Vålerenga vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Intility Arena Sat, 16 May - 6:00 PM
Eliteserien
Vålerenga Vålerenga
Versus
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08
KICKOFF : Sat, 16 May - 6:00 PM
Round 9 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Vålerenga host Sarpsborg 08 in Eliteserien (Regular Season) at Intility Arena. Domestically, Vålerenga sit 11th in the table while Sarpsborg 08 are 9th. Power ranking favours Sarpsborg 08 by 0.6 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sarpsborg 08 possesses a slight 0.6-point power advantage over Vålerenga at Intility Arena.
  • Form: Vålerenga and Sarpsborg 08 both register form scores of zero.
  • Squad: League standings place Vålerenga 11th and Sarpsborg 08 9th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency statistics are unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition data remains unspecified in available metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance shows low confidence with no xG data for either team.
  • xVariable: xG metrics unavailable as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Vålerenga 49.9% (Δ+0.4%) | Draw 24.5% (Δ-0.1%) | Sarpsborg 08 25.6% (Δ-0.3%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Vålerenga P. Myhre
P. Myhre
VS
Sarpsborg 08 E. Sel
E. Sel
0.9
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.4
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
HamKam Rank: 60 L
KFUM Rank: 56 D
Molde Rank: 64 L
Lillestrøm Rank: 54 L
Fredrikstad Rank: 60 D
Viking Rank: 79 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 W
Lillestrøm Rank: 56 L
KFUM Rank: 55 L
Tromsø Rank: 68 L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 82 D
Rosenborg Rank: 63 L
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 8 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Vålerenga
49.9%
Draw
24.46%
Away Sarpsborg 08
25.64%

Movement

Changes since opening
Vålerenga
+0.43%
Draw
-0.12%
Sarpsborg 08
-0.31%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.9
59.51
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Vålerenga
Sarpsborg 08
Power Score
58.9
59.51
League Position
11
9
Global Rank
535
517

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Vålerenga — Opponent-weighted form score
Sarpsborg 08 — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vålerenga Sarpsborg 08

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vålerenga Vålerenga Home
0 matches
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T00:21:26+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
O. Hedvall
1 O. Hedvall
V. Eggen Hedenstad
6 V. Eggen Hedenstad
A. Olsen
4 A. Olsen
I. Näsberg
37 I. Näsberg
K. Finnsson
2 K. Finnsson
L. Janus Ravn-Haren
77 L. Janus Ravn-Haren
M. Westergaard
28 M. Westergaard
C. Lange
10 C. Lange
F. Thorvaldsen
26 F. Thorvaldsen
H. Bjørdal
8 H. Bjørdal
M. Grundetjern
17 M. Grundetjern
Pitch
M. Ndiaye
1 M. Ndiaye
A. Hiim
21 A. Hiim
M. Koch
2 M. Koch
B. Utvik
4 B. Utvik
C. Niyukuri
12 C. Niyukuri
S. Christiansen
8 S. Christiansen
A. Sher
6 A. Sher
A. Hansen
33 A. Hansen
V. Halvorsen
22 V. Halvorsen
S. Sørli
10 S. Sørli
D. Seland Karlsbakk
11 D. Seland Karlsbakk

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 9 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Intility Arena
Capacity :
3000
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Oscar Hedvall
Oscar Hedvall Goalkeeper
6.81
77
Lucas Haren
Lucas Haren Midfielder
6.8
26
Filip Thorvaldsen
Filip Thorvaldsen Midfielder
6.6
8
Henrik Bjørdal
Henrik Bjørdal Attacker
7.12
17
M. Grundetjern
M. Grundetjern Attacker
6.97
4
Aaron Kiil Olsen
Aaron Kiil Olsen Right Back
6.88
6
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad Right Back
6.45
37
Ivan Näsberg
Ivan Näsberg Left Back
6.96
2
Kolbeinn Finnsson
Kolbeinn Finnsson Left Back
7.03
10
Carl Lange
Carl Lange Central Midfield
6.95
28
Magnus Westergaard
Magnus Westergaard Central Midfield
6.9

Starting XI ▼

1
Mamour Ndiaye
Mamour Ndiaye Goalkeeper
6.99
11
Daniel Karlsbakk
Daniel Karlsbakk Centre Forward
6.42
12
Claus Niyukuri
Claus Niyukuri Right Back
6.68
21
Anders Hiim
Anders Hiim Left Back
6.78
33
Andreas Hansen
Andreas Hansen Left Wing
6.74
22
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen Attacking Midfield
6.93
2
Menno Koch
Menno Koch Left Back
6.62
4
Bjørn Inge Utvik
Bjørn Inge Utvik Right Back
6.97
6
Aimar Sher
Aimar Sher Defensive Midfield
7.36
8
Sander Christiansen
Sander Christiansen Defensive Midfield
6.78
10
Sondre Sörli
Sondre Sörli Right Wing
6.76

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Sarpsborg 08 holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Sarpsborg 08 a 0.6-point edge. External projection is Vålerenga 49.5%, draw 24.6%, and Sarpsborg 08 26%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Vålerenga vs Sarpsborg 08 preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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