Standard Liège vs Genk Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stade Maurice Dufrasne Sat, 16 May - 4:15 PM
Pro League
Standard Liège STL
0 – 0
Genk GNK
Full Time Sat, 16 May 4:15 PM
Round 8 Conference League Play-off Group

CONTEXT

Standard Liège hosted Genk in a tightly contested league fixture that concluded with a 0-0 scoreline. The first half ended level at 0-0 with both sides adopting measured approaches and limited clear chances. Standard Liège finished with 49 percent possession while Genk held 51 percent. Genk created the better opportunities overall yet neither team found the net. The stronger side according to assessments could not break down a resolute defense. No red cards occurred and the match remained free of major incidents. The draw reflected defensive priorities from both teams in an even encounter marked by moderate performance deviation from Genk.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Standard Liège 0-0 Genk. Genk showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift stayed in line with team standards across the full match.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was not consistent with the expected goals generated during play.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with pre-match projections for the fixture.
  • xG expectations: Genk posted 1.81 expected goals against 0.97 for Standard Liège.
  • Event impact: The match ended without notable events that altered the final scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued to either side in the contest.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

N. Laforge

Belgium 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

V. Divincenzo

2nd Assistant

Belgium

L. Conotte

1st Assistant

Belgium

B. Verbeke

4th Official

Belgium

League averages

Pro League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 18.61
Yellow cards / match 3.13
Red cards / match 0.17
Penalties / match 0.3
Standard Liège V. Euvrard
V. Euvrard
VS
Genk N. Hayen
N. Hayen
1.57
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.48
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
OH Leuven Rank: 65 W
Antwerp Rank: 72 W
Genk Rank: 77 D
Antwerp Rank: 68 L
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 71 W
Westerlo Rank: 71 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Westerlo Rank: 71 W
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 70 L
Standard Liège Rank: 69 D
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 71 D
Westerlo Rank: 71 W
OH Leuven Rank: 65 D
26
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
26 - 16 - 15
15

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Standard Liège
3.6%
Draw
90.89%
Away Genk
5.51%

Movement

Changes since opening
Standard Liège
-1.33%
Draw
+0.76%
Genk
+0.58%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.33
76.65
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Standard Liège
Genk
Power Score
71.33
76.65
League Position
8
7
Global Rank
167
89

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Standard Liège — Opponent-weighted form score
Genk — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Standard Liège Genk

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Standard Liège

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Genk

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Standard Liège ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Genk
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.61
47.84
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
47.84
25.61
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Standard Liège -2.11 Efficiency Index
vs
Genk +2.11 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Standard Liège
Genk
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Standard Liège
vs
Genk
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Standard Liège Genk
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Standard Liège Genk
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Standard Liège
Genk
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Standard Liège
vs
Genk
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Standard Liège Genk
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Standard Liège 0.20
Genk 0.46
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Standard Liège Genk
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Standard Liège 0.00
Genk 0.00
Standard Liège
Genk
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GNK had peak pressure around 25'.
  • STL started the game with stronger pressure.
STL Pressure GNK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: GNK reached the top pressure at 25' (65.39).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 57 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Standard Liège STL Home
57 matches
Genk GNK Away
Match Record
26
Wins
15
16
Draws
16
15
Losses
26
Goals
76
Goals Scored
55
55
Goals Conceded
76
+21
Goal Difference
-21

