Castellón vs Cádiz Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Nou Estadi Castalia Today - 6:30 PM
La Liga 2
Castellón Castellón
1 – 1
Cádiz CAD
Full Time Today 6:30 PM
Round 40 Regular Season
Brian Cipenga - 54'
Goal
|
Goal
Pelayo Fernández - 73'

CONTEXT

Castellón hosted Cádiz in a match that concluded with a 1-1 scoreline after both teams failed to score in the first half. The home side controlled the majority of the ball with 62 percent possession but the visitors managed to secure a point on the road. This result came despite Castellón being the stronger team entering the fixture. The game featured no dismissals and remained balanced in terms of numerical strength on the pitch. Significant deviation from anticipated outcomes was evident as the draw prevailed over a home victory. The second half saw adjustments that led to the equalizing goal for each side eventually. Overall the performance reflected a hard-fought battle where neither could claim supremacy.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Castellón 1-1 Cádiz. Castellón showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the overall performance metrics observed.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to the absence of expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: The final result did not align with pre-match expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations remained undetermined given the lack of recorded values.
  • Event impact: The draw maintained parity between the sides in the league standings.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued resulting in no distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

G. Cid Camacho

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

League averages

La Liga 2 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.79
Yellow cards / match 4.86
Red cards / match 0.28
Penalties / match 0.33
Castellón P. Hernández Domínguez
P. Hernández Domínguez
VS
Cádiz J. Idiakez Barkaiztegui
J. Idiakez Barkaiztegui
1.88
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.69
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ceuta Rank: 62 D
Córdoba Rank: 63 L
Málaga Rank: 68 W
Burgos Rank: 67 W
Mirandés Rank: 58 D
Granada Rank: 64 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 69 L
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 56 D
Las Palmas Rank: 70 L
Sporting Gijón Rank: 63 L
FC Andorra Rank: 67 L
Córdoba Rank: 65 L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 2 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Castellón
75.64%
Draw
15.03%
Away Cádiz
9.33%

Movement

Changes since opening
Castellón
+69.47%
Draw
-73.93%
Cádiz
+4.46%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.83
56.12
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Castellón
Cádiz
Power Score
67.83
56.12
League Position
6
18
Global Rank
255
611

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Castellón — Opponent-weighted form score
Cádiz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Castellón Cádiz

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Castellón

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Cádiz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Castellón ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cádiz
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Castellón Cádiz
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Castellón Cádiz
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Castellón
Cádiz
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Castellón
vs
Cádiz
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Castellón Cádiz
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Castellón 0.00
Cádiz 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Castellón Cádiz
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Castellón 0.00
Cádiz 0.00
Castellón
Cádiz
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Castellón had peak pressure around 89'.
  • Castellón started the game with stronger pressure.
Castellón Pressure CAD Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Castellón reached the top pressure at 89' (94.84).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Castellón Castellón Home
10 matches
Cádiz CAD Away
Match Record
5
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
5
Goals
13
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
13
+5
Goal Difference
-5

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T18:15:26+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
R. Matthys
Belgium
13 R. Matthys
J. Mellot
Substitution
France
22 J. Mellot
A. Jiménez Benítez
Spain
5 A. Jiménez Benítez
F. Brignani
Italy
3 F. Brignani
L. Alcázar Moreno
Substitution
Spain
12 L. Alcázar Moreno
B. Kibambe Cipenga
Substitution
DR Congo
16 B. Kibambe Cipenga
B. Gerenabarrena Zendoia
Spain
15 B. Gerenabarrena Zendoia
D. Hernández Barriuso
Substitution
Spain
8 D. Hernández Barriuso
A. Jakobsen
Substitution
Denmark
19 A. Jakobsen
A. Calatrava Torrado
Spain
21 A. Calatrava Torrado
O. Camara
Substitution
Guinea
9 O. Camara
Pitch
D. Gil Mohedano
Spain
1 D. Gil Mohedano
S. Arribas Prieto
Substitution
Spain
38 S. Arribas Prieto
I. Ortega
Substitution
Spain
6 I. Ortega
P. Fernández Balboa
Spain
27 P. Fernández Balboa
J. Díaz Peregrina
34 J. Díaz Peregrina
Antonio Cordero
16 Antonio Cordero
S. Ortuño Díaz
Substitution
Spain
15 S. Ortuño Díaz
R. N'Guessan
Mali
3 R. N'Guessan
J. de la Rosa
Substitution
Spain
19 J. de la Rosa
Y. Diarra
Substitution
Mali
18 Y. Diarra
L. Pérez Martínez
Substitution
Spain
7 L. Pérez Martínez

