Widzew Lodz vs Lechia Gdańsk Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź Sat, 9 May - 12:45 PM
Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz
3 Winner 1
Lechia Gdańsk LGD
Full Time Sat, 9 May 12:45 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
Steve Kapuadi - 37'
Sebastian Bergier - 28', 10'
Goal
|
Goal
Ivan Zhelizko - 66'
Juljan Shehu 88' Second yellow card
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Widzew Lodz 3–1 Lechia Gdańsk. The result saw Widzew Lodz take the points. Widzew Lodz showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 52%–48%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Widzew Lodz exhibited a significant 55% structural deviation favoring their dominant performance.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies stayed in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be assessed due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Final outcome aligned fully with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations remain unevaluable without underlying metrics.
  • Event impact: Red card event altered second-half flow after 3-0 halftime lead.
  • Red card distortion: Home red card distorted proceedings, prompting second-half adjustments.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. Przybył

Poland 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Mucha

1st Assistant

Poland

S. Kowalewski

2nd Assistant

Poland

L. Lewandowski

4th Official

Poland

League averages

Ekstraklasa Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 20.97
Yellow cards / match 3.19
Red cards / match 0.2
Penalties / match 0.2
Widzew Lodz A. Vukovic
A. Vukovic
VS
Lechia Gdańsk J. Carver
J. Carver
1.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.56
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Legia Warszawa Rank: 64 L
Motor Lublin Rank: 60 W
Radomiak Radom Rank: 58 L
Nieciecza Rank: 52 W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 69 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 67 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Radomiak Radom Rank: 61 L
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 68 L
Piast Gliwice Rank: 59 D
Wisła Płock Rank: 57 L
Korona Kielce Rank: 60 W
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 62 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 3 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Widzew Lodz
44.95%
Draw
27.52%
Away Lechia Gdańsk
27.52%

Movement

Changes since opening
Widzew Lodz
-52.91%
Draw
+25.6%
Lechia Gdańsk
+27.3%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.71
59.04
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Widzew Lodz
Lechia Gdańsk
Power Score
60.71
59.04
League Position
12
16
Global Rank
467
532

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Widzew Lodz — Opponent-weighted form score
Lechia Gdańsk — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Widzew Lodz Lechia Gdańsk

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Widzew Lodz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Lechia Gdańsk

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Widzew Lodz ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lechia Gdańsk
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.42
27.92
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.92
39.42
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Widzew Lodz +1.07 Efficiency Index
vs
Lechia Gdańsk -1.07 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Widzew Lodz
Lechia Gdańsk
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Widzew Lodz ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lechia Gdańsk
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Widzew Lodz Lechia Gdańsk
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Widzew Lodz Lechia Gdańsk
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Widzew Lodz
Lechia Gdańsk
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Widzew Lodz
vs
Lechia Gdańsk
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Widzew Lodz Lechia Gdańsk
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Widzew Lodz 0.36
Lechia Gdańsk 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Widzew Lodz Lechia Gdańsk
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Widzew Lodz 0.02
Lechia Gdańsk 0.06
Widzew Lodz
Lechia Gdańsk
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Widzew Lodz had peak pressure around 44'.
  • Widzew Lodz started the game with stronger pressure.
  • Both teams' pressure dropped after the 30th minute.
Widzew Lodz Pressure LGD Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Widzew Lodz reached the top pressure at 44' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz Home
13 matches
Lechia Gdańsk LGD Away
Match Record
3
Wins
7
3
Draws
3
7
Losses
3
Goals
13
Goals Scored
17
17
Goals Conceded
13
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:01:55+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
B. Drągowski
Poland
1 B. Drągowski
C. Muñoz Obejero
Substitution
Spain
2 C. Muñoz Obejero
P. Wisniewski
Poland
25 P. Wisniewski
S. Kapuadi
France
53 S. Kapuadi
S. Kozlovský
Slovakia
3 S. Kozlovský
F. Alvarez Rodríguez
Substitution
Spain
10 F. Alvarez Rodríguez
J. Shehu
Albania
6 J. Shehu
E. Kornvig
Denmark
8 E. Kornvig
Á. Baena Pérez
Substitution
Spain
77 Á. Baena Pérez
S. Bergier
Substitution
Poland
99 S. Bergier
M. Fornalczyk
Substitution
Poland
7 M. Fornalczyk
Pitch
A. Paulsen
New Zealand
18 A. Paulsen
M. Vojtko
Slovakia
27 M. Vojtko
M. Rodin
Croatia
80 M. Rodin
M. Dyachuk
Substitution
Ukraine
15 M. Dyachuk
B. Kłudka
Poland
2 B. Kłudka
I. Zhelizko
Ukraine
5 I. Zhelizko
R. Kapič
Substitution
Bosnia and Herzegovina
10 R. Kapič
A. Ćirković
Serbia
8 A. Ćirković
K. Sezonienko
Substitution
Poland
79 K. Sezonienko
C. Mena Márquez
Colombia
11 C. Mena Márquez
T. Bobček
Slovakia
89 T. Bobček

