Brighton & Hove Albion vs Wolverhampton Wanderers Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
The American Express Community Stadium Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion BHA
Versus
Wolverhampton Wanderers WOL
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Brighton & Hove Albion host Wolverhampton Wanderers in Premier League (Regular Season) at The American Express Community Stadium. Domestically, Brighton & Hove Albion sit 8th in the table while Wolverhampton Wanderers are 20th. Power ranking favours Brighton & Hove Albion by 7.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Brighton sit 8th with a 73.23 power score and 7.3-point advantage over 20th-placed Wolves on 65.89.
  • Form: Brighton's form score of 29.39 surpasses Wolves' 14.44.
  • Squad: No squad news or changes detailed for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both sides.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics unavailable.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data uses low-confidence proxies as xG unavailable.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable across attack and defense.
  • Market: Brighton & Hove Albion 73% (Δ+0%) | Draw 16.7% (Δ+0%) | Wolverhampton Wanderers 10.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Brighton & Hove Albion F. Hürzeler
F. Hürzeler
VS
Wolverhampton Wanderers R. Edwards
R. Edwards
1.4
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.67
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Newcastle United Rank: 88 L
Chelsea Rank: 89 W
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 82 D
Burnley Rank: 77 W
Liverpool Rank: 92 W
Sunderland Rank: 81 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sunderland Rank: 81 D
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 82 L
Leeds United Rank: 86 L
West Ham United Rank: 83 L
Brentford Rank: 89 D
Liverpool Rank: 92 W
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 12 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brighton & Hove Albion
72.98%
Draw
16.65%
Away Wolverhampton Wanderers
10.36%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
73.23
65.89
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brighton & Hove Albion
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Power Score
73.23
65.89
League Position
8
20
Global Rank
13
64

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brighton & Hove Albion — Opponent-weighted form score
Wolverhampton Wanderers — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brighton & Hove Albion Wolverhampton Wanderers

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 27 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brighton & Hove Albion BHA Home
27 matches
Wolverhampton Wanderers WOL Away
Match Record
10
Wins
5
12
Draws
12
5
Losses
10
Goals
42
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
42
+17
Goal Difference
-17

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T00:07:51+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
B. Verbruggen
1 B. Verbruggen
J. Veltman
34 J. Veltman
J. van Hecke
6 J. van Hecke
O. Boscagli
21 O. Boscagli
F. Kadıoğlu
24 F. Kadıoğlu
P. Groß
30 P. Groß
C. Noom Quomah
17 C. Noom Quomah
Y. Minteh
11 Y. Minteh
J. Hinshelwood
13 J. Hinshelwood
K. Mitoma
22 K. Mitoma
D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck
18 D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck
J. Malheiro de Sá
1 J. Malheiro de Sá
T. Gomes
24 T. Gomes
S. Bueno Sciutto
4 S. Bueno Sciutto
Y. Mosquera
15 Y. Mosquera
H. Bueno
3 H. Bueno
Gomes
8 Gomes
A. Trindade da Costa Neto
7 A. Trindade da Costa Neto
P. Cardoso de Lima
17 P. Cardoso de Lima
A. Armstrong
9 A. Armstrong
M. Mané
36 M. Mané
T. Arokodare
14 T. Arokodare

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
The American Express Community Stadium
Capacity :
31876
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
John Brooks
Natalie Aspinall
Simon Bennett
Thomas Bramall

Expected Lineup

Referee : John Brooks

Starting XI ▼

1
Bart Verbruggen
Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper
6.84
18
Danny Welbeck
Danny Welbeck Centre Forward
6.83
30
Pascal Groß
Pascal Groß Defensive Midfield
7.21
11
Yankuba Minteh
Yankuba Minteh Right Wing
6.91
13
Jack Hinshelwood
Jack Hinshelwood Attacking Midfield
6.71
17
Carlos Baleba
Carlos Baleba Defensive Midfield
6.62
34
Joël Veltman
Joël Veltman Right Back
6.75
6
Jan Paul van Hecke
Jan Paul van Hecke Right Back
7.06
21
Olivier Boscagli
Olivier Boscagli Left Back
6.89
22
Kaoru Mitoma
Kaoru Mitoma Left Wing
6.75
24
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
Ferdi Kadıoğlu Left Back
6.84
Referee : John Brooks

Starting XI ▼

1
José Sá
José Sá Goalkeeper
6.86
3
Hugo Bueno
Hugo Bueno Midfielder
6.76
9
Adam Armstrong
Adam Armstrong Midfielder
6.7
17
Pedro Lima
Pedro Lima Midfielder
6.41
36
Mateus Mané
Mateus Mané Midfielder
6.74
14
Tolu Arokodare
Tolu Arokodare Centre Forward
6.69
4
Santiago Bueno
Santiago Bueno Centre Back
6.79
7
André
André Central Midfield
6.75
8
João Gomes
João Gomes Central Midfield
6.8
15
Yerson Mosquera
Yerson Mosquera Right Back
6.78
24
Toti
Toti Left Back
6.6

CONCLUSION

Brighton & Hove Albion approach this home clash with clear superiority, their 8th-place standing, 7.3-point power edge, and 29.39 form score dwarfing Wolves' 20th position and 14.44 rating. The Amex faithful will expect control from the Seagulls, leveraging structural strengths amid Wolves' relegation fight. Absent detailed efficiency, set pieces, or transition data, the focus falls on Brighton's overall dominance to secure vital points. Wolves face a daunting task to disrupt the hosts' rhythm, but current metrics suggest limited counter-threat. A routine victory beckons for Brighton, widening the gap to the bottom.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Wolverhampton Wanderers preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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