General Information

Date & Time :
May 15, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 40 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Nou Estadi Castalia
Capacity :
15500
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Germán Cid Camacho

Statistics

Possession
Castellón
61%
CAD
39%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 2
16 Shots 3
94 Dangerous attacks 10
62 Possession 38
6 Corners 1
14 Free kicks 14
3 Yellow Cards 6

Match Overview

6 Substitutions 6
1 Assists 0
35 Throwins 14
22 Dribble Attempts 16
27 Successful Dribbles Percentage 56
1 Goal Kicks 15
6 Successful Dribbles 9

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 1
124 Attacks 61

Possession

32 Long Passes 56
85 Successful Passes Percentage 73
417 Successful Passes 232
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 20
493 Passes 320
13 Successful Long Passes 11
13 Key Passes 2

Defensive

48 Duels Won 57
6 Interceptions 9
16 Tackles 26
3 Saves 1

Build-up

9 Accurate Crosses 1
29 Total Crosses 4

Discipline

4 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Germán Cid Camacho

Starting XI ▼

13
Romain Matthys
Romain Matthys Goalkeeper
6.85
3
Fabrizio Brignani
Fabrizio Brignani Defender
6.76
5
Alberto Jiménez
Alberto Jiménez Defender
7.15
12
Lucas Alcázar
Lucas Alcázar Defender
6.79
2
Tincho Conde
Tincho Conde
Defender64'
6.4
22
Jérémy Mellot
Jérémy Mellot Defender
6.95
11
Douglas Aurélio
Douglas Aurélio
Attacker80'
6.79
8
Diego Barri
Diego Barri Midfielder
6.83
10
Israel Suero
Israel Suero
Midfielder80'
6.9
15
Beñat Gerenabarrena
Beñat Gerenabarrena Midfielder
6.95
16
Brian Cipenga
Brian Cipenga Midfielder
7.03
6
Marc-Olivier Doué
Marc-Olivier Doué
Midfielder80'
6.62
19
Adam Jakobsen
Adam Jakobsen Midfielder
6.66
7
Awer Mabil
Awer Mabil
Midfielder57'
6.83
9
Ousmane Camara
Ousmane Camara Attacker
6.89
23
Álvaro García
Álvaro García
Attacker75'
6.68
21
Álex Calatrava
Álex Calatrava Attacker
7.28
Referee : Germán Cid Camacho

Starting XI ▼

1
David Gil
David Gil Goalkeeper
7.02
6
Iker Recio
Iker Recio Defender
6.72
14
Bojan Kovacevic
Bojan Kovacevic
Defender37'
6.68
27
Pelayo Fernández
Pelayo Fernández Defender
6.52
34
Juan Díaz
Juan Díaz Defender
6.75
38
Sergio Arribas
Sergio Arribas Defender
6.82
21
Mario Climent
Mario Climent
Defender73'
6.74
3
Rominigue Kouamé
Rominigue Kouamé Midfielder
6.62
15
Sergio Ortuño
Sergio Ortuño Midfielder
6.92
23
García Pascual
García Pascual
Attacker69'
6.8
16
Antoñito Cordero
Antoñito Cordero Midfielder
6.72
19
José Antonio de la Rosa
José Antonio de la Rosa Midfielder
6.58
10
Brian Ocampo
Brian Ocampo
Attacker69'
6.73
7
Lucas Pérez
Lucas Pérez Attacker
6.65
17
Dawda Camara
Dawda Camara
Attacker69'
6.64
18
Yussi Diarra
Yussi Diarra Attacker
6.59
8
Álex Fernández
Álex Fernández
Midfielder87'
6.71

