Obolon'-Brovar vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Obolon' Arena Sat, 9 May - 3:00 PM
Premier League
Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar
2 – 2
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Full Time Sat, 9 May 3:00 PM
Round 27 Regular Season
Taras Lyakh - 90+5', 60'
Goal
|
Goal
Vadym Sydun - 49'
Carlos Rojas - 9'

CONTEXT

Obolon'-Brovar and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi played out an enthralling 2-2 draw in a match full of second-half drama. The visitors took a 0-1 lead into halftime, capitalizing on their early momentum despite Obolon'-Brovar holding 56% possession overall. The home team roared back after the break, equalizing and then taking the lead briefly before Epitsentr responded to level the score. No red cards marred the contest, allowing continuous flow and highlighting tactical battles. Epitsentr entered as the stronger side structurally, yet Obolon''s resilience forced the stalemate. Possession favored the hosts, but efficiency metrics stayed in line with expectations. This result marked a significant structural deviation of 68.4%, diverging from pre-match assessments where Epitsentr held an edge. Market views proved misaligned with the shared spoils, underscoring the unpredictability of the encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Significant 68.4% structural deviation occurred in favor of Epitsentr Dunayivtsi.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was not achieved with the 2-2 draw.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable from data.
  • Event impact: No notable events or second-half adjustments impacted proceedings.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards resulted in zero distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

R. Blavatskiy

Ukraine 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

V. Ostapchuk

1st Assistant

Ukraine

V. Drykin

2nd Assistant

Ukraine

I. Stashuk

4th Official

Ukraine

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 15.74
Yellow cards / match 2.96
Red cards / match 0.15
Penalties / match 0.22
Obolon'-Brovar O. Antonenko
O. Antonenko
VS
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi S. Nahornyak
S. Nahornyak
0.79
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.21
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kudrivka Rank: 41 D
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 61 L
SK Poltava Rank: 32 D
Veres Rank: 48 L
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 54 D
Karpaty Rank: 54 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Veres Rank: 48 D
Oleksandria Rank: 44 D
Karpaty Rank: 53 D
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 54 L
Kudrivka Rank: 41 W
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 57 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Obolon'-Brovar
29.85%
Draw
31.6%
Away Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
38.55%

Movement

Changes since opening
Obolon'-Brovar
+23.77%
Draw
-56.95%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
+33.18%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
41.2
45.04
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Obolon'-Brovar
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Power Score
41.2
45.04
League Position
11
12
Global Rank
994
879

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Obolon'-Brovar — Opponent-weighted form score
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Obolon'-Brovar Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Obolon'-Brovar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Obolon'-Brovar ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.41
21.82
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.82
22.41
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Obolon'-Brovar +0.06 Efficiency Index
vs
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi -0.06 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Obolon'-Brovar
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Obolon'-Brovar ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Obolon'-Brovar Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Obolon'-Brovar Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Obolon'-Brovar
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Obolon'-Brovar
vs
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Obolon'-Brovar Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Obolon'-Brovar 0.20
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0.25
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Obolon'-Brovar Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Obolon'-Brovar 0.06
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0.04
Obolon'-Brovar
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Epitsentr Dunayivtsi had peak pressure around 22'.
  • Epitsentr Dunayivtsi started the game with stronger pressure.
Obolon'-Brovar Pressure Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi reached the top pressure at 22' (49.79).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar Home
1 matches
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
+1
Goal Difference
-1

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:03:23+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
D. Marchenko
Ukraine
31 D. Marchenko
P. Polehenko
Ukraine
28 P. Polehenko
O. Zhovtenko
Ukraine
44 O. Zhovtenko
D. Semenov
Ukraine
50 D. Semenov
E. Shevchenko
Ukraine
5 E. Shevchenko
K. Bychek
Substitution
Ukraine
21 K. Bychek
M. Chekh
Ukraine
6 M. Chekh
T. Moroz
Substitution
Ukraine
4 T. Moroz
I. Medynskyi
Ukraine
13 I. Medynskyi
S. Sukhanov
Substitution
Ukraine
55 S. Sukhanov
I. Nesterenko
Substitution
Ukraine
40 I. Nesterenko
Pitch
O. Bilyk
Ukraine
31 O. Bilyk
S. Grygorashchuk
Ukraine
3 S. Grygorashchuk
N. Coch Montaña
Spain
77 N. Coch Montaña
A. Lipovuz
Ukraine
28 A. Lipovuz
O. Klymets
Ukraine
97 O. Klymets
M. Myronyuk
Substitution
Ukraine
8 M. Myronyuk
J. Ceberio Amonarriz
Spain
39 J. Ceberio Amonarriz
I. Kyryukhantsev
Ukraine
70 I. Kyryukhantsev
J. Cifuentes Xalmet
Substitution
Spain
9 J. Cifuentes Xalmet
C. Rojas Mosquera
Substitution
Spain
99 C. Rojas Mosquera
V. Sydun
Substitution
Ukraine
20 V. Sydun

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 27 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Obolon' Arena
Capacity :
5100
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Roman Blavatskiy
Vasyl Ostapchuk
Vladyslav Drykin
Igor Stashuk

Statistics

Possession
Obolon'-Brovar
55%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
45%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
10 Shots 8
51 Dangerous attacks 32
56 Possession 44
5 Corners 3
18 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