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:57:45+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
L. Epolo Matthieu
Belgium
1 L. Epolo Matthieu
M. Fossey
Substitution
United States
13 (C) M. Fossey
I. Hautekiet
Belgium
25 I. Hautekiet
D. Bates
Scotland
4 D. Bates
H. Lawrence
England
18 H. Lawrence
G. Mortensen
Denmark
3 G. Mortensen
A. Adnane
Belgium
11 A. Adnane
M. Ilaimaharitra
Substitution
Madagascar
23 M. Ilaimaharitra
I. Karamoko
France
20 I. Karamoko
R. Said Ahamada
Comoros
17 R. Said Ahamada
D. Eckert Ayensa
Substitution
Germany
10 D. Eckert Ayensa
Pitch
L. Kiaba Mounganga
Belgium
28 L. Kiaba Mounganga
J. Kayembe Ditu
Belgium
18 J. Kayembe Ditu
J. Ndenge Kongolo
Belgium
44 J. Ndenge Kongolo
M. Smets
Belgium
6 M. Smets
Z. El Ouahdi
Morocco
77 Z. El Ouahdi
N. Adedeji-Sternberg
Substitution
Belgium
32 N. Adedeji-Sternberg
I. Bangoura
Substitution
Guinea
21 I. Bangoura
B. Heynen
Belgium
8 (C) B. Heynen
J. Ito
Substitution
Japan
10 J. Ito
A. Bibout
Cameroon
23 A. Bibout
R. Mirisola
Substitution
Belgium
29 R. Mirisola

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 04:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 8 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium :
Stade Maurice Dufrasne
Capacity :
27670
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Nicolas Laforge
Vito Divincenzo
Laurent Conotte
Bert Verbeke

Statistics

Possession
STL
48%
GNK
52%

Top Statistics

0 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 5
51 Dangerous attacks 48
49 Possession 51
5 Corners 4
15 Free kicks 4
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

3 Substitutions 4
0 Hit Woodwork 1
8 Goal Kicks 4
14 Throwins 14
46 Successful Dribbles Percentage 70
1 Goal Attempts 5
73 Ball Safe 84
13 Dribble Attempts 20
6 Successful Dribbles 14

Attacking

0 Big Chances Missed 1
87 Attacks 109

Possession

7 Key Passes 12
373 Successful Passes 406
461 Passes 483
81 Successful Passes Percentage 84
52 Long Passes 58
19 Successful Long Passes 20
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 34

Defensive

4 Saves 4
18 Tackles 16
10 Interceptions 5
61 Duels Won 45

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 22
5 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
4 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Nicolas Laforge

Starting XI ▼

1
Matthieu Epolo
Matthieu Epolo Goalkeeper
7.36
3
Gustav Julius Mortensen
Gustav Julius Mortensen Defender
6.96
4
David Bates
David Bates Defender
7.54
13
Marlon Fossey
Marlon Fossey (C) Defender
7.49
7
Tobias Mohr
Tobias Mohr
Midfielder63'
6.84
18
Henry Lawrence
Henry Lawrence Defender
7.03
25
Ibe Hautekiet
Ibe Hautekiet Defender
7.08
11
Adnane Abid
Adnane Abid Midfielder
7.27
17
Rafiki Saïd
Rafiki Saïd Midfielder
7.25
20
Ibrahim Karamoko
Ibrahim Karamoko Midfielder
7.17
23
Marco Ilaimaharitra
Marco Ilaimaharitra Midfielder
6.08
80
Teddy Teuma
Teddy Teuma
Midfielder63'
6.9
10
Dennis Eckert Ayensa
Dennis Eckert Ayensa Attacker
6.82
59
Timothé Nkada
Timothé Nkada
Attacker73'
6.44
Referee : Nicolas Laforge

Starting XI ▼

28
Lucca Brughmans
Lucca Brughmans Goalkeeper
7.49
6
Matte Smets
Matte Smets Defender
6.91
18
Joris Kayembe
Joris Kayembe Defender
7.19
44
Josué Kongolo
Josué Kongolo Defender
7.26
77
Zakaria El Ouahdi
Zakaria El Ouahdi Defender
7.01
8
Bryan Heynen
Bryan Heynen (C) Midfielder
6.8
10
Junya Ito
Junya Ito Midfielder
7.26
27
Ken Nkuba
Ken Nkuba
Defender88'
21
Ibrahima Bangoura
Ibrahima Bangoura Midfielder
6.59
24
Nikolas Sattlberger
Nikolas Sattlberger
Midfielder46'
6.72
32
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg Midfielder
6.66
30
Ayumu Yokoyama
Ayumu Yokoyama
Attacker34'
6.91
23
Aaron Bibout
Aaron Bibout Attacker
6.9
29
Robin Mirisola
Robin Mirisola Attacker
7.35
99
Jusef Erabi
Jusef Erabi
Attacker80'
6.72