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 12:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź
Capacity :
18018
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Sebastian Mucha
S. Kowalewski
Leszek Lewandowski
Jarosław Przybył

Statistics

Possession
Widzew Lodz
53%
LGD
47%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 0
10 Shots 7
50 Dangerous attacks 48
52 Possession 48
2 Corners 2
15 Free kicks 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

12 Goal Kicks 9
11 Goal Attempts 6
15 Throwins 16
46 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36
11 Successful Dribbles 5
87 Ball Safe 74
24 Dribble Attempts 14
3 Assists 1
5 Substitutions 3
0 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

109 Attacks 104
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

54 Long Passes 53
22 Successful Long Passes 16
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 30
17 Key Passes 10
343 Successful Passes 297
429 Passes 391
80 Successful Passes Percentage 76

Defensive

14 Tackles 23
9 Interceptions 4
58 Duels Won 54
1 Saves 1

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 20
7 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

11 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Jarosław Przybył

Starting XI ▼

1
Bartlomiej Dragowski
Bartlomiej Dragowski Goalkeeper
2
Carlos Isaac
Carlos Isaac Defender
91
Marcel Krajewski
Marcel Krajewski
Defender46'
3
Samuel Kozlovský
Samuel Kozlovský Defender
25
Przemysław Wiśniewski
Przemysław Wiśniewski Defender
53
Steve Kapuadi
Steve Kapuadi Defender
6
Juljan Shehu
Juljan Shehu Midfielder
8
Emil Kornvig
Emil Kornvig Midfielder
10
Fran Álvarez
Fran Álvarez Midfielder
19
Bartlomiej Pawlowski
Bartlomiej Pawlowski
Midfielder83'
7
Mariusz Fornalczyk
Mariusz Fornalczyk Attacker
18
Lindon Selahi
Lindon Selahi
Midfielder83'
77
Ángel Baena
Ángel Baena Attacker
5
Stelios Andreou
Stelios Andreou
Defender79'
99
Sebastian Bergier
Sebastian Bergier Attacker
2
9
Andi Zeqiri
Andi Zeqiri
Attacker87'
Referee : Jarosław Przybył

