Zulte-Waregem vs Dender Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Elindus Arena Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Pro League
Zulte-Waregem ZUL
Versus
Dender DEN
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Round 6 Relegation Round

CONTEXT

In the high-stakes Relegation Round of the Pro League at Elindus Arena, Zulte-Waregem faces Dender in a critical 2025/2026 season encounter. Hosting from 13th in the standings, Zulte-Waregem seeks to capitalize on home soil against a Dender outfit rooted at 16th. Dender enters as the marginally stronger side, boasting a power score of 60.91 to the hosts' 57.98, translating to a 2.9-point advantage. Yet, recent performances tilt toward Zulte-Waregem, whose form score of 28.83 dwarfs Dender's 11.44, signaling momentum in their favor. Both squads navigate a grueling relegation battle, where every point counts toward survival. Absent detailed efficiency or set-piece metrics due to unavailable xG data, the focus sharpens on overall structure and transitional play. Zulte-Waregem's superior form could neutralize Dender's edge, setting up a fiercely contested affair. Home crowds will urge the hosts to convert advantage into victory.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dender possesses a slight power advantage of 2.9 points with a 60.91 score over Zulte-Waregem's 57.98.
  • Form: Zulte-Waregem outperforms Dender in form, scoring 28.83 against 11.44.
  • Squad: Zulte-Waregem holds 13th position while Dender sits 16th in the league standings.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable due to limited statistical coverage.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data absent as xG metrics are not enabled.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for both teams.
  • Market: Zulte-Waregem 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Dender 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Zulte-Waregem S. Colpaert
S. Colpaert
VS
Dender A. Abdul Raouf
A. Abdul Raouf
1.24
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cercle Brugge Rank: 70 W
La Louvière Rank: 64 W
La Louvière Rank: 65 W
Dender Rank: 61 W
Cercle Brugge Rank: 69 D
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 71 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
La Louvière Rank: 64 W
Cercle Brugge Rank: 69 L
Cercle Brugge Rank: 68 L
Zulte-Waregem Rank: 64 L
La Louvière Rank: 63 W
Gent Rank: 71 L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 1 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Zulte-Waregem
0%
Draw
0%
Away Dender
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
57.98
60.91
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Zulte-Waregem
Dender
Power Score
57.98
60.91
League Position
13
16
Global Rank
248
455

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Zulte-Waregem — Opponent-weighted form score
Dender — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Zulte-Waregem Dender

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Zulte-Waregem ZUL Home
7 matches
Dender DEN Away
Match Record
3
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
3
Goals
8
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
8
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T00:08:18+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
B. Gabriel
13 B. Gabriel
L. Lemoine
4 L. Lemoine
J. Kiilerich
5 J. Kiilerich
B. De Jaegere
45 B. De Jaegere
W. Paugain
12 W. Paugain
D. Asare
40 D. Asare
E. Lofolomo
6 E. Lofolomo
M. Ake
39 M. Ake
J. Erenbjerg
10 J. Erenbjerg
A. Ementa
18 A. Ementa
J. Amankwaah Opoku
22 J. Amankwaah Opoku
G. Dietsch
30 G. Dietsch
B. Goncalves
7 B. Goncalves
L. De Fougerolles
44 L. De Fougerolles
J. Sambu Mansoni
70 J. Sambu Mansoni
K. Koton
15 K. Koton
M. Viltard
24 M. Viltard
N. Rodes
18 N. Rodes
L. Marijnissen
5 L. Marijnissen
A. Jahanbakhsh
27 A. Jahanbakhsh
M. Berte
90 M. Berte
D. Acquah
23 D. Acquah

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 6 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
Elindus Arena
Capacity :
12500
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Brent Gabriel
Brent Gabriel Goalkeeper
6.93
12
Wilguens Paugain
Wilguens Paugain Midfielder
6.77
39
Marley Ake
Marley Ake Midfielder
6.82
18
Anosike Ementa
Anosike Ementa Attacker
7.24
22
Joseph Okopu
Joseph Okopu Attacker
6.97
5
Jakob Kiilerich
Jakob Kiilerich Centre Back
6.74
6
Enrique Lofolomo
Enrique Lofolomo Central Midfield
6.66
10
Jeppe Erenbjerg
Jeppe Erenbjerg Attacking Midfield
7.12
40
Dirk Asare
Dirk Asare Central Midfield
6.87
45
Benoit De Jaegere
Benoit De Jaegere Left Back
6.52
4
Laurent Lemoine
Laurent Lemoine Right Back
6.89

Starting XI ▼

30
Guillaume Dietsch
Guillaume Dietsch Goalkeeper
6.74
5
Luc Marijnissen
Luc Marijnissen Midfielder
6.73
15
Krzysztof Koton
Krzysztof Koton Midfielder
6.53
27
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
Alireza Jahanbakhsh Attacker
6.67
23
Desmond Acquah
Desmond Acquah Attacker
6.57
90
Mohamed Berte
Mohamed Berte Centre Forward
6.63
7
Bryan Goncalves
Bryan Goncalves Left Back
6.89
18
Nathan Rôdes
Nathan Rôdes Central Midfield
6.59
24
Malcolm Viltard
Malcolm Viltard Central Midfield
6.78
70
Marsoni Sambu
Marsoni Sambu Right Back
6.61
44
Luc De Fougerolles
Luc De Fougerolles Centre Back
6.67

CONCLUSION

Zulte-Waregem's robust form positions them well for success at Elindus Arena, potentially overcoming Dender's power superiority in this Relegation Round thriller. The hosts' higher recent scoring edge contrasts Dender's structural strength, promising a tactical chess match. Without granular efficiency or set-piece insights, broader trends dominate: home advantage bolsters Zulte-Waregem's 13th-place resolve against Dender's 16th-place struggles. Expect a gritty battle where form meets fortitude, with Zulte-Waregem poised to edge ahead in survival stakes. Key moments in transition could define the outcome.

Zulte-Waregem vs Dender preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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