Aberdeen vs Dundee United Prediction, Preview and Stats

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Pittodrie Stadium Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Premiership
Aberdeen ABE
Versus
Dundee United DUD
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Round 36 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Aberdeen host Dundee United in Premiership (2nd Phase) at Pittodrie Stadium. Domestically, Aberdeen sit 8th in the table while Dundee United are 7th. Power ranking favours Dundee United by 3.6 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dundee United holds a 3.6-point power advantage and sits one league position above Aberdeen.
  • Form: Dundee United's form score of 21.33 exceeds Aberdeen's 16.28.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates or last outing details available for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data not provided for either side.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance unavailable due to lack of xG data and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable across attack and defense for both teams.
  • Market: Aberdeen 42.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.3% (Δ+0%) | Dundee United 31.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Aberdeen S. Robinson
S. Robinson
VS
Dundee United J. Goodwin
J. Goodwin
1.08
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.2
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Livingston Rank: 55 D
Kilmarnock Rank: 56 W
Hibernian Rank: 67 W
St. Mirren Rank: 57 L
Rangers Rank: 77 L
Falkirk Rank: 65 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kilmarnock Rank: 56 L
Dundee Rank: 58 W
Livingston Rank: 55 W
Rangers Rank: 77 L
Celtic Rank: 78 W
Dundee Rank: 59 D
20
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
20 - 15 - 18
18
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Aberdeen
42.67%
Draw
26.26%
Away Dundee United
31.07%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.64
62.24
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Power Score
58.64
62.24
League Position
8
7
Global Rank
529
420

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Aberdeen — Opponent-weighted form score
Dundee United — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Aberdeen Dundee United

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 53 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Aberdeen ABE Home
53 matches
Dundee United DUD Away
Match Record
20
Wins
18
15
Draws
15
18
Losses
20
Goals
61
Goals Scored
62
62
Goals Conceded
61
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T00:08:43+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
D. Mitov
1 D. Mitov
M. Knoester
5 M. Knoester
L. Morrison
23 L. Morrison
G. Molloy
21 G. Molloy
A. Jensen
28 A. Jensen
A. Aremu
32 A. Aremu
D. Geiger
8 D. Geiger
M. Frame
3 M. Frame
S. Armstrong
16 S. Armstrong
T. Olusanya
20 T. Olusanya
K. Nisbet
15 K. Nisbet
D. Richards
25 D. Richards
K. Keresztes
23 K. Keresztes
R. Graham
6 R. Graham
S. Harding
37 S. Harding
W. Ferry
11 W. Ferry
E. Agyei
12 E. Agyei
P. Pereira Camará
8 P. Pereira Camará
D. Naamo
22 D. Naamo
Z. Sapsford
9 Z. Sapsford
M. Watters
36 M. Watters
N. Farrugia
20 N. Farrugia

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 36 · 2nd Phase
Stadium :
Pittodrie Stadium
Capacity :
20866
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Duncan Nicolson
David McGeachie
Ross Anderson
Alastair Grieve

Expected Lineup

Referee : Duncan Nicolson

Starting XI ▼

1
Dimitar Mitov
Dimitar Mitov Goalkeeper
6.82
28
Alexander Jensen
Alexander Jensen Midfielder
6.7
3
Mitchel Frame
Mitchel Frame Midfielder
6.81
20
Toyosi Olusanya
Toyosi Olusanya Attacker
6.54
15
Kevin Nisbet
Kevin Nisbet Attacker
6.87
32
Afeez Aremu
Afeez Aremu Central Midfield
6.81
8
Dennis Geiger
Dennis Geiger Central Midfield
6.71
16
Stuart Armstrong
Stuart Armstrong Attacking Midfield
6.98
5
Mats Knoester
Mats Knoester Right Back
6.83
23
Liam Morrison
Liam Morrison Centre Back
6.57
21
Gavin Molloy
Gavin Molloy Left Back
6.73
Referee : Duncan Nicolson

Starting XI ▼

25
Dave Richards
Dave Richards Goalkeeper
6.75
22
Dario Naamo
Dario Naamo Midfielder
6.51
11
Will Ferry
Will Ferry Midfielder
7.25
20
N. Farrugia
N. Farrugia Attacker
6.77
9
Zachary Sapsford
Zachary Sapsford Attacker
6.76
36
Max Watters
Max Watters Centre Forward
6.68
37
S. Harding
S. Harding Right Back
6.35
6
Ross Graham
Ross Graham Centre Back
6.96
23
Krisztián Keresztes
Krisztián Keresztes Left Back
6.99
8
Panutche Camara
Panutche Camara Central Midfield
6.81
12
Emmanuel Agyei
Emmanuel Agyei Central Midfield
7.07

CONCLUSION

Dundee United's superior power score and form give them a clear edge heading into Pittodrie, where Aberdeen's home crowd could prove decisive. The narrow league positions underscore a matchup of near equals, with visitors' 3.6-point advantage highlighting underlying strength. Absent detailed efficiency, transition, or set piece insights, the contest boils down to execution in open play and momentum from recent performances. Aberdeen must neutralize Dundee United's form to climb the table, while the away side seeks to capitalize on their metrics for an upset. Expect a tactical battle with fine margins determining the outcome in this Premiership 2nd Phase fixture.

Aberdeen vs Dundee United preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Premiership, Scotland View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