score of 2-0, taking the lead in the first half with a goal that made it 1-0 at halftime. The home team controlled the game with 59 percent possession and created significantly more scoring opportunities, reflected in their expected goals tally of 1.34 against the visitors' 0.23. This performance demonstrated clear superiority from the stronger side, resulting in a comfortable victory that matched the expected outcome based on underlying metrics. WSG Tirol found it difficult to break down the defense and generate meaningful attacks throughout the ninety minutes. The match proceeded without any red cards or major incidents that could have altered the dynamics. Overall, Wolfsberger's efficiency in front of goal and solid defensive display ensured they collected all three points in this encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The structural deviation remained minimal at 2.1 percent favoring the home side.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency stayed in line with the stronger team's established patterns.
  • xG alignment: The final result aligned directly with the recorded xG figures.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved consistent with pre-match projections for the favorite.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations accurately foreshadowed the 2-0 home victory.
  • Event impact: Standard play dominated without notable interruptions to the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured the contest unfolded without any disciplinary distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Harkam

Austria 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

E. Ristoskov

4th Official

Austria

M. Koller

2nd Assistant

Austria

M. Hartl

1st Assistant

Austria

League averages

Admiral Bundesliga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.05
Yellow cards / match 3.67
Red cards / match 0.27
Penalties / match 0.35
Wolfsberger AC T. Silberberger
T. Silberberger
VS
WSG Tirol P. Semlic
P. Semlic
0.94
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.37
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ried Rank: 54 W
Rheindorf Altach Rank: 53 W
Grazer AK Rank: 51 W
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: 51 L
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: 51 D
Ried Rank: 52 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: 53 D
Grazer AK Rank: 51 L
Ried Rank: 53 W
Rheindorf Altach Rank: 53 D
Rheindorf Altach Rank: 53 D
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: 51 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 7 - 8
8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Wolfsberger AC
97.86%
Draw
1.92%
Away WSG Tirol
0.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.11
50.77
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Wolfsberger AC
WSG Tirol
Power Score
60.11
50.77
League Position
10
7
Global Rank
479
766

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Wolfsberger AC — Opponent-weighted form score
WSG Tirol — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Wolfsberger AC WSG Tirol

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Wolfsberger AC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

WSG Tirol

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Wolfsberger AC ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy WSG Tirol
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
21.61
20.61
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.61
21.61
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Wolfsberger AC +0.08 Efficiency Index
vs
WSG Tirol -0.08 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Wolfsberger AC
WSG Tirol
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Wolfsberger AC
vs
WSG Tirol
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Wolfsberger AC WSG Tirol
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Wolfsberger AC WSG Tirol
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Wolfsberger AC
WSG Tirol
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Wolfsberger AC
vs
WSG Tirol
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Wolfsberger AC WSG Tirol
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Wolfsberger AC 0.31
WSG Tirol 0.24
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Wolfsberger AC WSG Tirol
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Wolfsberger AC 0.00
WSG Tirol 0.06
Wolfsberger AC
WSG Tirol
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • WAC had peak pressure around 29'.
  • WSG started the game with stronger pressure.
WAC Pressure WSG Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: WAC reached the top pressure at 29' (78.84).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Wolfsberger AC WAC Home
21 matches
WSG Tirol WSG Away
Match Record
6
Wins
8
7
Draws
7
8
Losses
6
Goals
36
Goals Scored
44
44
Goals Conceded
36
-8
Goal Difference
+8

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:57:26+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
L. Gütlbauer
Austria
1 L. Gütlbauer
D. Baumgartner
Austria
22 (C) D. Baumgartner
S. Piesinger
Substitution
Austria
8 S. Piesinger
N. Wimmer
Austria
37 N. Wimmer
F. Wohlmuth
Austria
31 F. Wohlmuth
M. Sulzner
Austria
30 M. Sulzner
A. Schöpf
Substitution
Austria
18 A. Schöpf
B. Matić
Serbia
2 B. Matić
D. Zukić
Substitution
Serbia
20 D. Zukić
M. Pink
Substitution
Austria
32 M. Pink
A. Gattermayer
Substitution
Austria
7 A. Gattermayer
Pitch
A. Stejskal
Czech Republic
40 A. Stejskal
D. Gugganig
Substitution
Austria
3 D. Gugganig
J. Lawrence
Germany
5 J. Lawrence
D. Jaunegg
Substitution
Austria
27 D. Jaunegg
T. Geris
Austria
28 T. Geris
J. Naschberger
Austria
17 J. Naschberger
V. Müller
Austria
4 (C) V. Müller
L. Sulzbacher
Substitution
Austria
6 L. Sulzbacher
M. Wels
Substitution
Austria
37 M. Wels
N. Frederiksen
Denmark
8 N. Frederiksen
A. Ola-Adebomi
Substitution
England
9 A. Ola-Adebomi

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 10 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
Lavanttal Arena
Capacity :
7300
Attendance :
5375
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Emil Ristoskov
Alexander Harkam
Manuel Koller
Mattias Hartl

Statistics

Possession
WAC
58%
WSG
42%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 3
35 Dangerous attacks 29
59 Possession 41
4 Corners 4
11 Free kicks 11
0 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

0 Injuries 1
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
6 Goal Kicks 13
80 Ball Safe 75
10 Goal Attempts 4
1 Assists 0
20 Throwins 30
13 Dribble Attempts 9
5 Substitutions 5
5 Successful Dribbles 3

