Winterthur vs Luzern Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stadion Schützenwiese Tomorrow - 4:00 PM
Super League
Winterthur Winterthur
Versus
Luzern LUZ
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 4:00 PM
Round 38 Relegation Round

CONTEXT

Winterthur welcome Luzern to Stadion Schützenwiese in the Super League Relegation Round, a crucial clash in the 2025/2026 season. Luzern enter as the stronger side, boasting a power score of 60.56 against Winterthur's 44.6, translating to a 16-point advantage. Recent form heavily favors the visitors, with Luzern's 22.44 score dwarfing Winterthur's modest 8.44. In the standings, Winterthur languish in 12th place while Luzern hold 7th, underscoring the gap in quality. Home advantage could play a role for Winterthur, who have shown resilience on their patch, but Luzern's superior metrics suggest they are primed to capitalize. Both teams lack detailed set-piece and efficiency data, leaving focus on overall structure and momentum. Expect a tactical battle where Luzern's edge in transitions and power might shine through.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Luzern possesses a 16-point power advantage with a score of 60.56 over Winterthur's 44.6.
  • Form: Luzern's form score stands at 22.44, significantly higher than Winterthur's 8.44.
  • Squad: Winterthur occupy 12th in the league while Luzern sit in 7th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with no xG available for either team.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Winterthur 29.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.8% (Δ+0%) | Luzern 46.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Winterthur P. Rahmen
P. Rahmen
VS
Luzern M. Frick
M. Frick
0.71
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grasshopper Rank: 48 L
Lausanne Sport Rank: 56 W
Zürich Rank: 50 D
Servette Rank: 61 L
Grasshopper Rank: 49 L
Lausanne Sport Rank: 55 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zürich Rank: 51 W
Servette Rank: 63 D
Lausanne Sport Rank: 57 W
Grasshopper Rank: 49 W
St. Gallen Rank: 65 D
Servette Rank: 64 L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 3 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Winterthur
29.9%
Draw
23.76%
Away Luzern
46.34%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
44.6
60.56
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Winterthur
Luzern
Power Score
44.6
60.56
League Position
12
7
Global Rank
923
479

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Winterthur — Opponent-weighted form score
Luzern — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Winterthur Luzern

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Winterthur Winterthur Home
13 matches
Luzern LUZ Away
Match Record
3
Wins
7
3
Draws
3
7
Losses
3
Goals
18
Goals Scored
30
30
Goals Conceded
18
-12
Goal Difference
+12

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T00:08:14+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Round 38 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
Stadion Schützenwiese
Capacity :
9450
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Stefanos Kapino
Stefanos Kapino Goalkeeper
75
Antonio Spagnoli
Antonio Spagnoli Goalkeeper
30
Noah Brogli
Noah Brogli Goalkeeper
5
Lukas Mühl
Lukas Mühl Defender
16
Remo Arnold
Remo Arnold Defender
24
Silvan Sidler
Silvan Sidler Defender
19
Dario Ulrich
Dario Ulrich Defender
4
Basil Stillhart
Basil Stillhart Defender
31
Mirlind Kryeziu
Mirlind Kryeziu Defender
18
Souleymane Diaby
Souleymane Diaby Defender
21
Loïc Lüthi
Loïc Lüthi Defender
3
Rhodri Smith
Rhodri Smith Defender
26
Ledjan Sahitaj
Ledjan Sahitaj Defender
33
Tibault Citherlet
Tibault Citherlet Defender
23
Pajtim Kasami
Pajtim Kasami Midfielder
7
Luca Zuffi
Luca Zuffi Midfielder
27
Fabian Rohner
Fabian Rohner Midfielder
45
Alexandre Jankewitz
Alexandre Jankewitz Midfielder
22
Adrian Durrer
Adrian Durrer Midfielder
20
Carmine Chiappetta
Carmine Chiappetta Midfielder
44
Stéphane Cueni
Stéphane Cueni Midfielder
10
Randy Schneider
Randy Schneider Midfielder
6
Emmanuel Essiam
Emmanuel Essiam Midfielder
37
Elias Maluvunu
Elias Maluvunu Midfielder
8
Théo Golliard
Théo Golliard Midfielder
9
Roman Buess
Roman Buess Attacker
11
Bafodé Dansoko
Bafodé Dansoko Attacker
99
Nishan Burkart
Nishan Burkart Attacker
14
Francis Momoh
Francis Momoh Attacker
17
Andrin Hunziker
Andrin Hunziker Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Pascal David Loretz
Pascal David Loretz Goalkeeper
41
Julian Bock
Julian Bock Goalkeeper
23
Lionel Huwiler
Lionel Huwiler Goalkeeper
3
Jesper Löfgren
Jesper Löfgren Defender
5
Stefan Knežević
Stefan Knežević Defender
14
Andrejs Cigaņiks
Andrejs Cigaņiks Defender
22
Ruben Dantas Fernandes
Ruben Dantas Fernandes Defender
2
Severin Ottiger
Severin Ottiger Defender
42
Mauricio Willimann Rangel
Mauricio Willimann Rangel Defender
4
Adrian Bajrami
Adrian Bajrami Defender
46
Bung Meng Freimann
Bung Meng Freimann Defender
45
Erblin Sadikaj
Erblin Sadikaj Defender
11
Matteo Di Giusto
Matteo Di Giusto Midfielder
24
Tyron Owusu
Tyron Owusu Midfielder
6
Taisei Abe
Taisei Abe Midfielder
34
Demir Xhemalija
Demir Xhemalija Midfielder
29
Levin Winkler
Levin Winkler Midfielder
80
Mio Zimmermann
Mio Zimmermann Midfielder
73
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira Midfielder
9
Adrian Grbic
Adrian Grbic Attacker
10
Sinan Karweina
Sinan Karweina Attacker
81
Julian Vonmoos
Julian Vonmoos Attacker
7
Kevin Spadanuda
Kevin Spadanuda Attacker
27
Vars Villiger
Vars Villiger Attacker
19
Andrej Vasovic
Andrej Vasovic Attacker
16
Oscar Kabwit tshikomb
Oscar Kabwit tshikomb Attacker
71
Sascha Meyer
Sascha Meyer Attacker
39
Sandro Wyss
Sandro Wyss Attacker

CONCLUSION

Luzern's clear superiority in power and form positions them as favorites to secure a vital win in this Relegation Round encounter. Winterthur will rely on home support and defensive organization to frustrate the visitors, but Luzern's higher league standing and momentum suggest they can break through. Without detailed set-piece or efficiency insights, the focus falls on Luzern's ability to dominate transitions and exploit structural edges. A Luzern victory seems likely, potentially widening the gap in the standings and boosting their survival hopes.

Winterthur vs Luzern preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Super League, Switzerland View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