Arka Gdynia vs Górnik Zabrze Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Wed, 13 May - 4:00 PM
Ekstraklasa
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
Versus
Górnik Zabrze Górnik Zabrze
KICKOFF : Wed, 13 May - 4:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Arka Gdynia face a daunting task at Stadion Miejski as they host second-placed Górnik Zabrze in the Ekstraklasa regular season clash of the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 17th in the standings, the hosts are embroiled in a relegation scrap, while Górnik lurk just behind the leaders with momentum on their side. Power ratings underline the mismatch, with Górnik boasting 68.46 to Arka's 49.89, translating to an 18.6-point edge that favors the visitors structurally. Form scores further tilt the scales, Arka at a meager 13.67 against Górnik's robust 29.72. No recent match details are available, and advanced metrics like efficiency and set pieces remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxy data without xG support. Arka will lean on home support to disrupt Górnik's rhythm, but the visitors' superior standing and ratings point to dominance in possession and chance creation. Expect a battle where defensive resilience meets attacking intent.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Górnik Zabrze enjoys a clear structural edge, ranked 2nd with a power score of 68.46 versus Arka Gdynia's 17th place and 49.89.
  • Form: Górnik Zabrze arrives in better form with a score of 29.72 compared to Arka Gdynia's 13.67.
  • Squad: Squad strength metrics favor Górnik Zabrze, reflected in their 18.6-point power advantage over Arka Gdynia.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play details are not available due to lack of recent outing data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data is unavailable with low confidence and no xG metrics for either side.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable as xG data is not enabled for this matchup.
  • Market: Baseline split: Arka Gdynia 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Górnik Zabrze 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Arka Gdynia D. Banasik
D. Banasik
VS
Górnik Zabrze M. Gašparík
M. Gašparík
1.06
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.31
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lech Poznań Rank: 72 D
Piast Gliwice Rank: 60 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 63 L
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 60 D
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 W
Korona Kielce Rank: 61 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 D
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 64 W
Korona Kielce Rank: 60 W
Legia Warszawa Rank: 65 D
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 60 W
Widzew Lodz Rank: 60 D
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 5 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Arka Gdynia
0%
Draw
0%
Away Górnik Zabrze
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
49.89
68.46
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Arka Gdynia
Górnik Zabrze
Power Score
49.89
68.46
League Position
17
2
Global Rank
640
248

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Arka Gdynia — Opponent-weighted form score
Górnik Zabrze — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Arka Gdynia Górnik Zabrze

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia Home
17 matches
Górnik Zabrze Górnik Zabrze Away
Match Record
7
Wins
5
5
Draws
5
5
Losses
7
Goals
22
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
22
+3
Goal Difference
-3

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:53:14+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 13, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Miejski
Capacity :
15300
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

77
Damian Węglarz
Damian Węglarz Goalkeeper
25
Andrei Daniel Vlad
Andrei Daniel Vlad Goalkeeper
2
Marc Navarro Ceciliano
Marc Navarro Ceciliano Goalkeeper
1
Jędrzej Grobelny
Jędrzej Grobelny Goalkeeper
30
Kacper Krzepisz
Kacper Krzepisz Goalkeeper
29
Michał Marcjanik
Michał Marcjanik Defender
94
Dawid Gojny
Dawid Gojny Defender
4
Dominick Zator
Dominick Zator Defender
3
Serafin Szota
Serafin Szota Defender
23
Enrique Gómez Hermoso
Enrique Gómez Hermoso Defender
37
Sebastian Kerk
Sebastian Kerk Midfielder
9
Tornike Gaprindashvili
Tornike Gaprindashvili Midfielder
33
Dawid Abramowicz
Dawid Abramowicz Midfielder
21
Patryk Szysz
Patryk Szysz Midfielder
22
Michał Rzuchowski
Michał Rzuchowski Midfielder
6
Luis Perea Hernández
Luis Perea Hernández Midfielder
27
João Pedro Abreu De Oliveira
João Pedro Abreu De Oliveira Midfielder
10
Aurélien Nguiamba
Aurélien Nguiamba Midfielder
11
Dawid Kocyla
Dawid Kocyla Midfielder
8
Alassane Sidibe
Alassane Sidibe Midfielder
35
Kamil Jakubczyk
Kamil Jakubczyk Midfielder
7
Oskar Kubiak
Oskar Kubiak Midfielder
19
Vladislavs Gutkovskis
Vladislavs Gutkovskis Attacker
31
Nazariy Rusyn
Nazariy Rusyn Attacker
99
Eduardo David Espiau Hernández
Eduardo David Espiau Hernández Attacker

Squad ▼

99
Tomasz Loska
Tomasz Loska Goalkeeper
1
Marcel Łubik
Marcel Łubik Goalkeeper
92
Piotr Pietryga
Piotr Pietryga Goalkeeper
16
Paweł Olkowski
Paweł Olkowski Defender
61
Michal Sáček
Michal Sáček Defender
64
Erik Janža
Erik Janža Defender
4
Paweł Bochniewicz
Paweł Bochniewicz Defender
26
Rafal Janicki
Rafal Janicki Defender
20
José Manuel Sánchez Guillén
José Manuel Sánchez Guillén Defender
67
Ondřej Zmrzlý
Ondřej Zmrzlý Defender
5
Kryspin Szczesniak
Kryspin Szczesniak Defender
13
Lukáš Sadílek
Lukáš Sadílek Midfielder
14
Jarosław Kubicki
Jarosław Kubicki Midfielder
8
Patrik Hellebrand
Patrik Hellebrand Midfielder
36
Michał Rakoczy
Michał Rakoczy Midfielder
18
Lukáš Ambros
Lukáš Ambros Midfielder
28
Bastien Donio
Bastien Donio Midfielder
10
Lukas Podolski
Lukas Podolski Attacker
15
Roberto Massimo
Roberto Massimo Attacker
23
Sondre Liseth
Sondre Liseth Attacker
33
Maksym Khlan
Maksym Khlan Attacker
17
Kamil Lukoszek
Kamil Lukoszek Attacker
21
Mathias Dahl Sauer
Mathias Dahl Sauer Attacker
7
Yvan Ikia Dimi
Yvan Ikia Dimi Attacker
77
Borislav Ivanov Rupanov
Borislav Ivanov Rupanov Attacker

CONCLUSION

Górnik Zabrze's superior power rating, league position, and form position them as heavy favorites against struggling Arka Gdynia. The 18.6-point gulf suggests the visitors will control proceedings, likely exploiting Arka's defensive frailties at Stadion Miejski. Without detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, the focus falls on Górnik's ability to convert their structural dominance into points. Arka must summon a heroic home display to defy the metrics, but recent form gaps indicate a tough evening ahead. This matchup underscores the Ekstraklasa divide between top challengers and bottom dwellers.

Arka Gdynia vs Górnik Zabrze preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Ekstraklasa, Poland View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