Girona vs Real Sociedad Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi Thu, 14 May - 6:00 PM
La Liga
Girona GIR
Versus
Real Sociedad RSO
KICKOFF : Thu, 14 May - 6:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Girona welcomes Real Sociedad to Estadi Municipal de Montilivi for a crucial La Liga regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. Despite hosting, Girona faces an uphill battle against a structurally superior Real Sociedad, who boast a power score of 80.19 compared to Girona's 75.37, translating to a 4.8-point advantage. League standings reflect this disparity, with Real Sociedad in 9th place and Girona languishing in 16th. However, recent form offers Girona a glimmer of hope, as their 17.56 form score outpaces Real Sociedad's 12.5, suggesting momentum could play a pivotal role. Both teams lack detailed efficiency and set-piece metrics due to unavailable xG data, forcing reliance on broader trends. Real Sociedad's higher power rating underscores their quality in open play and transitions, while Girona will aim to leverage home advantage and superior recent results to bridge the gap. This matchup pits Sociedad's consistency against Girona's resurgence in a tightly contested mid-table skirmish.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Real Sociedad holds a 4.8-point power advantage over Girona with scores of 80.19 versus 75.37.
  • Form: Girona boasts a higher form score of 17.56 compared to Real Sociedad's 12.5.
  • Squad: Real Sociedad sits 9th in the league table while Girona occupies 16th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Real Sociedad's superior power score indicates stronger transition play potential.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece metrics show low confidence with proxy data used and no xG available.
  • xVariable: No xG data available, limiting advanced variable analysis for both sides.
  • Market: Baseline split: Girona 44.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.8% (Δ+0%) | Real Sociedad 30% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Girona M. Sánchez Muñoz
M. Sánchez Muñoz
VS
Real Sociedad P. Matarazzo
P. Matarazzo
1.26
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.35
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 79 D
Mallorca Rank: 75 L
Valencia Rank: 76 L
Real Betis Rank: 80 L
Real Madrid Rank: 93 D
Villarreal Rank: 84 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Betis Rank: 82 D
Sevilla Rank: 72 L
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 76 D
Getafe Rank: 76 L
Deportivo Alavés Rank: 76 D
Levante Rank: 74 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 8 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Girona
44.23%
Draw
25.8%
Away Real Sociedad
29.96%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.37
80.19
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Girona
Real Sociedad
Power Score
75.37
80.19
League Position
16
9
Global Rank
112
60

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Girona — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Sociedad — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Girona Real Sociedad

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Girona GIR Home
15 matches
Real Sociedad RSO Away
Match Record
2
Wins
5
8
Draws
8
5
Losses
2
Goals
14
Goals Scored
23
23
Goals Conceded
14
-9
Goal Difference
+9

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:53:49+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 14, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Capacity :
14624
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

13
Paulo Dino Gazzaniga
Paulo Dino Gazzaniga Goalkeeper
22
Marc-André ter Stegen
Marc-André ter Stegen Goalkeeper
1
Rubén Blanco Veiga
Rubén Blanco Veiga Goalkeeper
—
Juan Carlos Martín Corral
Juan Carlos Martín Corral Goalkeeper
25
Krapyvtsov Vladyslav
Krapyvtsov Vladyslav Goalkeeper
17
Daley Blind
Daley Blind Defender
5
David López Silva
David López Silva Defender
24
Alejandro Moreno Lopera
Alejandro Moreno Lopera Defender
16
Alejandro Francés Torrijo
Alejandro Francés Torrijo Defender
4
Arnau Martinez
Arnau Martinez Defender
2
Hugo Rincón Lumbreras
Hugo Rincón Lumbreras Defender
12
Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis Defender
6
Donny van de Beek
Donny van de Beek Midfielder
20
Axel Witsel
Axel Witsel Midfielder
11
Thomas Lemar
Thomas Lemar Midfielder
8
Francisco José Beltrán Peinado
Francisco José Beltrán Peinado Midfielder
23
Iván Martín Núñez
Iván Martín Núñez Midfielder
18
Azzedine Ounahi
Azzedine Ounahi Midfielder
14
Claudio Echeverri
Claudio Echeverri Midfielder
29
Lancinet Kourouma Kourouma
Lancinet Kourouma Kourouma Midfielder
7
Cristhian Ricardo Stuani Curbelo
Cristhian Ricardo Stuani Curbelo Attacker
—
Cristian Portugués Manzanera
Cristian Portugués Manzanera Attacker
15
Viktor Tsygankov
Viktor Tsygankov Attacker
9
Abel Ruiz Ortega
Abel Ruiz Ortega Attacker
21
Bryan Gil Salvatierra
Bryan Gil Salvatierra Attacker
19
Vladyslav Vanat
Vladyslav Vanat Attacker
3
Joel Roca Casals
Joel Roca Casals Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Alejandro Remiro Gargallo
Alejandro Remiro Gargallo Goalkeeper
13
Unai Marrero Larrañaga
Unai Marrero Larrañaga Goalkeeper
16
Duje Ćaleta-Car
Duje Ćaleta-Car Defender
6
Aritz Elustondo Irribaria
Aritz Elustondo Irribaria Defender
5
Igor Zubeldía Elorza
Igor Zubeldía Elorza Defender
20
Álvaro Odriozola Arzallus
Álvaro Odriozola Arzallus Defender
3
Aihen Muñoz Capellán
Aihen Muñoz Capellán Defender
17
Sergio Gómez Martín
Sergio Gómez Martín Defender
2
Jon Mikel Aramburu Mejías
Jon Mikel Aramburu Mejías Defender
31
Jon Martín Vicente
Jon Martín Vicente Defender
18
Carlos Soler Barragán
Carlos Soler Barragán Midfielder
12
Yangel Clemente Herrera Ravelo
Yangel Clemente Herrera Ravelo Midfielder
23
Brais Méndez Portela
Brais Méndez Portela Midfielder
24
Luka Sučić
Luka Sučić Midfielder
8
Beñat Turrientes Imaz
Beñat Turrientes Imaz Midfielder
21
Arsen Zakharyan
Arsen Zakharyan Midfielder
4
Jon Gorrotxategi Etxaniz
Jon Gorrotxategi Etxaniz Midfielder
15
Pablo Marín Tejada
Pablo Marín Tejada Midfielder
11
Gonçalo Manuel Ganchinho Guedes
Gonçalo Manuel Ganchinho Guedes Attacker
10
Mikel Oyarzabal Ugarte
Mikel Oyarzabal Ugarte Attacker
14
Takefusa Kubo
Takefusa Kubo Attacker
7
Ander Barrenetxea Muguruza
Ander Barrenetxea Muguruza Attacker
9
Orri Steinn Óskarsson
Orri Steinn Óskarsson Attacker
19
Jon Karrika
Jon Karrika Attacker
22
Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira
Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira Attacker

CONCLUSION

Real Sociedad arrives as the stronger side on paper, with their power edge and higher league position poised to challenge Girona's home turf. Yet Girona's better form score hints at possible disruption, especially if they capitalize on Montilivi's atmosphere. Without granular set-piece or efficiency insights, the focus shifts to overall execution in transitions and open play, where Sociedad's quality may prevail. Girona must maintain defensive solidity while exploiting any Sociedad lapses to secure points. Expect a competitive encounter where Sociedad's structural superiority clashes with Girona's momentum, likely tilting narrowly in the visitors' favor barring surprises.

Girona vs Real Sociedad preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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