Zorya Luhansk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky (Kyjiv (Kiev)) Sat, 9 May - 3:00 PM
Premier League
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk
Versus
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 3:00 PM
Round 27 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Zorya Luhansk faces Metalist 1925 Kharkiv at the Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky in Kyiv for a key Premier League regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 term. Zorya enters as the stronger team with a 53.51 power score against Metalist's 48.76, backed by a clear 4.8-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Despite this, Metalist holds a higher league standing at 5th compared to Zorya's 8th, fueled by stronger recent form of 28 points over Zorya's 18.17. The neutral venue adds intrigue, potentially neutralizing any home bias. Limited data on set pieces, efficiency, and transitions means the matchup hinges on raw power ratings and momentum. Zorya will look to impose their quality early, while Metalist aims to capitalize on their table position and form to claim vital points. Expect a tactical battle where execution decides the outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Zorya Luhansk possesses a 4.8-point power advantage over Metalist 1925 Kharkiv with scores of 53.51 to 48.76.
  • Form: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv shows better recent form at 28 points compared to Zorya Luhansk's 18.17.
  • Squad: Zorya Luhansk sits 8th and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 5th in the Premier League table.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data remains limited for Zorya Luhansk and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data shows low confidence and relies on proxies for both sides.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables are unavailable due to lack of xG data for the matchup.
  • Market: Zorya Luhansk 30% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.1% (Δ+0%) | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 40.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Zorya Luhansk V. Skripnik
V. Skripnik
VS
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv M. Bartulović
M. Bartulović
1.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 44 W
Veres Rank: 49 W
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 74 L
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 64 L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 46 W
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 41 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 62 L
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 58 D
Kudrivka Rank: 41 W
Veres Rank: 47 W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 66 W
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 55 D
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Zorya Luhansk
30.02%
Draw
29.05%
Away Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
40.93%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
53.51
48.76
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Power Score
53.51
48.76
League Position
8
5
Global Rank
685
728

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Zorya Luhansk — Opponent-weighted form score
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Zorya Luhansk Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk Home
6 matches
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Away
Match Record
5
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
5
Goals
18
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
18
+13
Goal Difference
-13

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T00:09:14+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 27 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky (Kyjiv (Kiev))
Capacity :
16873
Pitch Surface :
N/A
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

12
Mykyta Turbaevsky
Mykyta Turbaevsky Goalkeeper
1
Oleksandr Saputin
Oleksandr Saputin Goalkeeper
31
Valerii Kosivskyi
Valerii Kosivskyi Goalkeeper
44
Igor Perduta
Igor Perduta Defender
10
Leovigildo Júnior Reis Rodrigues
Leovigildo Júnior Reis Rodrigues Defender
47
Roman Vantukh
Roman Vantukh Defender
55
Anderson Jordan da Silva Cordeiro
Anderson Jordan da Silva Cordeiro Defender
4
Gabriel Eskinja
Gabriel Eskinja Defender
25
Christopher Nwanze
Christopher Nwanze Defender
5
Andrija Janjić
Andrija Janjić Defender
7
Nemanja Anđušić
Nemanja Anđušić Midfielder
8
Kyrylo Dryshliuk
Kyrylo Dryshliuk Midfielder
77
Bogdan Kushnirenko
Bogdan Kushnirenko Midfielder
22
Petar Mićin
Petar Mićin Midfielder
24
Іvan Golovkіn
Іvan Golovkіn Midfielder
21
Jakov Bašić
Jakov Bašić Midfielder
6
Dejan Popara
Dejan Popara Midfielder
19
Roman Salenko
Roman Salenko Midfielder
23
Navin Malysh
Navin Malysh Midfielder
88
Samba Juma Bah
Samba Juma Bah Midfielder
28
Pylyp Budkivskyi
Pylyp Budkivskyi Attacker
99
Vladyslav Vakula
Vladyslav Vakula Attacker
27
Domagoj Jelavić
Domagoj Jelavić Attacker
11
Ihor Horbach
Ihor Horbach Attacker
9
Artem Slesar
Artem Slesar Attacker
70
Reynaldihno Verley
Reynaldihno Verley Attacker
17
Fedir Zadorozhnyi
Fedir Zadorozhnyi Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Oleh Mozil
Oleh Mozil Goalkeeper
30
Danylo Varakuta
Danylo Varakuta Goalkeeper
23
Yaroslav Protsenko
Yaroslav Protsenko Goalkeeper
3
Vasyl Kravets
Vasyl Kravets Defender
31
Artem Shabanov
Artem Shabanov Defender
42
Evgeny Pasich
Evgeny Pasich Defender
74
Ihor Snurnitsyn
Ihor Snurnitsyn Defender
24
Oleksandr Martynyuk
Oleksandr Martynyuk Defender
2
Dmytro Kapinus
Dmytro Kapinus Defender
18
Yevhen Pavliuk
Yevhen Pavliuk Defender
37
Valerii Dubko
Valerii Dubko Defender
13
Volodymyr Salyuk
Volodymyr Salyuk Defender
27
Illia Krupskyi
Illia Krupskyi Defender
10
Vladlen Yurchenko
Vladlen Yurchenko Midfielder
45
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev Midfielder
11
Vyacheslav Churko
Vyacheslav Churko Midfielder
17
Igor Kogut
Igor Kogut Midfielder
5
Ivan Kaliuzhnyi
Ivan Kaliuzhnyi Midfielder
25
Ivan Lytvynenko
Ivan Lytvynenko Midfielder
16
Joseph Nicolás Árevalo Chaparro
Joseph Nicolás Árevalo Chaparro Midfielder
19
Ermir Rashica
Ermir Rashica Midfielder
91
Matvii Panchenko
Matvii Panchenko Midfielder
77
Cauan Matteo Baptistella
Cauan Matteo Baptistella Midfielder
15
Denis Antyukh
Denis Antyukh Attacker
7
Ari Moura Vieira Filho
Ari Moura Vieira Filho Attacker
97
Oleksiy Sydorov
Oleksiy Sydorov Attacker
26
Baton Zabergja
Baton Zabergja Attacker
8
Sebastián Alejandro Castillo Pérez
Sebastián Alejandro Castillo Pérez Attacker
99
Christian Mba
Christian Mba Attacker
14
Ramik Gadzhiev
Ramik Gadzhiev Attacker
98
Peter Mandela Itodo
Peter Mandela Itodo Attacker

CONCLUSION

Zorya Luhansk's power edge positions them favorably despite Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's superior form and league spot. The 4.8-point gap suggests Zorya can control proceedings if they harness their rating effectively. Metalist's momentum from recent performances could disrupt, especially in a neutral setting. Without detailed set piece or efficiency insights, the game likely turns on overall execution and defensive solidity. Zorya must press their advantage early to avoid a gritty contest where Metalist's table position proves decisive. This clash promises intensity, with Zorya's quality potentially tipping the scales in a closely fought Premier League battle.

Zorya Luhansk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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