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 1
128 Attacks 74

Possession

407 Successful Passes 246
511 Passes 350
76 Long Passes 59
35 Successful Long Passes 17
80 Successful Passes Percentage 70
7 Key Passes 4
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 29

Defensive

3 Saves 2
8 Interceptions 13
15 Tackles 18
42 Duels Won 46

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 19
4 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

11 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Alexander Harkam

Starting XI ▼

1
Lukas Gütlbauer
Lukas Gütlbauer Goalkeeper
7.09
8
Simon Piesinger
Simon Piesinger Defender
6.68
15
Cheick Mamadou Diabaté
Cheick Mamadou Diabaté
Defender84'
6.47
22
Dominik Baumgartner
Dominik Baumgartner (C) Defender
6.94
37
Nicolas Wimmer
Nicolas Wimmer Defender
6.95
2
Boris Matic
Boris Matic Midfielder
6.97
18
Alessandro Schöpf
Alessandro Schöpf Midfielder
6.95
23
Emin Kujovic
Emin Kujovic
Midfielder84'
6.58
30
Marco Sulzner
Marco Sulzner Midfielder
6.63
31
Fabian Wohlmuth
Fabian Wohlmuth Midfielder
7.1
7
Angelo Gattermayer
Angelo Gattermayer Attacker
7.64
10
Donis Avdijaj
Donis Avdijaj
Midfielder62'
6.61
20
Dejan Zukic
Dejan Zukic Attacker
7.9
34
Emmanuel Agyemang
Emmanuel Agyemang
Midfielder80'
6.53
32
Markus Pink
Markus Pink Attacker
6.42
9
Erik Kojzek
Erik Kojzek
Attacker46'
6.28
Referee : Alexander Harkam

Starting XI ▼

40
Adam Stejskal
Adam Stejskal Goalkeeper
6.3
3
David Gugganig
David Gugganig Defender
6.19
18
Lukas Schweighofer
Lukas Schweighofer
Midfielder80'
6.47
5
Jamie Lawrence
Jamie Lawrence Defender
6.26
27
David Jaunegg
David Jaunegg Defender
6.19
14
David Kubatta
David Kubatta
Defender46'
6.43
4
Valentino Müller
Valentino Müller (C) Midfielder
6.63
6
Lukas Sulzbacher
Lukas Sulzbacher Midfielder
6.51
21
Yannick Vötter
Yannick Vötter
Attacker60'
6.45
17
Johannes Naschberger
Johannes Naschberger Midfielder
6.77
28
Thomas Geris
Thomas Geris Midfielder
6.52
8
N. Frederiksen
N. Frederiksen Attacker
7.13
9
Ademola Ola-Adebomi
Ademola Ola-Adebomi Attacker
6.23
16
Lukas Hinterseer
Lukas Hinterseer
Attacker46'
6.49
37
Moritz Wels
Moritz Wels Attacker
6.34
10
Thomas Sabitzer
Thomas Sabitzer
Attacker60'
6.42

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Emin Kujovic → Alessandro Schöpf
10th Substitution
84'
Event
Cheick Mamadou Diabaté → Simon Piesinger
9th Substitution
84'
Event
Emmanuel Agyemang → Dejan Zukic
7th Substitution
80'
80'
Event
Lukas Schweighofer → David Gugganig
8th Substitution
Event
Jamie Lawrence
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal
77'
67'
Event
Johannes Naschberger
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Donis Avdijaj → Angelo Gattermayer
6th Substitution
62'
60'
Event
Thomas Sabitzer → Moritz Wels
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Yannick Vötter → Lukas Sulzbacher
5th Substitution
53'
Event
David Kubatta
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Erik Kojzek → Markus Pink
2nd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
David Kubatta → David Jaunegg
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Lukas Hinterseer → Ademola Ola-Adebomi
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
6'
Event
Jamie Lawrence
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Dejan Zukic
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
2'

Match Commentary

78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! An own goal by Jamie Lawrence makes it 2-0.
74
Attempt Attempt
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Johannes Naschberger.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Johannes Naschberger.
57
Attempt Attempt
David Gugganig's left-footed shot is saved.
54
Attempt Attempt
Moritz Wels takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
54
Attempt Attempt
Fabian Wohlmuth takes a right-footed shot but misses.
51
Attempt Attempt
Angelo Gattermayer takes a right-footed shot but misses.
49
Attempt Attempt
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
41
Attempt Attempt
Alessandro Schopf takes a left-footed shot but misses.
39
Attempt Attempt
Marco Sulzner's right-footed shot is blocked.
36
Attempt Attempt
Fabian Wohlmuth takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
33
Attempt Attempt
Dejan Zukic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
28
Attempt Attempt
Alessandro Schopf takes a right-footed shot but misses.
28
Attempt Attempt
Angelo Gattermayer attempts a right-footed shot but misses.
27
Attempt Attempt
Dejan Zukic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
23
Attempt Attempt
Markus Pink takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
18
Attempt Attempt
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
9
Attempt Attempt
David Jaunegg attempts a header but misses the shot.
6
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jamie Lawrence receives a yellow card.
6
Attempt Attempt
David Jaunegg attempts a header but misses the shot.
2
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Dejan Zukic scores, making it 1-0.
2
Attempt Attempt
Dejan Zukic scores with a right-footed shot.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Wolfsberger AC 2-0 WSG Tirol. Structural assessment: Wolfsberger AC exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Tirol preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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