Standard Liège vs Genk Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stade Maurice Dufrasne Sat, 16 May - 4:15 PM
Pro League
Standard Liège STL
Versus
Genk GNK
KICKOFF : Sat, 16 May - 4:15 PM
Round 8 Conference League Play-off Group

CONTEXT

Standard Liège host Genk in Pro League (Conference League Play-off Group) at Stade Maurice Dufrasne. Power ranking favours Genk by 5.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Genk holds a 5.5-point power advantage over Standard Liège with scores of 77.2 versus 71.66.
  • Form: Standard Liège slightly leads in form score at 21.67 compared to Genk's 21.11.
  • Squad: No specific squad composition or injury updates available for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable in the provided data.
  • Transition: Transition play analysis unavailable due to lack of detailed metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable as xG metrics are not enabled for either team.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable across attack and defense for both sides.
  • Market: Standard Liège 29.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.9% (Δ+0%) | Genk 43.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Standard Liège V. Euvrard
V. Euvrard
VS
Genk N. Hayen
N. Hayen
1.57
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.48
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
OH Leuven Rank: 65 W
Antwerp Rank: 72 W
Genk Rank: 77 D
Antwerp Rank: 70 L
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 72 W
Westerlo Rank: 70 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Westerlo Rank: 71 W
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 70 L
Standard Liège Rank: 69 D
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 69 D
Westerlo Rank: 70 W
OH Leuven Rank: 64 D
26
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
26 - 16 - 15
15
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Standard Liège
29.52%
Draw
26.91%
Away Genk
43.57%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.66
77.2
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Standard Liège
Genk
Power Score
71.66
77.2
League Position
8
7
Global Rank
175
90

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Standard Liège — Opponent-weighted form score
Genk — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Standard Liège Genk

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 57 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Standard Liège STL Home
57 matches
Genk GNK Away
Match Record
26
Wins
15
16
Draws
16
15
Losses
26
Goals
76
Goals Scored
55
55
Goals Conceded
76
+21
Goal Difference
-21

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T00:08:28+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
L. Epolo Matthieu
1 L. Epolo Matthieu
I. Hautekiet
25 I. Hautekiet
D. Bates
4 D. Bates
J. Homawoo
24 J. Homawoo
H. Lawrence
18 H. Lawrence
C. Nielsen
94 C. Nielsen
I. Karamoko
20 I. Karamoko
G. Mortensen
3 G. Mortensen
A. Adnane
11 A. Adnane
R. Said Ahamada
17 R. Said Ahamada
T. NKada
59 T. NKada
Pitch
L. Kiaba Mounganga
28 L. Kiaba Mounganga
J. Kayembe Ditu
18 J. Kayembe Ditu
J. Ndenge Kongolo
44 J. Ndenge Kongolo
M. Smets
6 M. Smets
Z. El Ouahdi
77 Z. El Ouahdi
B. Heynen
8 B. Heynen
I. Bangoura
21 I. Bangoura
J. Ito
10 J. Ito
D. Heymans
38 D. Heymans
K. Karetsas
20 K. Karetsas
A. Bibout
23 A. Bibout

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 04:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 8 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium :
Stade Maurice Dufrasne
Capacity :
27670
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Matthieu Epolo
Matthieu Epolo Goalkeeper
7.1
3
Gustav Julius Mortensen
Gustav Julius Mortensen Midfielder
6.68
11
Adnane Abid
Adnane Abid Midfielder
6.85
17
Rafiki Saïd
Rafiki Saïd Midfielder
6.94
18
Henry Lawrence
Henry Lawrence Midfielder
6.73
59
Timothé Nkada
Timothé Nkada Centre Forward
6.5
25
Ibe Hautekiet
Ibe Hautekiet Right Back
6.91
94
Casper Nielsen
Casper Nielsen Central Midfield
6.87
4
David Bates
David Bates Centre Back
6.97
20
Ibrahim Karamoko
Ibrahim Karamoko Central Midfield
6.73
24
Josué Homawoo
Josué Homawoo Left Back
6.86

Starting XI ▼

28
Lucca Brughmans
Lucca Brughmans Goalkeeper
6.74
23
Aaron Bibout
Aaron Bibout Centre Forward
6.88
8
Bryan Heynen
Bryan Heynen Defensive Midfield
7.25
21
Ibrahima Bangoura
Ibrahima Bangoura Defensive Midfield
6.75
6
Matte Smets
Matte Smets Right Back
7.12
10
Junya Ito
Junya Ito Left Wing
7.06
18
Joris Kayembe
Joris Kayembe Left Back
6.92
20
Konstantinos Karetsas
Konstantinos Karetsas Right Wing
6.96
38
Daan Heymans
Daan Heymans Attacking Midfield
7.17
44
Josué Kongolo
Josué Kongolo Left Back
6.74
77
Zakaria El Ouahdi
Zakaria El Ouahdi Right Back
7.18

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Genk holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Genk a 5.5-point edge. External projection is Standard Liège 29.5%, draw 26.9%, and Genk 43.6%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Standard Liège vs Genk preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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