Sevilla vs Espanyol Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Sat, 9 May - 2:15 PM
La Liga
Sevilla SEV
Versus
Espanyol ESY
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 2:15 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sevilla hosts Espanyol at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán in a La Liga regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side holds a narrow power advantage at 73.17 compared to Espanyol's 73, marking them as the stronger team overall by 0.2 points. Form metrics highlight Sevilla's dominance with a score of 17.28 against the visitors' modest 4.67, suggesting recent momentum favors the hosts. League standings tell a different story, as Espanyol occupies 13th place while Sevilla languishes in 17th. No recent match results are available for either squad. Set piece analysis carries low confidence due to unavailable xG data and proxy usage for both teams. Domestic positions underscore the mid-table battle ahead. Sevilla's home ground could amplify their slight edge in this evenly matched fixture, where superior recent performance might prove decisive.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sevilla possesses a marginal power score edge of 73.17 to Espanyol's 73.
  • Form: Sevilla's form score stands at 17.28, far exceeding Espanyol's 4.67.
  • Squad: Espanyol ranks higher in the league at 13th, ahead of Sevilla's 17th position.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data provided for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition statistics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics show low confidence with no xG available for either team.
  • xVariable: xG data absent as add-on not enabled for both squads.
  • Market: Sevilla 45.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.1% (Δ+0%) | Espanyol 26.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sevilla L. García Plaza
L. García Plaza
VS
Espanyol J. González Álvarez
J. González Álvarez
0.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Sociedad Rank: 81 W
Osasuna Rank: 77 L
Levante Rank: 73 L
Atlético Madrid Rank: 89 W
Real Oviedo Rank: 71 L
Valencia Rank: 77 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Madrid Rank: 93 L
Levante Rank: 73 D
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 75 L
FC Barcelona Rank: 96 L
Real Betis Rank: 82 D
Getafe Rank: 76 L
23
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
23 - 10 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sevilla
45.66%
Draw
28.14%
Away Espanyol
26.2%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
73.17
73
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sevilla
Espanyol
Power Score
73.17
73
League Position
17
13
Global Rank
139
140

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Sevilla Opponent-weighted form score
Espanyol Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sevilla Espanyol

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 42 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sevilla SEV Home
42 matches
Espanyol ESY Away
Match Record
23
Wins
9
10
Draws
10
9
Losses
23
Goals
80
Goals Scored
54
54
Goals Conceded
80
+26
Goal Difference
-26

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T00:08:54+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
O. Vlachodimos
1 O. Vlachodimos
José Ángel Carmona
2 José Ángel Carmona
A. López Gallo
32 A. López Gallo
Kike Salas
4 Kike Salas
G. Suazo Urbina
12 G. Suazo Urbina
R. Vargas
11 R. Vargas
L. Agoume
18 L. Agoume
B. Mendy
19 B. Mendy
C. Ejuke
21 C. Ejuke
I. Romero Bernal
7 I. Romero Bernal
N. Maupay
17 N. Maupay
M. Dmitrović
13 M. Dmitrović
C. Romero Serrano
22 C. Romero Serrano
L. Cabrera Sasía
6 L. Cabrera Sasía
F. Calero Villa
5 F. Calero Villa
O. El Hilali
23 O. El Hilali
U. González de Zarate Quirós
4 U. González de Zarate Quirós
E. Expósito Jaén
8 E. Expósito Jaén
T. Dolan
24 T. Dolan
R. Terrats Espacio
14 R. Terrats Espacio
Rubén Sáez
2 Rubén Sáez
R. Fernández Jaén
9 R. Fernández Jaén

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Capacity :
42714
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

1
Odysseas Vlachodimos
Odysseas Vlachodimos Goalkeeper
6.73
21
Chidera Ejuke
Chidera Ejuke Midfielder
6.79
11
Rubén Vargas
Rubén Vargas Midfielder
6.87
17
Neal Maupay
Neal Maupay Attacker
6.79
7
Isaac Romero
Isaac Romero Attacker
6.56
2
José Ángel Carmona
José Ángel Carmona Right Back
6.66
18
Lucien Agoumé
Lucien Agoumé Central Midfield
6.83
32
Andrés Castrín
Andrés Castrín Right Back
6.85
12
Gabriel Suazo
Gabriel Suazo Left Back
6.93
19
Batista Mendy
Batista Mendy Central Midfield
6.67
4
Kike Salas
Kike Salas Left Back
6.92

Starting XI

13
Marko Dmitrovic
Marko Dmitrovic Goalkeeper
6.97
9
Roberto Fernández
Roberto Fernández Centre Forward
6.73
2
Rubén Sánchez
Rubén Sánchez Right Wing
6.58
5
Fernando Calero
Fernando Calero Right Back
6.84
4
Urko González de Zárate
Urko González de Zárate Defensive Midfield
6.56
6
Ludovic Taillandier
Ludovic Taillandier Left Back
6.8
14
Ramón Terrats
Ramón Terrats Attacking Midfield
6.62
8
Edu Expósito
Edu Expósito Defensive Midfield
7.15
23
Omar El Hilali
Omar El Hilali Right Back
6.7
24
Tyrhys Dolan
Tyrhys Dolan Left Wing
6.75
22
Carlos Romero
Carlos Romero Left Back
6.81

CONCLUSION

This La Liga showdown pits Sevilla's subtle power and form superiority against Espanyol's better league standing. Hosting at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla aims to leverage their 17.28 form score to climb from 17th, while Espanyol defends 13th with resilience. Limited set piece insights hinder deep tactical previews, but the hosts' momentum suggests control. A closely contested affair looms, potentially hinging on home advantage and execution in open play. Sevilla's designation as stronger team points toward a positive result for the Andalusians in this mid-table scrap.

Sevilla vs Espanyol preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.