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Ken Nkuba → Junya Ito
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Jusef Erabi → Robin Mirisola
6th Substitution
Event
Dennis Eckert Ayensa
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
73'
Event
Timothé Nkada → Dennis Eckert Ayensa
5th Substitution
73'
73'
Event
Josué Kongolo
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Tobias Mohr → Marlon Fossey
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Teddy Teuma → Marco Ilaimaharitra
4th Substitution
63'
46'
Event
Nikolas Sattlberger → Ibrahima Bangoura
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Event
Zakaria El Ouahdi
Persistent fouling / 1st Yellowcard
34'
Event
Ayumu Yokoyama → Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Josue Ndenge Kongolo attempts a header but misses the shot.
90
Attempt Attempt
Ken Nkuba takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
88
Update Update
Ken Nkuba comes on for Junya Ito.
88
Attempt Attempt
Aaron Bibout takes a right-footed shot but misses.
85
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Karamoko takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
85
Attempt Attempt
Junya Ito's right-footed shot is saved.
84
Attempt Attempt
Zakaria El Ouahdi takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
84
Attempt Attempt
Aaron Bibout takes a header shot, but it misses the target.
82
Attempt Attempt
Teddy Teuma takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
82
Attempt Attempt
Teddy Teuma takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
81
Attempt Attempt
Joris Kayembe's right-footed shot is saved.
80
Update Update
Jusef Erabi comes on for Robin Mirisola.
79
Attempt Attempt
Zakaria El Ouahdi takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
78
Attempt Attempt
Rafiki Said takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
73
Update Update
Timothe Nkada comes on for Dennis Eckert.
69
Attempt Attempt
Aaron Bibout takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
64
Attempt Attempt
Robin Mirisola takes a left-footed shot but misses.
63
Update Update
Tobias Mohr comes on for Marlon Fossey.
63
Update Update
Teddy Teuma comes on for Marco Ilaimaharitra.
62
Attempt Attempt
Adnane Abid takes a right-footed shot but misses.
60
Attempt Attempt
Zakaria El Ouahdi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
60
Attempt Attempt
Zakaria El Ouahdi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
60
Attempt Attempt
Nikolas Sattlberger takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
60
Attempt Attempt
Rafiki Said takes a right-footed shot but misses.
54
Attempt Attempt
Dennis Eckert takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
50
Attempt Attempt
Rafiki Said takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
49
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Karamoko takes a header, but it's saved.
46
Update Update
Nikolas Sattlberger comes on for Ibrahima Sory Bangoura.
45
Attempt Attempt
Robin Mirisola takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Ayumu Yokoyama takes a left-footed shot but misses.
37
Attempt Attempt
Rafiki Said takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
36
Attempt Attempt
Ayumu Yokoyama takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
36
Attempt Attempt
Junya Ito takes a left-footed shot but misses.
34
Update Update
Ayumu Yokoyama comes on for Noah Adedeji-Sternberg.
30
Attempt Attempt
Zakaria El Ouahdi takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
24
Attempt Attempt
Robin Mirisola takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
15
Attempt Attempt
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
10
Attempt Attempt
Aaron Bibout takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
8
Attempt Attempt
Dennis Eckert's left-footed shot is blocked.

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw underscored defensive resilience from both Standard Liège and Genk in a match where chances remained scarce. Genk held a clear edge in expected goals but could not translate that into a goal despite greater possession. Standard Liège maintained a compact shape that limited clear openings for the visitors. The absence of red cards allowed both teams to keep full squads on the pitch throughout. This result leaves both sides with a point from a balanced encounter that prioritized caution over risk. Future fixtures may see adjustments in attacking intent as teams seek to improve conversion rates from created opportunities.

Standard Liège vs Genk preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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