Degerfors vs Mjällby Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Stora Valla Sat, 9 May - 1:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Degerfors Degerfors
Versus
Mjällby Mjällby
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 1:00 PM
Round 7 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Degerfors welcomes Mjällby to Stora Valla for an Allsvenskan regular season encounter in 2026. The visitors arrive with clear superiority, holding a power score of 69.6 compared to the hosts' 48.38, translating to a substantial 21.2-point edge. Mjällby occupies 7th place in the standings, just ahead of Degerfors in 9th, reflecting their domestic positioning. Recent form tilts further toward the away side, scoring 20.06 against Degerfors' 13.89. Home turf offers Degerfors some hope, yet Mjällby's overall strength poses a formidable challenge. Detailed set piece metrics remain unavailable, with low-confidence proxies used due to absent xG data for both squads. Efficiency and transition insights are similarly lacking, leaving analysis reliant on broader power and form indicators. This matchup tests Degerfors' resilience against a more potent opponent.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Mjällby possesses a 21.2-point power advantage over Degerfors, with scores of 69.6 to 48.38.
  • Form: Mjällby outperforms Degerfors in form, registering 20.06 versus 13.89.
  • Squad: Degerfors ranks 9th domestically, while Mjällby sits 7th in the Allsvenskan.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics provided for either Degerfors or Mjällby.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable for this fixture.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with proxies used, as xG data absent for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not available due to data limitations.
  • Market: Baseline split: Degerfors 25.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.1% (Δ+0%) | Mjällby 46.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Degerfors H. Goitom
H. Goitom
VS
Mjällby Karl Marius Aksum
Karl Marius Aksum
1.57
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.86
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Häcken Rank: 59 D
Örgryte Rank: 42 D
AIK Rank: 58 W
Elfsborg Rank: 55 L
Halmstad Rank: 48 W
Sirius Rank: 63 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Malmö FF Rank: 64 W
Halmstad Rank: 47 W
GAIS Rank: 57 D
Brommapojkarna Rank: 48 W
Örgryte Rank: 42 L
Hammarby Rank: 68 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Degerfors
25.59%
Draw
28.08%
Away Mjällby
46.33%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
48.38
69.6
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Degerfors
Mjällby
Power Score
48.38
69.6
League Position
9
7
Global Rank
829
213

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Degerfors — Opponent-weighted form score
Mjällby — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Degerfors Mjällby

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Degerfors Degerfors Home
8 matches
Mjällby Mjällby Away
Match Record
0
Wins
7
1
Draws
1
7
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
3
-11
Goal Difference
+11

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T00:07:14+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
M. Igonen
38 M. Igonen
D. Sundgren
6 D. Sundgren
N. Moro
15 N. Moro
S. Ohlsson
16 S. Ohlsson
S. Diatara
18 S. Diatara
E. Barsoum
20 E. Barsoum
K. Karlsson
4 K. Karlsson
G. Yaw Yiriyon
13 G. Yaw Yiriyon
L. Fritzson
14 L. Fritzson
M. Rafferty
10 M. Rafferty
A. Taranis
17 A. Taranis
R. Wallinder
13 R. Wallinder
A. Iqbal
5 A. Iqbal
A. Norén
4 A. Norén
T. Miettinen
33 T. Miettinen
E. Stroud
17 E. Stroud
L. Malachowski Thorell
6 L. Malachowski Thorell
J. Gustavsson
22 J. Gustavsson
W. Granath
14 W. Granath
A. Manneh
19 A. Manneh
J. Bergström
18 J. Bergström
V. Gustafsson
7 V. Gustafsson

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 7 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stora Valla
Capacity :
7500
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

38
Matvei Igonen
Matvei Igonen Goalkeeper
6.71
17
Arman Taranis
Arman Taranis Centre Forward
6.87
13
Gideon Yaw
Gideon Yaw Right Wing
6.77
4
Kazper Karlsson
Kazper Karlsson Defensive Midfield
6.68
18
Samba Diatara
Samba Diatara Left Back
6.62
14
Ludvig Fritzson
Ludvig Fritzson Attacking Midfield
6.68
10
Marcus Rafferty
Marcus Rafferty Left Wing
6.8
6
Daniel Sundgren
Daniel Sundgren Right Back
7.02
15
Nasiru Moro
Nasiru Moro Right Back
6.33
16
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson Left Back
6.96
20
Elias Barsoum
Elias Barsoum Defensive Midfield
6.6

Starting XI ▼

13
Robin Wallinder
Robin Wallinder Goalkeeper
7.06
17
Elliot Stroud
Elliot Stroud Midfielder
7.42
14
Villiam Granath
Villiam Granath Midfielder
6.9
19
Abdoulie Manneh
Abdoulie Manneh Attacker
7.34
7
Viktor Gustafson
Viktor Gustafson Attacker
6.77
18
Jacob Bergström
Jacob Bergström Centre Forward
7.39
4
Axel Norén
Axel Norén Centre Back
7.13
5
Abdullah Iqbal
Abdullah Iqbal Left Back
6.87
22
Jesper Gustavsson
Jesper Gustavsson Central Midfield
6.75
6
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell Central Midfield
7.15
33
Tony Miettinen
Tony Miettinen Right Back
6.84

CONCLUSION

Mjällby's superior power rating and form position them as favorites in this Allsvenskan showdown at Stora Valla. Degerfors, despite home support, struggles against the 21.2-point deficit and lower league standing. Absent detailed xG and set piece insights, the focus sharpens on Mjällby's edge in recent performances. Expect the visitors to control proceedings, leveraging their 7th-place momentum over Degerfors' 9th. A disciplined approach could see Mjällby capitalize on structural strengths for a positive result.

Degerfors vs Mjällby preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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