Cagliari vs Udinese Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Serie A
Udinese
UDI
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
Cagliari hosted Udinese in a Serie A clash that ended 0-2 in favor of the visitors. Despite controlling 63% of possession, Cagliari failed to break the deadlock, with the halftime score locked at 0-0. Udinese, more efficient with just 37% of the ball, capitalized on their opportunities in the second half to secure a vital away win. Labeled the stronger team pre-match, Udinese overcame expectations where Cagliari held a slight edge in projections. No red cards disrupted play, and there were no notable second-half tactical shifts. This result marks a significant structural deviation, highlighting Udinese's clinical finishing against Cagliari's dominance without end product. The match underscores how efficiency can trump possession in tight encounters.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Udinese's 0-2 win showed a 68.1% significant deviation favoring them.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match assessments.
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xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
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Market alignment: Market projections did not align with Udinese's victory.
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xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
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Event impact: No key events or adjustments altered the match flow.
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Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the scoreline.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
F. Dionisi
Other match officials
M. Scatragli
1st Assistant
M. Trinchieri
2nd Assistant
N. Turrini
4th Official
League averages
Serie A Based on last 100 matches
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Cagliari
Udinese
Movement
Changes since opening
Cagliari
Udinese
Team Power Ranking
i
70.2
77.17
Cagliari
Udinese
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Cagliari
Udinese
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Cagliari
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency









Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)








Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
















Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.




























PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- CAG had peak pressure around 35'.
- CAG started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 38 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
















Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:01:41+00:00
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General Information
Next Match


Cagliari
vs
Torino
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sun, 17 May - 12:00 AM
Venue: Sardegna Arena


Udinese
vs
Cremonese
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sun, 17 May - 12:00 AM
Venue: Dacia Arena
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


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Manager ▼


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Events
CONCLUSION
Cagliari vs Udinese preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Match Commentary