Lens vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Bollaert-Delelis Wed, 13 May - 7:00 PM
Ligue 1
Lens LEN
Versus
Paris Saint Germain PSG
KICKOFF : Wed, 13 May - 7:00 PM
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Lens welcomes Paris Saint Germain to Stade Bollaert-Delelis for a pivotal Ligue 1 regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 campaign. PSG leads the standings in first place, with Lens trailing closely in second, setting up a high-stakes northern France derby. PSG holds a clear edge with a power score of 95.11 against Lens's 82.42, translating to a 12.7-point advantage even on the road. Form scores reflect this slight superiority, PSG at 21.72 versus Lens's 18.39. The home side benefits from the electric atmosphere at Bollaert-Delelis, renowned for intimidating visitors. Detailed efficiency, transition, and set-piece metrics remain unavailable due to limited xG data and low-confidence proxies. Lens must disrupt PSG's rhythm early, leveraging defensive solidity, while PSG's attacking prowess could exploit any gaps. This matchup hinges on execution under pressure.

TL;DR

  • Structural: PSG possesses a 12.7-point power advantage over Lens, rated at 95.11 versus 82.42.
  • Form: PSG's form score stands at 21.72, higher than Lens's 18.39.
  • Squad: PSG tops Ligue 1 in 1st place, with Lens positioned 2nd.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition statistics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics unavailable due to absent xG data and low confidence.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as xG data not enabled.
  • Market: Baseline split: Lens 27.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.3% (Δ+0%) | Paris Saint Germain 48.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Lens P. Sage
P. Sage
VS
Paris Saint Germain L. Martínez García
L. Martínez García
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.2
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nantes Rank: 67 D
Nice Rank: 72 D
Brest Rank: 73 D
Toulouse Rank: 72 W
LOSC Lille Rank: 81 L
Angers SCO Rank: 67 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brest Rank: 73 D
Lorient Rank: 74 D
Angers SCO Rank: 67 W
Nantes Rank: 65 W
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 81 L
Toulouse Rank: 74 W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 7 - 12
12
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lens
27.14%
Draw
24.29%
Away Paris Saint Germain
48.57%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.42
95.11
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lens
Paris Saint Germain
Power Score
82.42
95.11
League Position
2
1
Global Rank
47
5

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lens — Opponent-weighted form score
Paris Saint Germain — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lens Paris Saint Germain

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 23 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lens LEN Home
23 matches
Paris Saint Germain PSG Away
Match Record
4
Wins
12
7
Draws
7
12
Losses
4
Goals
23
Goals Scored
39
39
Goals Conceded
23
-16
Goal Difference
+16

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:53:26+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 13, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Capacity :
38223
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

16
Mathieu Gorgelin
Mathieu Gorgelin Goalkeeper
1
Régis Gurtner
Régis Gurtner Goalkeeper
40
Robin Risser
Robin Risser Goalkeeper
60
Ilan Jourdren
Ilan Jourdren Goalkeeper
27
Arthur Masuaku
Arthur Masuaku Defender
14
Matthieu Udol
Matthieu Udol Defender
20
Malang Sarr
Malang Sarr Defender
24
Jonathan Gradit
Jonathan Gradit Defender
2
Ruben Aguilar
Ruben Aguilar Defender
23
Saud Abdullah Abdul Hamid
Saud Abdullah Abdul Hamid Defender
6
Samson Baidoo
Samson Baidoo Defender
25
Pierre Ismaelo Ganiou
Pierre Ismaelo Ganiou Defender
4
Nidal Čelik
Nidal Čelik Defender
32
Kyllian Antonio
Kyllian Antonio Defender
21
Amadou Haidara
Amadou Haidara Midfielder
28
Adrien Thomasson
Adrien Thomasson Midfielder
8
Mamadou Sangare
Mamadou Sangare Midfielder
5
Andrija Bulatović
Andrija Bulatović Midfielder
18
Fodé Sylla
Fodé Sylla Midfielder
31
Alpha Diallo
Alpha Diallo Midfielder
10
Florian Tristán Mariano Thauvin
Florian Tristán Mariano Thauvin Attacker
9
Allan Saint-Maximin
Allan Saint-Maximin Attacker
22
Wesley Saïd
Wesley Saïd Attacker
11
Odsonne Édouard
Odsonne Édouard Attacker
7
Florian Sotoca
Florian Sotoca Attacker
19
Abdallah Dipo Sima
Abdallah Dipo Sima Attacker
26
Anthony Bermont
Anthony Bermont Attacker
38
Rayan Fofana
Rayan Fofana Attacker
34
Erawan Garnier
Erawan Garnier Attacker

Squad ▼

39
Matvey Safonov
Matvey Safonov Goalkeeper
30
Lucas Chevalier
Lucas Chevalier Goalkeeper
89
Renato Bellucci Marin
Renato Bellucci Marin Goalkeeper
5
Marcos Aoás Corrêa
Marcos Aoás Corrêa Defender
21
Lucas Hernández Pi
Lucas Hernández Pi Defender
2
Achraf Hakimi Mouh
Achraf Hakimi Mouh Defender
51
William Joel Pacho Tenorio
William Joel Pacho Tenorio Defender
6
Illia Zabarnyi
Illia Zabarnyi Defender
25
Nuno Mendes
Nuno Mendes Defender
4
Lucas Lopes Beraldo
Lucas Lopes Beraldo Defender
8
Fabián Ruiz Peña
Fabián Ruiz Peña Midfielder
17
Vitor Machado Ferreira
Vitor Machado Ferreira Midfielder
87
João Pedro Gonçalves Neves
João Pedro Gonçalves Neves Midfielder
33
Warren Zaire Emery
Warren Zaire Emery Midfielder
24
Senny Mayulu
Senny Mayulu Midfielder
27
Pedro Fernández Sarmiento
Pedro Fernández Sarmiento Midfielder
10
Ousmane Dembélé
Ousmane Dembélé Attacker
7
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Attacker
19
Kang-In Lee
Kang-In Lee Attacker
9
Goncalo Matias Ramos
Goncalo Matias Ramos Attacker
29
Bradley Barcola
Bradley Barcola Attacker
14
Desire Doue
Desire Doue Attacker
47
Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha
Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha Attacker
49
Ibrahim Mbaye
Ibrahim Mbaye Attacker

CONCLUSION

PSG arrives as the stronger side with superior power and form metrics, positioning them to extend their lead at the top of Ligue 1. Lens, however, thrives at home in the cauldron of Stade Bollaert-Delelis, where fan support could fuel an upset against the champions-elect. Without granular data on efficiency, transitions, or set pieces, the focus shifts to overall execution: PSG's clinical attack versus Lens's resilient defense. The 12.7-point power gap suggests control for the visitors, but Lens's second-place standing underscores their threat. Expect a tactical chess match where early momentum proves decisive.

Lens vs Paris Saint Germain preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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