Starting XI ▼

18
Alex Paulsen
Alex Paulsen Goalkeeper
2
Bartlomiej Kludka
Bartlomiej Kludka Defender
15
Maksym Dyachuk
Maksym Dyachuk Defender
21
Michal Glogowski
Michal Glogowski
Attacker90'
27
Matus Vojtko
Matus Vojtko Defender
80
Matej Rodin
Matej Rodin Defender
5
Ivan Zhelizko
Ivan Zhelizko Midfielder
8
Aleksandar Cirkovic
Aleksandar Cirkovic Midfielder
10
Rifet Kapic
Rifet Kapic Midfielder
17
Anton Tsarenko
Anton Tsarenko
Midfielder65'
11
Camilo Mena
Camilo Mena Midfielder
79
Kacper Sezonienko
Kacper Sezonienko Midfielder
99
Tomasz Neugebauer
Tomasz Neugebauer
Midfielder46'
89
Tomas Bobcek
Tomas Bobcek Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Bartlomiej Kludka
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90'
Event
Michal Glogowski → Maksym Dyachuk
8th Substitution
Event
Juljan Shehu
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
88'
Event
Andi Zeqiri → Sebastian Bergier
7th Substitution
87'
Event
Bartlomiej Pawlowski
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Lindon Selahi → Mariusz Fornalczyk
6th Substitution
83'
Event
Bartlomiej Pawlowski → Fran Álvarez
5th Substitution
83'
Event
Juljan Shehu
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
82'
Event
Stelios Andreou → Ángel Baena
4th Substitution
79'
66'
Event
Ivan Zhelizko
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
65'
Event
Anton Tsarenko → Rifet Kapic
3rd Substitution
53'
Event
Ivan Zhelizko
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Marcel Krajewski → Carlos Isaac
1st Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Tomasz Neugebauer → Kacper Sezonienko
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Steve Kapuadi
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
37'
Event
Sebastian Bergier
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
28'
Event
Sebastian Bergier
Header / 1st Goal
10'
Event
Carlos Isaac
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
4'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Tomasz Neugebauer takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Update Update
Michal Glogowski is on, and Maksym Dyachuk is off.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Juljan Shehu receives a second yellow card.
87
Update Update
Andi Zeqiri comes on for Sebastian Bergier.
86
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Bergier takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
85
Attempt Attempt
Matej Rodin takes a shot with his head but misses.
83
Update Update
Bartlomiej Pawlowski comes on for Fran Alvarez.
83
Update Update
Lindon Selahi is on, and Mariusz Fornalczyk is off.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Juljan Shehu receives a yellow card.
79
Update Update
Stelios Andreou is on, and Angel Baena Perez is off.
76
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Zhelizko takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
71
Attempt Attempt
Tomas Bobcek takes a left-footed shot but misses.
66
Attempt Attempt
Tomas Bobcek takes a left-footed shot but misses.
66
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Ivan Zhelizko with his right foot results in a goal.
65
Update Update
Anton Tsarenko is replaced by Rifet Kapic.
60
Attempt Attempt
Fran Alvarez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
57
Attempt Attempt
Rifet Kapic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
56
Attempt Attempt
Tomas Bobcek takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
55
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Bergier takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
54
Attempt Attempt
Emil Kornvig takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Tomasz Neugebauer comes on for Kacper Sezonienko.
46
Update Update
Marcel Krajewski comes on for Carlos Isaac Munoz Obejero.
46
Attempt Attempt
Fran Alvarez takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Fran Alvarez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
42
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Bergier takes a right-footed shot but misses.
41
Attempt Attempt
Steve Kapuadi takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
37
Attempt Attempt
Emil Kornvig takes a right-footed shot but misses.
37
Attempt Attempt
Steve Kapuadi takes a left-footed shot and scores.
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Steve Kapuadi scores, making it 3-0.
34
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Bergier's right-footed shot is blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Kozlovsky takes a right-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Emil Kornvig attempts a header but misses the shot.
28
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Bergier takes a left-footed shot and scores.
26
Attempt Attempt
Emil Kornvig takes a right-footed shot but misses.
18
Attempt Attempt
Aleksandar Cirkovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Bergier's right-footed shot is blocked.
10
Update Update
Sebastian Bergier scores with a header.
7
Attempt Attempt
Mariusz Fornalczyk takes a left-footed shot but misses.
4
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Carlos Isaac Munoz Obejero receives a yellow card.
3
Attempt Attempt
Bartlomiej Kludka takes a left-footed shot but misses.
2
Update Update
Matej Rodin's header is blocked.

CONCLUSION

Widzew Lodz's 3-1 win over Lechia Gdansk cements their superiority, powered by a blistering first-half hat-trick of goals for a 3-0 lead. The red card tested their mettle, but stout defending neutralized Lechia's response, limiting them to a consolation strike. With 52% possession and market alignment, this outcome reinforces Widzew as the stronger outfit. Significant deviation underscores their overachievement, while efficiency held steady. Red card distortion aside, the result boosts morale heading forward, exposing Lechia's struggles against early pressure. A gritty, statement performance.

Widzew Lodz vs Lechia Gdańsk preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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