Bodø / Glimt vs Tromsø Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aspmyra Stadion Sat, 16 May - 4:00 PM
Eliteserien
Bodø / Glimt BOD
5 Winner 0
Tromsø Tromsø
Full Time Sat, 16 May 4:00 PM
Round 9 Regular Season
Kasper Høgh - 89' (P), 79'
Sondre Fet - 66'
Håkon Evjen - 21'
Goal
|
|
Red Card Alexander Thongla-Iad Warneryd 45+1'

CONTEXT

Bodø / Glimt secured a commanding 5-0 victory over Tromsø in a match that highlighted clear dominance from the home side. The game began with Bodø / Glimt taking a 1-0 lead at halftime through effective attacking play. Tromsø received a red card during the second half which further tilted the balance. Bodø / Glimt maintained 70 percent possession while limiting the visitors to just 0.09 expected goals. The home team converted their opportunities efficiently to reach the final score of 5-0. This result aligned with the stronger team's pre-match positioning and reflected substantial control throughout the contest. The outcome demonstrated how a numerical disadvantage compounded challenges for Tromsø on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Bodø / Glimt 5-0 Tromsø. Bodø / Glimt showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Home team performance remained in line with underlying efficiency metrics.
  • xG alignment: Final result stayed consistent with the 4.51 to 0.09 expected goals split.
  • Market alignment: Outcome matched pre-match market projections for the stronger side.
  • xG expectations: Bodø / Glimt generated 4.51 expected goals against a low 0.09 from Tromsø.
  • Event impact: The match featured one red card that altered second-half dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Away team red card contributed to increased structural imbalance after halftime.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

T. Hansen

Norway 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Lundberg

1st Assistant

Norway

K. Haglund

2nd Assistant

Norway

M. Berg

4th Official

Norway

League averages

Eliteserien Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 19.63
Yellow cards / match 3.06
Red cards / match 0.11
Penalties / match 0.23
Bodø / Glimt K. Knutsen
K. Knutsen
VS
Tromsø J. Vik
J. Vik
2.11
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.42
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Molde Rank: 65 L
Start Rank: 49 W
Lillestrøm Rank: 56 W
Aalesund Rank: 43 W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 58 D
Viking Rank: 79 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Molde Rank: 67 W
Start Rank: 49 D
Brann Rank: 67 L
Sandefjord Rank: 62 W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 58 W
Lillestrøm Rank: 58 D
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 7 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bodø / Glimt
67.87%
Draw
19.68%
Away Tromsø
12.45%

Movement

Changes since opening
Bodø / Glimt
-29.93%
Draw
+17.76%
Tromsø
+12.17%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82
68.17
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bodø / Glimt
Tromsø
Power Score
82
68.17
League Position
4
2
Global Rank
49
246

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bodø / Glimt — Opponent-weighted form score
Tromsø — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bodø / Glimt Tromsø

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Bodø / Glimt

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Tromsø

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Bodø / Glimt ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Tromsø
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.36
8.50
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
8.50
34.36
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Bodø / Glimt +2.62 Efficiency Index
vs
Tromsø -2.62 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bodø / Glimt
Tromsø
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bodø / Glimt
vs
Tromsø
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bodø / Glimt Tromsø
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bodø / Glimt Tromsø
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Bodø / Glimt
Tromsø
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Bodø / Glimt
vs
Tromsø
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Bodø / Glimt Tromsø
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Bodø / Glimt 0.19
Tromsø 0.18
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Bodø / Glimt Tromsø
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Bodø / Glimt 0.00
Tromsø 0.05
Bodø / Glimt
Tromsø
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BOD had peak pressure around 75'.
  • BOD started the game with stronger pressure.
BOD Pressure Tromsø Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BOD reached the top pressure at 75' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bodø / Glimt BOD Home
24 matches
Tromsø Tromsø Away
Match Record
11
Wins
6
7
Draws
7
6
Losses
11
Goals
37
Goals Scored
27
27
Goals Conceded
37
+10
Goal Difference
-10

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:57:30+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
N. Haikin
Russia
12 N. Haikin
F. Sjøvold
Norway
20 F. Sjøvold
O. Bjørtuft
Norway
4 O. Bjørtuft
H. Aleesami
Norway
5 H. Aleesami
F. Bjørkan
Substitution
Norway
15 F. Bjørkan
H. Evjen
Substitution
Norway
26 H. Evjen
P. Berg
Norway
7 P. Berg
S. Brunstad Fet
Substitution
Norway
19 S. Brunstad Fet
J. Hauge
Substitution
Norway
10 J. Hauge
O. Blomberg
Norway
11 O. Blomberg
K. Høgh
Denmark
9 (C) K. Høgh
Pitch
J. Haugaard
Denmark
1 J. Haugaard
A. Warneryd
Sweden
29 A. Warneryd
I. Vådebu
Norway
30 I. Vådebu
T. Kvalvågnes Guddal
Norway
21 T. Kvalvågnes Guddal
V. Skjærvik
Norway
4 V. Skjærvik
L. Jean Cornic
Substitution
Norway
2 L. Jean Cornic
J. Hjertø-Dahl
Norway
6 J. Hjertø-Dahl
R. Yttergård Jenssen
Norway
11 (C) R. Yttergård Jenssen
D. Edvardsson
Substitution
Sweden
5 D. Edvardsson
H. Larsen
Substitution
Norway
22 H. Larsen
L. Larsen
Substitution
Norway
7 L. Larsen