Events

2ND-HALF
90+9'
Event
Dawda Camara
Time wasting / 9th Yellowcard
90+7'
Event
García Pascual
Time wasting / 8th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Brian Ocampo
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
88'
Event
David Gil
Time wasting / 6th Yellowcard
87'
Event
Álex Fernández → Yussi Diarra
12th Substitution
Event
Marc-Olivier Doué → Brian Cipenga
10th Substitution
80'
Event
Israel Suero → Diego Barri
11th Substitution
80'
Event
Douglas Aurélio → Jérémy Mellot
9th Substitution
80'
Event
Jérémy Mellot
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
76'
Event
Álvaro García → Ousmane Camara
8th Substitution
75'
73'
Event
Pelayo Fernández
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
73'
Event
Mario Climent → Sergio Arribas
7th Substitution
Event
Diego Barri
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
70'
69'
Event
García Pascual → Sergio Ortuño
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Dawda Camara → Lucas Pérez
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Brian Ocampo → José Antonio de la Rosa
5th Substitution
Event
Tincho Conde → Lucas Alcázar
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
Awer Mabil → Adam Jakobsen
2nd Substitution
57'
Event
Brian Cipenga
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
54'
47'
Event
Lucas Pérez
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
37'
Event
Bojan Kovacevic → Iker Recio
1st Substitution
Event
Var
26'
21'
Event
Rominigue Kouamé
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Ousmane Camara
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
7'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Marc Olivier Doue takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
88
Attempt Attempt
Alvaro Garcia attempts a header but misses the shot.
87
Update Update
Alejandro Fernandez Iglesias comes on for Youssouf Diarra.
84
Attempt Attempt
Fabrizio Brignani attempts a header but misses the shot.
82
Attempt Attempt
Israel Suero Fernández takes a left-footed shot but misses.
81
Update Update
Douglas Aurelio is on, and Jeremy Mellot is off.
80
Update Update
Israel Suero Fernández is on, and Barri is off.
80
Substitution Substitution
Marc Olivier Doue is substituted for Brian Cipenga.
80
Attempt Attempt
Alex Calatrava takes a left-footed shot but misses.
78
Attempt Attempt
Alex Calatrava takes a left-footed shot but misses.
74
Update Update
Alvaro Garcia is on, and Camara Ousmane is off.
73
Attempt Attempt
Pelayo Fernandez scores with a right-footed shot.
73
Update Update
Mario Climent comes on for Sergio Arribas.
73
Attempt Attempt
Alvaro Pascual's header is saved.
71
Attempt Attempt
Alex Calatrava takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
69
Update Update
Alvaro Pascual replaces Sergio Ortuno.
69
Update Update
Dawda Camara Sankhare is on, and Lucas Perez Martinez is off.
69
Update Update
Alvaro Pascual comes on for Sergio Ortuno.
66
Attempt Attempt
A right-footed shot by Barri is blocked.
64
Update Update
Martin Conde replaces Lucas Alcazar Moreno.
57
Update Update
Awer Mabil comes on for Adam Jakobsen.
54
Attempt Attempt
Brian Cipenga takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Brian Cipenga scores, making it 1-0.
48
Attempt Attempt
Alex Calatrava takes a right-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Alex Calatrava takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
44
Attempt Attempt
Fabrizio Brignani attempts a header but misses the shot.
44
Attempt Attempt
Fabrizio Brignani attempts a header but misses the shot.
41
Attempt Attempt
Alex Calatrava takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
40
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Cordero's right-footed shot is saved.
37
Update Update
Bojan Kovacevic comes on for Iker Recio Ortega.
22
Attempt Attempt
Adam Jakobsen attempts a header but misses the shot.
16
Attempt Attempt
Camara Ousmane takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
14
Attempt Attempt
Brian Cipenga takes a right-footed shot but misses.
9
Attempt Attempt
Benat Gerenabarrena takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Benat Gerenabarrena takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
5
Attempt Attempt
Jose Antonio de la Rosa takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw leaves both Castellón and Cádiz with valuable lessons heading into upcoming fixtures. Castellón will likely review their inability to convert possession dominance into more goals despite creating opportunities throughout the second half. Cádiz on the other hand demonstrated resilience by holding firm against sustained pressure and earning a result away from home. The absence of any red cards allowed for a full-strength contest that showcased tactical discipline from both coaches. Moving forward Castellón must address finishing efficiency while Cádiz can build confidence from this hard-earned point. This outcome underscores the fine margins in competitive encounters where possession does not always translate directly to victory.

Castellón vs Cádiz preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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