2 Assists 2
4 Substitutions 4

Attacking

85 Attacks 76

Defensive

0 Saves 2

Lineup

Referee : Roman Blavatskiy

Starting XI ▼

31
Denys Marchenko
Denys Marchenko Goalkeeper
5
Yevgeniy Shevchenko
Yevgeniy Shevchenko Defender
28
Pavlo Polegenko
Pavlo Polegenko Defender
44
O. Zhovtenko
O. Zhovtenko Defender
50
Dmytro Semenov
Dmytro Semenov Defender
4
Taras Moroz
Taras Moroz Midfielder
20
R. Volokhatyi
R. Volokhatyi
Midfielder23'
6
Maksym Chekh
Maksym Chekh Midfielder
13
Igor Medynskyi
Igor Medynskyi Midfielder
40
Ivan Nesterenko
Ivan Nesterenko Midfielder
99
Denys Teslyuk
Denys Teslyuk
Attacker78'
21
Kostyantyn Bychek
Kostyantyn Bychek Attacker
75
Maksym Tretyakov
Maksym Tretyakov
Midfielder46'
55
Sergiy Sukhanov
Sergiy Sukhanov Attacker
90
Taras Lyakh
Taras Lyakh
Attacker59'
2
Referee : Roman Blavatskiy

Starting XI ▼

31
Oleg Bilyk
Oleg Bilyk Goalkeeper
3
Stepan Grigorashchuk
Stepan Grigorashchuk Defender
70
Ihor Kyriukhantsev
Ihor Kyriukhantsev Defender
77
Nil Coch
Nil Coch Defender
97
Oleksandr Klymets
Oleksandr Klymets Defender
8
Mykola Myronyuk
Mykola Myronyuk Midfielder
5
Yevhen Zaporozhets
Yevhen Zaporozhets
Midfielder84'
9
Joaquinete
Joaquinete Midfielder
2
Alagy Oliveira
Alagy Oliveira
Defender84'
28
Andriy Lipovuz
Andriy Lipovuz Midfielder
39
Jon Ceberio
Jon Ceberio Midfielder
99
Carlos Rojas
Carlos Rojas Midfielder
21
Vladyslav Supryaga
Vladyslav Supryaga
Attacker57'
20
Vadym Sydun
Vadym Sydun Attacker
6
Kyrylo Kovalets
Kyrylo Kovalets
Midfielder90+1'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Taras Lyakh
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
90+5'
90+1'
Event
Kyrylo Kovalets → Vadym Sydun
8th Substitution
90'
Event
Vladyslav Supryaga
7th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Alagy Oliveira → Joaquinete
6th Substitution
84'
Event
Yevhen Zaporozhets → Mykola Myronyuk
7th Substitution
Event
Denys Teslyuk → Ivan Nesterenko
5th Substitution
78'
76'
Event
Andriy Lipovuz
6th Yellowcard
75'
Event
Oleg Bilyk
5th Yellowcard
Event
Taras Lyakh
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
60'
Event
Taras Lyakh → Sergiy Sukhanov
4th Substitution
59'
Event
R. Volokhatyi
4th Yellowcard
58'
57'
Event
Vladyslav Supryaga → Carlos Rojas
3rd Substitution
Event
Sergiy Sukhanov
3rd Yellowcard
54'
49'
Event
Vadym Sydun
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Maksym Tretyakov → Kostyantyn Bychek
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Yevgeniy Shevchenko
2nd Yellowcard
31'
Event
R. Volokhatyi → Taras Moroz
1st Substitution
23'
21'
Event
Nil Coch
1st Yellowcard
9'
Event
Carlos Rojas
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Kyrylo Kovalets is on, and Vadim Sydun is off.
84
Update Update
Yevgen Zaporozhets comes on for Mykola Myronyuk.
84
Update Update
Alagy Oliveira replaces Joaquin Cifuentes.
78
Update Update
Denys Teslyuk is on, and Ivan Nesterenko is off.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Taras Liakh scores, making it 1-2.
59
Update Update
Taras Liakh comes on for Sergiy Sukhanov.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Roman Volokhatyi receives a yellow card.
57
Update Update
Vladyslav Supriaga replaces Carlos Humberto Rojas Mosquera.
54
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sergiy Sukhanov receives a yellow card.
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Vadim Sydun scores, making it 2-0.
46
Update Update
Maksym Tretyakov is on, and Kostyantyn Bychek is off.
23
Update Update
Roman Volokhatyi replaces Taras Moroz.
21
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Nil Coch Montana.
9
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Carlos Humberto Rojas Mosquera scores, making it 0-1.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Roman Blavatskiy.

CONCLUSION

The 2-2 draw leaves both Obolon'-Brovar and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi with valuable points from a hard-fought battle. Obolon''s second-half surge from a halftime deficit demonstrated grit, while Epitsentr's quality shone through in securing parity despite lower possession. Structural factors pointed to Epitsentr as stronger, yet the outcome's significant deviation highlights football's fine margins. Without disruptions like red cards, pure execution decided the share. This result challenges pre-match narratives, affirming competitive balance and setting up intriguing future fixtures for these sides.

Obolon'-Brovar vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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