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 9 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Aspmyra Stadion
Capacity :
8270
Attendance :
8232
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Tore Hansen
Magnus Lundberg
Kim Haglund
Martin Berg

Statistics

Possession
BOD
67%
Tromsø
33%

Top Statistics

5 Goals 0
6 Big Chances Created 0
4 Shots 1
101 Dangerous attacks 11
70 Possession 30
4 Corners 1
9 Free kicks 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
58 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
12 Dribble Attempts 10
3 Goal Kicks 8
20 Throwins 8
0 Injuries 1
93 Ball Safe 106
14 Goal Attempts 2
7 Successful Dribbles 4
1 Penalties 0
2 Assists 0

Attacking

144 Attacks 47
1 Big Chances Missed 0
1 Counter Attacks 3

Possession

663 Successful Passes 251
52 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36
90 Successful Passes Percentage 78
736 Passes 320
54 Long Passes 67
12 Key Passes 3
28 Successful Long Passes 24

Defensive

48 Duels Won 30
22 Tackles 8
2 Saves 6
6 Interceptions 6

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 6
5 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

12 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Tore Hansen

Starting XI ▼

12
Nikita Haikin
Nikita Haikin Goalkeeper
7.04
4
Odin Luras Bjortuft
Odin Luras Bjortuft Defender
7.33
5
Haitam Aleesami
Haitam Aleesami Defender
7.27
15
Fredrik Bjørkan
Fredrik Bjørkan Defender
6.52
25
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Defender72'
6.43
20
Fredrik Sjøvold
Fredrik Sjøvold Defender
7.55
7
Patrick Berg
Patrick Berg Midfielder
7.6
10
Jens Petter Hauge
Jens Petter Hauge Midfielder
7.99
24
Daniel Bassi
Daniel Bassi
Attacker72'
6.54
19
Sondre Fet
Sondre Fet Midfielder
7.82
22
A. Klynge
A. Klynge
Midfielder78'
6.5
26
Håkon Evjen
Håkon Evjen Midfielder
7.84
8
Sondre Auklend
Sondre Auklend
Midfielder69'
6.8
9
Kasper Høgh
Kasper Høgh (C) Attacker
2
9.97
11
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Ole Didrik Blomberg Attacker
7.93
Referee : Tore Hansen

Starting XI ▼

1
Jakob Haugaard
Jakob Haugaard Goalkeeper
6.75
2
Leo Cornic
Leo Cornic Defender
6
24
Jens Berland Husebø
Jens Berland Husebø
Defender77'
4.96
4
Vetle Skjærvik
Vetle Skjærvik Defender
5.85
21
Tobias Guddal
Tobias Guddal Defender
5.95
29
Alexander Thongla-Iad Warneryd
Alexander Thongla-Iad Warneryd Defender
5.35
30
Isak Vådebu
Isak Vådebu Defender
5.84
5
David Edvardsson
David Edvardsson Midfielder
6.57
3
Mathias Tønnessen
Mathias Tønnessen
Defender77'
6.3
6
Jens Hjertø-Dahl
Jens Hjertø-Dahl Midfielder
5.75
11
Ruben Yttergård Jenssen
Ruben Yttergård Jenssen (C) Midfielder
5.99
7
Lars Olden Larsen
Lars Olden Larsen Attacker
6.55
37
Sander Innvær
Sander Innvær
Midfielder45+2'
5.84
22
Heine Åsen Larsen
Heine Åsen Larsen Attacker
6.43
9
Daniel Braut
Daniel Braut
Attacker62'
6.51

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Kasper Høgh
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
89'
Event
Kasper Høgh
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
79'
Event
A. Klynge → Sondre Fet
10th Substitution
78'
Event
9th Substitution
78'
77'
Event
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Jens Berland Husebø → Leo Cornic
7th Substitution
77'
Event
Mathias Tønnessen → David Edvardsson
8th Substitution
Event
Isak Dybvik Määttä → Fredrik Bjørkan
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Daniel Bassi → Jens Petter Hauge
4th Substitution
72'
Event
Sondre Auklend → Håkon Evjen
3rd Substitution
69'
Event
Jens Petter Hauge
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
68'
Event
Sondre Fet
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
66'
62'
Event
Daniel Braut → Heine Åsen Larsen
2nd Substitution
59'
Event
Leo Cornic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Event
Sander Innvær → Lars Olden Larsen
1st Substitution
Event
Kjetil Knutsen
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
45+1'
45+1'
Event
Alexander Thongla-Iad Warneryd
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
45+1'
Event
Jørgen Vik
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Håkon Evjen
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
21'

CONCLUSION

Bodø / Glimt delivered a comprehensive performance that resulted in a 5-0 win and reinforced their status as the dominant side. The halftime score of 1-0 provided a platform for further control once Tromsø was reduced to ten players. High possession and superior chance creation translated directly into goals while restricting the opposition to minimal output. The red card introduced additional pressure that limited Tromsø recovery options. Overall the result reflected accurate execution of game plans and effective use of numerical advantage in the later stages. This victory adds momentum for Bodø / Glimt while highlighting areas for Tromsø improvement ahead of future fixtures.

Bodø / Glimt vs Tromsø preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Eliteserien, Norway View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ

Author

Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.